Predict 2006 landfalls, dates, and level of destruction

[angelwing]

Kirk gives me a bad feeling-will be the one to hit NYC (first thing I thought of was Star Trek when I saw the name )
Helene-another bad one to hit Tampa

Not going to post dates, but I think the very first one will probal come the end of March.

[Jim Cantore]

Beryl: sounds like a gulf storm and it has been one but unlike then I think it will be a cat 2-3

Debby: I think she makes up for 2000

Issac: I used him for a simulation I wrote of a cat 5 in NYC

Kirk: I think he breaks the replacement name jynx (minus Michelle)

[terstorm1012]

We'll get to Patty, but all will be long-tracked Fish. Good surfing on the East coast though.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Isaac sounds bad. Like Biblically bad, like 150 into JAX would be.

[mike815]

yeah i agree that name is scary.

[HurricaneJoe22]

We have some sadistic people around here.

[Stormcenter]

Jesus matt the northern gulf wont exist anymore if that season pans out.

Cat 5 in mid June in the GOM I just don't even remotely see as a possibility. Now if you were talking about late July to Sept then very possible. As to the N.O. landfall, well anything is possible but very unlikely. Just my opinions.

[Windtalker1]

I'll take a shot................... Hurricane Florance as a Cat 5 Catastrophic 200 mph+ storm into S Florida end of July, Hurricane Nadine as a Cat 4 into Northern Florida End of August and Hurricane Valerie as a Cat 4 into the Keys End of Sept........ Hitting Florida hard because of La Nina not because I live here!!!!

[ROCK]

I'll take a shot................... Hurricane Florance as a Cat 5 Catastrophic 200 mph+ storm into S Florida end of July, Hurricane Nadine as a Cat 4 into Northern Florida End of August and Hurricane Valerie as a Cat 4 into the Keys End of Sept........ Hitting Florida hard because of La Nina not because I live here!!!!

you must hate you state.....

[mike815]

I SURE DO LOL

[gtalum]

I predict that 17 Category 5's will smash into the US and bring total and complete destruction to our way of life. One of them will level Anchorage, Ak and destroy the US salmon fishery.

[Jim Cantore]

31 Category 5's will make landfall and 20 of them in the U.S it will start on january 19th when a 200mph hurricane makes landfall in northern norway

[hicksta]

i predict everything will stay away from texas

[CHRISTY]

its funny how we all trying to predict how many hurricanes will hit there and there..lets see what will be the mood once the monsters start rolling of africa in a few months..

[Audrey2Katrina]

Not about to make any specs on all the names, locations, or intensities. Love the post about a Cat 5 making US Landfall at Norway!

FWIW, I have bad vibes about Gordon tho'!

[Brent]

I predict that 17 Category 5's will smash into the US and bring total and complete destruction to our way of life. One of them will level Anchorage, Ak and destroy the US salmon fishery.

after 2005... nothing would surprise me.

[vbhoutex]

Ok, now I have some time(if I can stay awake) so here goes.

Alberto - Late March hybrid begins in SW GOM on tail end of front and turns tropcial before moving into the Big Bend area of FL as 55 mph TS. Storm surge is a major issue with this one.

Beryl - An early May storm. begins near the N Yucatan and drifts N then NW. Landfall in S TX between Corpus and Brownsville as a CAT1. Copius rains cause flooding over S TX. Breifly reaches CAT2 status while still in GOM

Chris - Our first Carribean storm. Forms just East of the islands in early June and moves into Carribean as a strengthening TS. Begins a slow recurve after reaching CAT1 just west of the islands and continues strengthening to CAT2 as it passes between Hispaniola and PR on the way out to sea. Devastating rains over PR.

Debby - Another June storm, probably mid - late month. Begins just East of the Turks and Caicos. Tracks along the Eastern edge of the Bahamas and continues a NW course into Jacksonville. Crossing the Gulf Stream she strengthens to 65 mph before landfall.Major flooding in NE FL and most of GA due to slow movement and copius rains.

