Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

Scorpion · #1041 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:27 am

skysummit wrote:Talk about CONSENSUS!

It hasn't changed in nearly 2 days. When models are clustered for 2 days over an area I tend to pay attention. Looks like we're getting hit.

Nancy · #1042 Postby **Nancy** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:42 am

Brent wrote:
cjrciadt wrote:the major story on the cable networks is Saddam,Saddam,Saddam,Saddam,. The trial will start after thanksgiving, cover the powerful cane heading towards FL Please!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

If the CIA leak indictments come down between now and Friday, Wilma will be all forgotten.

Indictments not happening until next week, per NBC reporterette Nora O'Donnell.

#1043 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:42 am

Everybody inhale and then try to exhale. I know this is exciting but there is no need for panic at this point. Alot could happen here, yes Wilma is a Cat. 5 Cane but they usually don't maintain that for very long. Wilma could move over the Yuc and in combination with the shear expected along and out in front of the trough and the somewhat cooler SST's in the Gulf likely lose alot of it's punch. Keep in mind that intensity forecasts with a storm headed into the environment she is headed into is very susceptible to large errors.

#1044 Postby **cjrciadt** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:43 am

NO 5am wind prob, guess they fainted after reading the recon data and could not get around to it.

#1045 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:49 am

Wilma will hopefully be a MUCH weaker version of herself if and when she makes landfall in Florida and on top of that she will be moving VERY quickly (20-25mph at least). IMO

thermos · #1046 Postby **thermos** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:49 am

Dean4Storms wrote:Everybody inhale and then try to exhale. I know this is exciting but there is no need for panic at this point. Alot could happen here, yes Wilma is a Cat. 5 Cane but they usually don't maintain that for very long. Wilma could move over the Yuc and in combination with the shear expected along and out in front of the trough and the somewhat cooler SST's in the Gulf likely lose alot of it's punch. Keep in mind that intensity forecasts with a storm headed into the environment she is headed into is very susceptible to large errors.

Or it could weaken some but the winds could spread out like with Katrina and Rita and cause extreme damage to a wide swath of Florida. It is the strongest storm ever and it deserves some bleepn respect. :grrr:

#1047 Postby **O Town** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:51 am

Shes a beauty. :eek:

Scorpion · #1048 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:52 am

Stormcenter wrote:Wilma will hopefully be a MUCH weaker version of herself if and when she makes landfall in Florida and on top of that she will be moving VERY quickly (20-25mph at least). IMO

However that also makes her much stronger on the east coast of FL as she will not lose as much punch. A Cat 2 wind event is very likely.

#1049 Postby **cjrciadt** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:54 am

Dont look at Derek's forecast:

#1050 Postby **SkeetoBite** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:54 am

With an eye that small the wobble is much easier to see. Looks like my daughter's spirograph.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... -loop.html

Weatherfreak000 · #1051 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:55 am

What everyone needs to hope for is Wilma to peak out FAST. I'm sorry to say this guys but it doesn't look like Wilma has done intensifying yet =/.

Once we get the good old "Ocean Eye" feature (if it goes into this stage) we'll see a gradual decline in intensity.

Good news for Florida, possibly devastating news for the Yucutan =(

inotherwords · #1052 Postby **inotherwords** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 8:59 am

I'd really like to know when we can get some idea about what surge will be up and down the coast. My evacuation plans depend on it.

This is not a Katrina/Rita in terms of sheer size and width of hurricane force winds. It's more concentrated at the core and is forecast to move a lot faster through the Gulf. Given that, and given where it is when it gets into the GOM and how it de-intensifies from that point, I'm hoping our surge won't be as bad, but at this point I really don't know. I'd like to see some pro met opinions on this.

#1053 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:03 am

Trough forecasted to dive south like crazy!

#1054 Postby **Windtalker1** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:06 am

Scorpion wrote:
skysummit wrote:Talk about CONSENSUS!

It hasn't changed in nearly 2 days. When models are clustered for 2 days over an area I tend to pay attention. Looks like we're getting hit.

Need I say more? :wink:

#1055 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:08 am

is the high pressure in the gulf weakening yet? Does anyone know the status on that.?

#1056 Postby **HURAKAN** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:08 am

Like I said days ago, the track models are displaying very similar to the one Isbell, 1964, had.

#1057 Postby **Stormcenter** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:11 am

Yep this baby has Florida written all over her :eek:

.

jawa89 · #1058 Postby **jawa89** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:12 am

2-4 Nm eye, 15 Nm Huricane force winds...
This is just a big Tornado.... It should be gone in a few minutes. :wink:

Weatherfreak000 · #1059 Postby **Weatherfreak000** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:18 am

Good news is I don't see this hitting near Key West, I still see landfall on the Pandhandle. Storms like this like to create their own environments and I bet this baby will make it up to the Panhandle.

You don't have to take my word for it but trust me, I wouldn't exac just yet....

jpigott · #1060 Postby **jpigott** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:19 am

looks like the cloud tops have warmed some, maybe b/c she is coming out of the night time convective maxima

Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

Well...

Hurrinado

well..

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