https://x.com/jnmet/status/2005940029906977127
SIO: GRANT - Post-Tropical
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GRANT - Tropical Cyclone 03U
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GRANT - Tropical Cyclone 03U
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GRANT - Moderate Tropical Storm
MODERATE TROPICAL STORM GRANT
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 65 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 999 hPa.
Position on January 2nd at 04:00 local time: 15.9 South / 67.6 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1370 km to the East-Northeast sector
Distance from Mayotte: 2440 km to the sector: EAST
Movement: WEST, at 6 km/h.
System information:
- Moderate tropical storm GRANT is located approximately 610 km northeast of Rodrigues.
- Grant is expected to continue weakening by Saturday, with tropical depression intensity forecast for Friday. It could even weaken to a tropical disturbance by Saturday. Its subsequent track is expected to pass more than 400 km north of the Mascarene Islands.
- From Sunday onwards, the intensity forecast becomes very uncertain: the majority scenario favoured by the current CRMS forecast suggests a system remaining weak until the beginning of next week, but this will need to be confirmed.
Information for Réunion and/or Mayotte:
- Regarding Reunion Island, according to the current preferred scenario and regardless of the intensity of the phenomenon, GRANT should circulate at the beginning of next week at a good distance to the north/northwest of the island without significant influence on the island.
- No influence is expected on Mayotte.
Information for other areas of the basin:
A passage near Saint-Brandon is expected between Sunday and Monday, possibly accompanied by heavy thunderstorms.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 65 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 95 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 999 hPa.
Position on January 2nd at 04:00 local time: 15.9 South / 67.6 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1370 km to the East-Northeast sector
Distance from Mayotte: 2440 km to the sector: EAST
Movement: WEST, at 6 km/h.
System information:
- Moderate tropical storm GRANT is located approximately 610 km northeast of Rodrigues.
- Grant is expected to continue weakening by Saturday, with tropical depression intensity forecast for Friday. It could even weaken to a tropical disturbance by Saturday. Its subsequent track is expected to pass more than 400 km north of the Mascarene Islands.
- From Sunday onwards, the intensity forecast becomes very uncertain: the majority scenario favoured by the current CRMS forecast suggests a system remaining weak until the beginning of next week, but this will need to be confirmed.
Information for Réunion and/or Mayotte:
- Regarding Reunion Island, according to the current preferred scenario and regardless of the intensity of the phenomenon, GRANT should circulate at the beginning of next week at a good distance to the north/northwest of the island without significant influence on the island.
- No influence is expected on Mayotte.
Information for other areas of the basin:
A passage near Saint-Brandon is expected between Sunday and Monday, possibly accompanied by heavy thunderstorms.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GRANT - Tropical Depression
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRANT
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 55 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 1002 hPa.
Position on January 2nd at 4 PM local time: 15.3 South / 66.7 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1320 km to the East-Northeast sector
Distance from Mayotte: 2340 km to the sector: EAST
Movement: NORTH-WEST, at 9 km/h.
System information:
- On Friday, January 2nd, GRANT continued to weaken and was downgraded to a tropical depression. It is located approximately 600 km northeast of Rodrigues.
- GRANT is expected to continue to weaken by this weekend, on a trajectory oriented towards the northwest and then the west-southwest.
- In the longer term, the remnants of the GRANT system are expected to circulate north of the Mascarene Islands, moving southwest. The most likely scenario suggests the system will remain weak and dissipate off the coast of Madagascar; however, this forecast remains uncertain.
Information for Réunion and/or Mayotte:
- Regarding Reunion Island, according to the current preferred scenario, GRANT should circulate at the beginning of next week at a good distance to the north/northwest of the island without significant influence on the island.
- No influence is expected on Mayotte.
Information for other areas of the basin:
A passage near Saint-Brandon is expected between Sunday and Monday, possibly accompanied by heavy thunderstorms.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 55 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 1002 hPa.
Position on January 2nd at 4 PM local time: 15.3 South / 66.7 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 1320 km to the East-Northeast sector
Distance from Mayotte: 2340 km to the sector: EAST
Movement: NORTH-WEST, at 9 km/h.
System information:
- On Friday, January 2nd, GRANT continued to weaken and was downgraded to a tropical depression. It is located approximately 600 km northeast of Rodrigues.
- GRANT is expected to continue to weaken by this weekend, on a trajectory oriented towards the northwest and then the west-southwest.
- In the longer term, the remnants of the GRANT system are expected to circulate north of the Mascarene Islands, moving southwest. The most likely scenario suggests the system will remain weak and dissipate off the coast of Madagascar; however, this forecast remains uncertain.
Information for Réunion and/or Mayotte:
- Regarding Reunion Island, according to the current preferred scenario, GRANT should circulate at the beginning of next week at a good distance to the north/northwest of the island without significant influence on the island.
- No influence is expected on Mayotte.
Information for other areas of the basin:
A passage near Saint-Brandon is expected between Sunday and Monday, possibly accompanied by heavy thunderstorms.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GRANT - Tropical Depression
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRANT
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 55 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 1000 hPa.
Position on January 4 at 10 a.m. local time: 15.7 South / 61.8 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 870 km to the NORTH-EAST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1820 km to the East-Southeast sector
Movement: WEST-SOUTH-WEST, at 26 km/h.
