SPAC: KIRRILY - Remnants

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1750545759471026552

[cycloneye]

Details of Tropical Cyclone Kirrily at 1:00 am AEST:
Intensity: Category 1, sustained winds near the centre of 85 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 120 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 35 kilometres of 19.3 degrees South 145.8 degrees East, estimated to be 100 kilometres west of Townsville and 95 kilometres north northwest of Charters Towers.

Movement: west southwest at 23 kilometres per hour.

Tropical Cyclone Kirrily is weakening whilst moving inland northwest of Charters Towers.

During Friday, the system is likely to track further inland as a tropical low, resulting in heavy to intense rain and possible damaging winds to parts of the northern interior and western Queensland.

Hazards:

[cycloneye]

That's all folks.

Details of Ex-Tropical Cyclone Kirrily at 4:00 am AEST:
Intensity: Tropical Low, sustained winds near the centre of 55 kilometres per hour with wind gusts to 85 kilometres per hour.

Location: within 35 kilometres of 19.6 degrees South 145.2 degrees East, estimated to be 170 kilometres west southwest of Townsville and 125 kilometres west northwest of Charters Towers.

Movement: west southwest at 24 kilometres per hour.

Ex-Tropical Cyclone Kirrily has weakened to a tropical low as it continues to track inland northwest of Charters Towers.

Ex-tropical cyclone Kirrily will track further inland today and over the weekend, resulting in heavy to intense rain and possible damaging winds to parts of the northern interior and western Queensland.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/BOM_Qld/status/1750685379059937348

[cycloneye]

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (REMNANTS 07P) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 17.5S
139.7E, APPROXIMATELY 57 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF MORNINGTON ISLAND.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A BROAD AND PARTIALLY
EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTIVE
BURSTS OVER THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES OF THE CIRCULATION
CENTER. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE REMNANTS OF 07P IS IN
A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR DEVELOPMENT WITH ROBUST
EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW ALOFT, MOIST AIR IN THE AREA, AND LOW SURFACE
PRESSURES OFFSET BY MODERATE TO HIGH (20-25 KTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR.
RECENT OBSERVATIONS FROM MORNINGTON ISLAND, TO THE NORTH, SHOW WESTERLY
WINDS OF 24 KTS GUSTING TO 33 KTS. THE SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG
THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE GULF OF CARPENTARIA AND GLOBAL MODELS HAVE THE
SYSTEM TRACKING SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY OVER THE NEXT 36-48 HOURS WITH A
BRIEF PERIOD WHERE THE SYSTEM COULD REACH WEAK TROPICAL CYCLONE STRENGTH
BEFORE TRACKING BACK SOUTHWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO
BE NEAR 997 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS MEDIUM.

[cycloneye]

Ex-tropical cyclone Kirrily not expected to redevelop into a tropical cyclone but will cause near gales over southern Gulf of Carpentaria tonight and early Friday, and further heavy rain and flooding over northwest and western Queensland in coming days.
Ex-Tropical Cyclone Kirrily lies near the southern Gulf of Carpentaria coast near Burketown and is producing heavy rain and associated flooding, and gales in the southern Gulf of Carpentaria.
The low is likely to track south overland in coming days.
While it is not expected to redevelop into a tropical cyclone, near gale force winds are expected north of the low which includes southern coastal parts of the Gulf of Carpentaria tonight and early Friday.
Further heavy rain and associated flooding is expected as the low moves south in following days.