the time for major evacs?

PTPatrick · #1 Postby **PTPatrick** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:09 am

I am looking at this thing expanding as I speak. The entire area will be devastated. The area from Morgan city to mobile will be severely damages. The size is so much bigger than Camille...I really think most areas east of landfall will see Camille type surge or even greater...

I am concerned that the MS coast in particular has waited too late...but those folks need to know that they need only run from water, because if this track pans out, they will see at best cat 2 in gusts for the area east of biloxi. Hancock co should be empty. they should contraflow 1-65 and get mississippians, out. MS folks go eas, LA folks go west...north isnt the place to go

#2 Postby **KBBOCA** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:14 am

Re: storm surge

Over in the analysis thread, in Derek's latest forecast, someone posted a good storm surge map:

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 63#1026763

inotherwords · #3 Postby **inotherwords** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:16 am

Thanks for changing the thread title! Much better.

milankovitch · #4 Postby **milankovitch** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:22 am

Less than 12 usefull hours left for a full evacuation. Strong tropical-hurricane force winds in 18 hours, factoring in the time people would be in traffic and won't start till later this morning. Some will get out but it's getting late in the game.

aerojad · #5 Postby **aerojad** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:25 am

So many to evacuate... there are going to be so many left behind. Here's hoping they remain safe.

MyrtleBeachGal · #6 Postby **MyrtleBeachGal** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:27 am

I hope I don't see anyone from any of the hurricane watch areas online today. I hope they're ALL on the roads to higher and safer ground. You can rebuild homes - your life is much more important!!

aerojad · #7 Postby **aerojad** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:28 am

This is probably worse than the "expected" path a NO hurricane would take - up through the Carribean = more warning time. This one sort of picked its shot, and then moved.

johngaltfla · #8 Postby **johngaltfla** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:29 am

The time was 24 hours ago. It may be too late for many. I saw the Emergency Management folks form New Orleans talking about possibly 44,000 to 60,000 casualties.

A cat 5 would and could do it. :eek:

aerojad · #9 Postby **aerojad** » Sun Aug 28, 2005 6:30 am

We've gotten away with "low" death tolls & damage for a long time now.

By "low", I mean "nothing has ever hit a major metropolitian area".

the time for major evacs?

the time for major evacs?

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