System information:
- The GRANT system is classified as a tropical depression. It is located approximately 500 km north of Rodrigues.
- Grant will continue to move across the country on a west-southwest trajectory this Sunday, as a disturbance or tropical depression.
- In the longer term, the GRANT system is expected to circulate north of the Mascarene Islands, moving southwest. The system is expected to peak at tropical depression before weakening upon reaching the Malagasy coast by Wednesday.
Information for Réunion and/or Mayotte:
- Regarding Reunion Island, GRANT should circulate at the beginning of next week at a good distance to the north then northwest of the island without significant influence on the island.
- No influence is expected on Mayotte.
Information for other areas of the basin:
- A passage near Saint-Brandon is expected during the night of Sunday to Monday, possibly accompanied by heavy thunderstorms. Strong winds are not currently forecast.
- In the longer term, the system is expected to affect the southern part of the Toamasina region of Madagascar. However, it is still too early to provide more details.
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 55 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 1000 hPa.
Position on January 4 at 10 a.m. local time: 15.7 South / 61.8 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 870 km to the NORTH-EAST sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1820 km to the East-Southeast sector
Movement: WEST-SOUTH-WEST, at 26 km/h.
System information:
- The GRANT system is classified as a tropical depression. It is located approximately 500 km north of Rodrigues.
- Grant will continue to move across the country on a west-southwest trajectory this Sunday, as a disturbance or tropical depression.
- In the longer term, the GRANT system is expected to circulate north of the Mascarene Islands, moving southwest. The system is expected to peak at tropical depression before weakening upon reaching the Malagasy coast by Wednesday.
Information for Réunion and/or Mayotte:
- Regarding Reunion Island, GRANT should circulate at the beginning of next week at a good distance to the north then northwest of the island without significant influence on the island.
- No influence is expected on Mayotte.
Information for other areas of the basin:
- A passage near Saint-Brandon is expected during the night of Sunday to Monday, possibly accompanied by heavy thunderstorms. Strong winds are not currently forecast.
- In the longer term, the system is expected to affect the southern part of the Toamasina region of Madagascar. However, it is still too early to provide more details.
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cycloneye
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Re: SIO: GRANT - Tropical Depression
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRANT
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 55 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 1000 hPa.
Position on January 4 at 4 p.m. local time: 15.9 South / 59.6 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 695 km to the Northeast sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1590 km to the East-Southeast sector
Movement: WEST, at 39 km/h.
System information:
- The GRANT system is classified as a tropical depression. It is located approximately 700 km northeast of the Mascarene Islands.
- GRANT will continue to transit this Sunday on a west-southwest trajectory, at the stage of a disturbance or tropical depression.
- Tomorrow, Tropical Storm Grant is expected to move north of the Mascarene Islands, heading southwest. It is then expected to weaken to a tropical depression before reaching the Malagasy coast by Wednesday.
Information for Réunion and/or Mayotte:
- Regarding Reunion Island, GRANT should circulate this Monday at a good distance to the north then northwest of the island without significant influence on the island.
- No influence is expected on Mayotte.
Information for other areas of the basin:
- The system is currently passing between 50 and 100 km north of Saint-Brandon, accompanied by heavy thunderstorms. Strong winds are not expected.
- In the longer term, the system is expected to affect the southern part of the Toamasina region of Madagascar and bring heavy thunderstorms. Strong winds are not expected
Estimated maximum wind speeds (averaged over 10 minutes) at sea: 55 km/h.
Estimated maximum gusts at sea: 75 km/h.
Estimated pressure at the center: 1000 hPa.
Position on January 4 at 4 p.m. local time: 15.9 South / 59.6 East.
Distance from the coast of Réunion: 695 km to the Northeast sector
Distance from Mayotte: 1590 km to the East-Southeast sector
Movement: WEST, at 39 km/h.
System information:
- The GRANT system is classified as a tropical depression. It is located approximately 700 km northeast of the Mascarene Islands.
- GRANT will continue to transit this Sunday on a west-southwest trajectory, at the stage of a disturbance or tropical depression.
- Tomorrow, Tropical Storm Grant is expected to move north of the Mascarene Islands, heading southwest. It is then expected to weaken to a tropical depression before reaching the Malagasy coast by Wednesday.
Information for Réunion and/or Mayotte:
- Regarding Reunion Island, GRANT should circulate this Monday at a good distance to the north then northwest of the island without significant influence on the island.
- No influence is expected on Mayotte.
Information for other areas of the basin:
- The system is currently passing between 50 and 100 km north of Saint-Brandon, accompanied by heavy thunderstorms. Strong winds are not expected.
- In the longer term, the system is expected to affect the southern part of the Toamasina region of Madagascar and bring heavy thunderstorms. Strong winds are not expected
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Hurricane2022
- Category 5
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- Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2022 11:38 pm
- Location: Araçatuba, Brazil
Re: SIO: GRANT - Tropical Cyclone 03U
Hurricane2022 wrote:That's a Category 5.
https://x.com/i/status/2005589896304668994
https://x.com/i/status/2005590342759027108
That's all folks.
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Sorry for the bad English sometimes...!
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
For reliable and detailed information for any meteorological phenomenon, please consult the National Hurricane Center, Joint Typhoon Warning Center , or your local Meteo Center.
--------
ECCE OMNIA NOVA FACIAM (Ap 21,5).
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