Hurricane Wilma - Cat. 5
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HURRICANE WILMA TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z... THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE
WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST OR
ABOUT 70 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 95 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
KEY WEST RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 67 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
75 MPH.
FORECASTER PASCH
Good night folks.
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005
AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z... THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE
WILMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.7 WEST OR
ABOUT 70 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA AND ABOUT 95 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA.
KEY WEST RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS OF 67 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
75 MPH.
FORECASTER PASCH
Good night folks.
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#neversummer
Typhoon wrote:Only 80 knots was found in the NW quad. This should be the weakest quadrant, but 80 knots just seems low to me. Let's see what they find in the SE quad.
If the storm is moving 15kts... and 112kts was found in the SE quad (storm-relative winds + 15kts), then 112-30=82kts, which is very consistent with the 80kt wind measured. The ob seems just fine to me.
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SE quad will be coming over my house soon in west palm 

Last edited by mikemiller18 on Mon Oct 24, 2005 1:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
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And in the last half an hour, a SErn eyewall has really come together.
is in the NWrn eyewall, not meaning to confuse anyone.
0608. 2437N 08226W 03041 5231 222 124 104 104 127 02853 0000000100
0609 2436N 08224W 03047 5221 221 129 086 086 130 02870 0000000100
0609. 2435N 08222W 03048 5207 218 127 082 082 129 02885 0000000100

Last edited by SamSagnella on Mon Oct 24, 2005 1:27 am, edited 1 time in total.
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A sizable chunk of gray convection has developed to the west of the eye.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT ... IR4/20.jpg
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- wxmann_91
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thermos wrote:seriously?
Even if it was, Wilma is clearly on a weakening trend.
Eye opening up to the southwest, almost no rain in the western quadrant noted on the radar. The temperature difference between the inside and outside of eye is decreasing. Of course, Cat 3 landfall is still likely, and by no means should FL think this means Wilma is "poofing", but just pointing out that Wilma's peak in the GOM has most likely passed.
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- deltadog03
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wxmann_91 wrote:thermos wrote:seriously?
Even if it was, Wilma is clearly on a weakening trend.
Eye opening up to the southwest, almost no rain in the western quadrant noted on the radar. The temperature difference between the inside and outside of eye is decreasing. Of course, Cat 3 landfall is still likely, and by no means should FL think this means Wilma is "poofing", but just pointing out that Wilma's peak in the GOM has most likely passed.
Uh?
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wxmann_91 wrote:thermos wrote:seriously?
Even if it was, Wilma is clearly on a weakening trend.
Eye opening up to the southwest, almost no rain in the western quadrant noted on the radar. The temperature difference between the inside and outside of eye is decreasing. Of course, Cat 3 landfall is still likely, and by no means should FL think this means Wilma is "poofing", but just pointing out that Wilma's peak in the GOM has most likely passed.
I disagree, tho there radar has no rain on west side, there are VERY deep clouds there!
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- wxmann_91
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deltadog03 wrote:thats bogus on the radar....radar just can't see that far....look at the VERY COLD tops in the west quad...NOOOO WAY theres nothing there
Well, long range is down, so yeah it is very possible, still though, the short-term trend for Wilma is looking slightly better, perhaps Wilma is leaving the Loop Current. The cold cloud tops are probably from that thin line of convection in the NW Quad.
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