Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

Bgator · #1481 Postby **Bgator** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:38 pm

CronkPSU wrote:how come they look different than this one?

<img src="http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/atlantic/early1.png">

There not different there just more!

Scorpion · #1482 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:38 pm

894 mb Cat 4. Who wouldve thought?

#1483 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:39 pm

Those are the 00z models....BUT it includes ALL the models. Most of those models are garbage. I just post them because some people like seeing the full spaghetti plot now and then.

#1484 Postby **THead** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:39 pm

Can we at least get one thing straight here. I keep hearing 'a strong storm like this can't make a sharp turn'. Thats just plain wrong. There is no way this thing is gonna punch thru the trough when it comes, and it will turn Wilma on a dime. Only question is where is the trough going to be. What angle is the frontal boundary going to be at, and where does it intersect the coast of florida. The storm will be making landfall right south of the boundary period.

#1485 Postby **Canelaw99** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:39 pm

It may be my eyes, but I don't think it does look different. The spaghetti models just has a lot more models plotted so it's harder to see the same ones as the other map plots. But, I could be wrong too :wink:

Website · #1486 Postby **Brent** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:40 pm

Scorpion wrote:894 mb Cat 4. Who wouldve thought?

11pm track... directly overhead for you.

8pm Sunday

mtm4319 · #1487 Postby **mtm4319** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:40 pm

Wilma lasted 18 hours as a category 5 (20.5 hours if you go by the special 2:30 AM EDT update the NHC issued)... how does that stack up to the other classic cat 5s?

#1488 Postby **CronkPSU** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:41 pm

those numbers sound about right...recon will be back soon and confirm for us one way or the other

#1489 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:42 pm

Canelaw99 wrote:It may be my eyes, but I don't think it does look different. The spaghetti models just has a lot more models plotted so it's harder to see the same ones as the other map plots. But, I could be wrong too

You're correct

The main models are the same, but it's hard to see with all the other noodles.

#1490 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:42 pm

DLI2k5 · #1491 Postby **DLI2k5** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:43 pm

Simply amazing how it has remained a sub 900mb hurricane! I believe she will begin to bottom out again in the latter part of morning or afternoon. Once ERC is completed, the pressure stands a good chance of going below the 882mb she had earlier.

Scorpion · #1492 Postby **Scorpion** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:44 pm

80 kts, gusting to 100 kts right on top of me. If that panned out it sure would beat anything we have seen here in decades.

#1493 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:45 pm

Geez....from Sunday to Monday....what, she'll be moving at 70mph are something?

#1494 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:45 pm

#1495 Postby **Canelaw99** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:47 pm

Is it me or does that :uarrow:

Sat. point look a bit further south? Yeah, yeah, don't focus on the point, I get that, but I'm just curious.

Definitely time to go to bed and away from the computer though LOL

#1496 Postby **THead** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:48 pm

skysummit wrote:Geez....from Sunday to Monday....what, she'll be moving at 70mph are something?

No kiddin! Thats gotta be darn near what...800 miles or more.

Nancy · #1497 Postby **Nancy** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:48 pm

Looks like they are forecasting this to come back to a Category 5...am I reading this correctly?

pgoss11 · #1498 Postby **pgoss11** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:48 pm

Is it possible for a storm to accelerate that fast up the east coast?
What does that do to the storms internal structure? Just curious.

mtm4319 · #1499 Postby **mtm4319** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:49 pm

The distance between the 96hr and 120hr points is 938 statute miles, meaning it's forecast to go 39mph.

Nancy · #1500 Postby **Nancy** » Wed Oct 19, 2005 9:49 pm

Looks like they are forecasting this to come back to a Category 5...am I reading this correctly?

Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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