Rita,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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gatorcane
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#201 Postby gatorcane » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:40 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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#202 Postby gatorcane » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:40 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/float-ir4-loop.html
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#203 Postby mtm4319 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:41 pm

IR loop shows a wobble NW; radar shows just north of west. I'd trust the radar more at this point.
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#204 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:49 pm

Here's the spaghetti plot of all the models.

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#205 Postby dwg71 » Tue Sep 20, 2005 8:57 pm

Ortt's latest has cat 4 into Corpus.

Sutherland has a similiar location.
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#206 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:00 pm

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#207 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:01 pm

I think corpus is to far south. Probably around Matagorda-Freeport.
She has also slowed down so that should allow a more NW turn
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#208 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:01 pm

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#209 Postby Lowpressure » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:01 pm

dwg71 wrote:Ortt's latest has cat 4 into Corpus.

Sutherland has a similiar location.


It will go north of Corpus.
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#210 Postby soonertwister » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:01 pm

skysummit wrote:Here's the spaghetti plot of all the models.


You can toss a couple dozen of those into the trash before even looking at the model map. If models are known to be innacurate, there's no reason to include them.
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#211 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:04 pm

WHy are their forecast that far South? Rita has slowed somewhat and the models are shifting East. Secondly, Rita is already North of her next forecast point.
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#212 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:05 pm

Link Metro?
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#213 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:07 pm

soonertwister wrote:
skysummit wrote:Here's the spaghetti plot of all the models.


You can toss a couple dozen of those into the trash before even looking at the model map. If models are known to be innacurate, there's no reason to include them.


I know that...you can toss more than a couple in the garbage. There are many sites you can go to in order to get the "important" models. I just wanted to post the spaghetti plot just for the hell of it.
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#214 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:09 pm

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#215 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:10 pm

hicksta wrote:Link Metro?


http://skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=18

All the models are between Matagorda and TX/LA border.
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#216 Postby cjrciadt » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:10 pm

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#217 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:11 pm

hicksta wrote:Link Metro?


http://skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=18

All the models are between Matagorda and TX/LA border.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

And she's well north of the next forecast point.
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#218 Postby hicksta » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:12 pm

The bams arent that great, but i do think the track will go more north before we are all done. Why? They had it forcasted at matagorda with the input of 15mph? SHe is now goin 12. Losing 3 miles an hour it adds up. She should be able to turn earlier. Guess we will have to see
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#219 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:14 pm

hicksta wrote:The bams arent that great, but i do think the track will go more north before we are all done. Why? They had it forcasted at matagorda with the input of 15mph? SHe is now goin 12. Losing 3 miles an hour it adds up. She should be able to turn earlier. Guess we will have to see


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

See, she is well north of her next point.
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#220 Postby skysummit » Tue Sep 20, 2005 9:16 pm

Looking at radar, she's still right on the money.

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