Ernesto - Comes to be know as the July 4th storm due to formation on the fourth. Ernesto forms in the NW Carribean and moves across the Yucatan as a strong TS. Reemerges into the BOC as a quickly strengthening TD and continues WNW into the Tampico area landfalling as a low end CAT3 hurricane, our first major of the season.

Florence - our first to come out of the Cape Verde region, but does not achieve TS status till just NE of Anguilla. Continuing a track that many say will be a recurve she continues strengthening to a low end CAT4. Still about 150 miles SW of Cape Hatteras she stalls and then turns WNW and slams into Wilmington as a CAT3/CAT4 hurricane. Her track takes her remnants into Eastern Ohio before she totally loses her identity as a TC-July 6th - July16th

Gordon- forms in the NE Carribean after passing over Dominca as a TD. Continues a W to WNW trackwhile steadily strengthening. Reaches CAT1 S of PR, CAT2 as he passes about 80 miles S of Hispaniola, CAT3 between Jamaica and Cuba, CAT4 just off the Western tip of Cuba. Gordon becomes our first 2006 storm to reach CAT5 status just after he passes 90W longitude heading to his eventual landfall at Matagorda, TX as weakening high end CAT4. Though not a direct hit, due to the fact it is in the NE quadrant Houston Metro area takes a hard hit with gusts to 135 mph and sustained measured to 90 mph on the SW and Western side of the metro area. A slow mover Gordon drops up to 16" of rain over many areas of the Eastern 1/3 of TX causing massive flooding. July 30- August 10

Helene - The first true Cape Verde system, Helene is named as she passes just NE of the Leeward Islands. Continued strengthening brings her to a CAT3 status as she steams NW towards the East coast landfall on the Delmarva. At this point she is a weakening CAT2 moving along the or just inland of the coast with final landfall taking her almost directly over NYC with CAT1 winds. August 13th-August21st

Isaac - Issac is another long tracking CV hurricane that reaches CAT5 status for several days, but fortunately recurves as a fish. August 19th - August 30th

Joyce - Another Carribean Storm that forms in the Western Carribean and moves along the Norrthern coast of Honduras as a TS before landfalling in Belize and disapating. Sept 2- Sept. 6

Kirk - Another CV that forms halfway between Africa and the islands. Before finally recurving he reaches CAT5 status as he nears the Carribean Islands. Kirk brushes past Bermuda giving them a scare with his still CAT3 status. Sept. 4- Sept. 14th

Leslie - Forms over the SE GOM after moving through the FL straits as a TD. Strengthens to CAT2 as she moves NW then N into the Cedar Key FL area. Reemerges into ATL near Jacksonville as a weak TS and skirts the coast all the way to Cape Hatteras before heading out to sea Sept 10th-Sept 16th

Michael - Forms on an early fall cold front over the N Cental GOM S of NO. Tracks along the N GOM coast to landfall near Panama City, FL as a strong TS with sustained up to 70 mph Sept 23rd- Sept 26th

Nadine - forms between Cuba and the Bahamas reaching CAT3 status as she heads directly towards SE FL. As she encoutners the Gulf Stream she briefly reaches low end CAT4 strength as she also turns N and then NE as she skirts FL from 50-80 miles offshore. Nadine is a small storm whom many thought might rival the 1935 labor day hurricane. Fortunately this is not the case Oct 1-Oct.8

Oscar - forms in the Carribean off the NE Hounduras coast. Oscar gains CAT1 status as he moves NW just W of the Cayman Islands. He turns N then NNE crossing central Cuba, passing off shore of the SE FL coast as a TS again strengthening to CAT1 status. Oscar surprises everyone by crossing over Cape Hatteras, still a CAT1 hurricane. Not usual for later in the season. Oct 15th-Oct 22nd

Patty - A weak TS that forms along a front in the N GOM and tracks into the LA coast as the front backs Nward as a warm front. Oct 23rd-Oct 24th

Rafael - Forms over the ATL SE of Bermuda and tracks NE briefly reaching CAT1 status before going ET Nov1 -Nov 5

Sandy - BOC formation. Tracks N along the Mexican coast about 50 miles offshore before being abosorbed by a cold front off the coast of Texas, near Corpus. Reaches TS strength as she passes B'ville. Nov. 16th - Nov. 21st.

