Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5

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LAwxrgal
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#3561 Postby LAwxrgal » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:15 am

Cycloneye knew this thread would break Katrina's "record" of 110 pages. Now the question is....

Can this thread go 200 pages???? :lol:
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Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends

Brent
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#3562 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:17 am

sweetpea wrote:
Brent wrote:
sweetpea wrote:Show it coming out right over me. :eek: But it will probably only be like tropical force winds, right? Debbie


It will likely be a hurricane when it re-emerges if it makes landfall as a Cat 2.


Thanks Brent, when is it supposed to make landfall? Monday? I have been off the board since yesterday afternoon trying to catch up on what is going on. Debbie


Yes... it will cross the Peninsula in about 6-8 hours. It's going to have a VERY large windfield but will be moving rapidly.
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#3563 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:20 am

Whats the latest on the possible New England Impact of this storm?
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#3564 Postby tampaflwx » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:21 am

GFS looks to be moving morth north...worse for Tampa... will this shift be reflected by other models?
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#3565 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:22 am

6SpeedTA95 wrote:Whats the latest on the possible New England Impact of this storm?


Doesn't look like it'll be terribly significant... from NWS Taunton, MA:

MAIN QUESTION
INCLUDES THE TIMING FOR ANY CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY...RELATED TO THE TRACK OF WILMA. A SECONDARY SHORT WAVE
DROPPING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY SUNDAY WILL REACH THE NORTHEAST BY
MONDAY. WILMA WILL TRACK BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL LOW ACROSS THE
NORTHEAST AND THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC RIDGE. THE WESTWARD EXTENT OF ITS
PRECIPITATION SHIELD WILL PARTIALLY DEPEND UPON HOW QUICKLY WILMA
TURNS EXTRATROPICAL AND ITS TRACK. CURRENT TROPICAL PREDICTION FORECAST
HAS WILMA BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL BY 00Z ON THE 26TH OR BY TUESDAY
EVENING. THE CURRENT FORECAST HAS THE SYSTEM PASSING WELL SOUTHEAST
OF THE BENCHMARK POSITION. HOWEVER AS WILMA BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL
(COLD CORE)...ITS PRECIPITATION SHIELD SHOULD BEGIN TO EXPAND
WESTWARD TO INCLUDE AT LEAST EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA.
THE CURRENT FORECAST INCLUDES A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE TUESDAY AND INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST AREA. FUTURE REFINEMENTS
TO THE AREAL COVERAGE MAY BE NEEDED BUT FOR NOW CONTINUED WITH A
CHANCE OF RAIN OVER THE ENTIRE REGION DURING THAT TIMEFRAME.
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#3566 Postby DIDDLESBABE » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:22 am

I know I am not good at reading these things - but am I seeing it
taking Wilma more North - as in over Ft. Myers ?!?!?!?!?

Any help in explaining this sure would be appreciated, as I am IN FT.
MYERS.....
Thanks
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#3567 Postby Bgator » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:23 am

tampaflwx wrote:GFS looks to be moving morth north...worse for Tampa... will this shift be reflected by other models?

The GFS has been in that area for the past 2 days, Tampa calm down, a DIRECT hit is unlikely, but due to the large wind feild most of florida will get TS winds maybe Cane gusts!Tornadoes will be to south and east of system!
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#3568 Postby Myersgirl » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:23 am

Local met said here "further north, weaker strom, further south, stronger"
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#3569 Postby whereverwx » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:26 am

I continue to find it amazing that the strongest hurricane ever in the Atlantic basin formed in October…
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#3570 Postby Wacahootaman » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:29 am

According to the current weather map the cold front is already into north Florida.!

How can the cane move into this cooler air? Or will this front stall and become a high speed rail for the hurricane to move south of it into Florida.

Wilma is not supposed to be here till Monday.

Wont this cooler air force it south of Florida if this cold front moves south?

http://www.weatherunderground.com/US/Re ... ronts.html
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#3571 Postby Bgator » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:31 am

Wacahootaman wrote:According to the current weather map the cold front is already into north Florida.!

How can the cane move into this cooler air? Or will this front stall and become a high speed rail for the hurricane to move south of it into Florida.

Wilma is not supposed to be here till Monday.

Wont this cooler air force it south of Florida if this cold front moves south?

http://www.weatherunderground.com/US/Re ... ronts.html

Depens how fast this cold front goes, that y a tampa hit is becoming less liekly as the fron is in NFLA now!
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#3572 Postby Brent » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:33 am

It's not going to clear the state until Wilma is through Florida...
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#3573 Postby CronkPSU » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:38 am

Calamity wrote:I continue to find it amazing that the strongest hurricane ever in the Atlantic basin formed in October…


and that people think it has no chance of being more than a cat 1 at florida landfall...waaaaay too early IMHO for people to start celebrating
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#3574 Postby storms in NC » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:42 am

take a look and you can see the eye about to go back into the water.

http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GIFS/GULFWV.JPG
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#3575 Postby HurricaneQueen » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:43 am

Looks as if the eye is getting ready to leave the YP very shortly. Now we await the next phase.

Lynn
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#3576 Postby 6SpeedTA95 » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:44 am

Thanks for the info on the NE impact...

This thing is picking up a bit of an eastward drift/wobble...another hour we should know if its a sustained movement in a more easterly direction.
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#3577 Postby THead » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:44 am

CronkPSU wrote:
Calamity wrote:I continue to find it amazing that the strongest hurricane ever in the Atlantic basin formed in October…


and that people think it has no chance of being more than a cat 1 at florida landfall...waaaaay too early IMHO for people to start celebrating


No kiddin, she has a history. I wouldn't be too surprised to see her make a run at 140 or so again, as soon as she exits the YP. And if she gets back to cat 4 status or worse, and starts this beeline acceleration toward fla.....she is not going to have much time to weaken. I mean cmon, she will still be over water, she's over LAND now and still a cat3!
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#3578 Postby CronkPSU » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:44 am

still a lot of red on the IR loops
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#3579 Postby artist » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:44 am

Image

does that not look like the eye that is almost completely over the water?
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#3580 Postby Myersgirl » Sat Oct 22, 2005 11:46 am

artist wrote:Image

does that not look like the eye that is almost completely over the water?

looks that way, boy that was sooner than I thought
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