Tony - Our December surprise. Becomes known as the Christmas Hurricane after forming in the NE GOM on DEC. 20th as a Hybrid, crossing NE FL and running up the entire East Coast to NE where wrap around from the CAT1 system dumps up to 30" of snow in some areas of the NE on Christmas day.

That is my fantasy and I am sticking to it. And I hope only the fishes come true!!!!!

[Epsilon_Fan]

Hmmm, let the newb try

Alberto- I'd say a mid-May TS with extratropical origins... stays at sea

Beryl - An early June Hurricane (75-90mph) that runs up the East Coast but only brushes the coast (outer banks)

Chris- Late June TS that landfalls in the Yucatan and dissipates

Debby- Early July Hurricane that enters Gulf as Cat 2 and landfalls in Northern Gulf as a Cat 1 or strong TS.

Ernesto- Mid-July Caribbean storm that intensifies to a Cat 2 before hitting the Yucatan and crossing the Bay of Campeche and hitting E. Mexico as a TS.

Florence- The first storm to form east of the Antilles is able to strengthen into a Cat 4 and recurves to the north. It weakens through interaction with Cuba but landfalls in S. NC as a Cat 2 storm in late July.

Gordon- A weak mid-August TS that dies in Central America

Helene- Late August Cat 1 Hurricane that forms in the Gulf and landfalls in Texas near Houston.

Isaac - Late August Cape Verde deal that reaches Cat 5 status in the Caribbean before recurving and taking a Katrina like path except that it hits West Florida as a Cat 4 (150mph). The biggie of the year.

Joyce- An early Sept. Cape Verde TS that is drawn northward where it meanders until it is "consumed" by Hurricane Kirk.

Kirk- Another Sept. Cape Verde storm that attains Cat 5 status before weakening slightly, hitting the poor Yucatan, and then recurving into the Gulf where it landfalls in East Texas as a Cat 3.

Leslie- A mid-September TS that develops in the ITCZ but dies a lonely death in the open Atlantic. Briefly reaches Cat 3 status while out there.

Michael- Late Sept. Gulf TS that hits the Western Gulf as a 60mph storm.

Nadine- A late-Sept. storm that reaches Cat 3 status while forming in the West Caribbean before going through West Cuba and the S. tip of Florida before riding up the coast and becoming extra-tropical near New England.

Oscar- Strong TS Develops in the S. Caribbean in early October but is caught by a frontal boundary and recurves out to sea, hitting Hispaniola on the way out. Dies in Central Atlantic.

Patty- Mid-October. A Central Atlantic oceanic storm that manages to become a Cat 1 cane but fizzles a la Epsilon, Delta, Zeta.

Rafael- Mid-October. A transformed extra-tropical low that reaches TS storm status but the convection is weak and it fizzles into a remnant low.

Sandy- To end the year, in Mid-November, a surprise storm will form from an extra-tropical low and reach Cat 2 status but will stay in the open ocean, maybe sending some rain bands Bermuda's way.

Tony - nope
Valerie - nope
William - nope

and no, there will not be another Epsilon next year

[mike815]

geez you really have it covered with every storm.

[Windtalker1]

I'll take a shot................... Hurricane Florance as a Cat 5 Catastrophic 200 mph+ storm into S Florida end of July, Hurricane Nadine as a Cat 4 into Northern Florida End of August and Hurricane Valerie as a Cat 4 into the Keys End of Sept........ Hitting Florida hard because of La Nina not because I live here!!!!

you must hate you state.....

Is that what this is? I thought it was another Country well at least it sounds like it