Fire Weather Discussions

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK RESENT 2
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0303 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2006
   
   VALID 131200Z - 141200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF CENTRAL/ERN AND SRN TX AND
   PORTIONS OF SRN OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A STRONG UPPER SYSTEM WILL MOVE EWD FROM THE SRN PLAINS TO THE ERN
   SEABOARD BY THE END OF THE PERIOD. ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM...A
   STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH RAPIDLY SEWD THROUGH THE GULF OF MEXICO.
   IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...NWLY WINDS GUSTING AT TIMES OVER 35 MPH
   WILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONS OF THE SRN PLAINS AND SERN STATES. DRY AIR
   AND MILD TEMPERATURES WILL COMBINE WITH THE WINDS TO AID IN A
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT OVER MUCH OF THE ERN HALF OF TX AND
   PORTIONS OF SRN OK. ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE NATION...ANOTHER UPPER
   TROUGH WILL APPROACH THE WEST COAST. AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH...AN UPPER
   RIDGE WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS THE ROCKIES. ANOTHER DAY OF ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPERATURES AND LOW RH READINGS WILL BE IN STORE FOR MUCH OF THE
   SOUTHWEST AS A RESULT. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN
   PREVIOUS DAYS...BUT STILL TOO LOW TO WARRANT ANY CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER CONCERNS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SRN/CENTRAL AND ERN
   TX...SCENTRAL/SERN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
   UP TO 35 MPH....MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM
   DROUGHT.
   
   STRONG LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION IN THE WAKE A FAST MOVING COLD FRONT
   AND AMPLE DAYTIME HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES
   TO DEVELOP OVER THE AREA. AN ELEVATED NWLY LOW LEVEL JET OF 50 KTS
   NOTED ON PROFILER DATA IN SCENTRAL OK EARLY THIS MORNING WILL  BE
   LOCATED OVER CENTRAL/SERN TX BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS
   AVERAGING FROM 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 35 MPH WILL
   RESULT...ESPECIALLY FROM CENTRAL/ECENTRAL TX SWD TO THE MIDDLE AND
   UPPER TX COAST. ELSEWHERE OVER SCENTRAL... NCENTRAL/NERN TX AND
   PORTIONS OF SRN OK...WEAKER COLD ADVECTION AND/OR SLIGHT WARM
   ADVECTION AND A DIMINISHING PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LIMIT SUSTAINED
   WINDS TO BETWEEN 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS OVER 25 MPH. OVER THE ENTIRE
   AREA...MILD TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 50S IN SRN OK TO THE LOWER
   70S IN SCENTRAL TX COMBINED WITH DEWPTS IN THE TEENS TO 30S WILL
   LEAD TO MIN RH READINGS FROM 15-25 PERCENT. AN EWD LIMIT OF CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST...WHERE AT LEAST A FEW TENTHS OF AN
   INCH OF HEAVY RAINFALL WILL HAVE FALLEN PRIOR TO THE START OF THE
   PERIOD. BASED ON SURFACE AND RADAR DATA THE ERN EXTENT OF THE
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL BE GENERALLY FROM LONGVIEW SWD TO
   NEAR BEAUMONT.
   
   ...FAR ECENTRAL/NERN TX....WRN/SRN AR AND NRN/WRN LA...
   THE AREA WILL SEE DRY AND MODERATE NWLY WINDS IN THE WAKE OF A
   STRONG COLD FRONT TODAY. HOWEVER...RAINFALL EARLY THIS MORNING IS ON
   AVERAGE 0.25-0.50 IN. THIS RAINFALL IS ANTICIPATED TO BE SUFFICIENT
   TO PRECLUDE A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT DESPITE MIN RH READINGS
   FROM 25-30 PERCENT AND SUSTAINED NWLY WINDS FROM 20-25 MPH.
   
   ...SWRN...CENTRAL AND THE REMAINDER OF ERN OK...
   NWLY WINDS FROM 15-20 MPH WILL OCCUR OVER THE AREA TODAY...
   ESPECIALLY FROM MID MORNING TO MID AFTERNOON WHEN THE LOW LEVEL
   LAPSE RATES WILL BE THE STEEPEST. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SUFFICIENTLY
   COOL /LOW-MID 50S/ THAT DESPITE LOW DEWPTS IN THE TEENS TO 20S...MIN
   RH READINGS WILL AVERAGE AROUND 30 PERCENT. THUS A CRITICAL FIRE
   WEATHER THREAT IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/13/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK CORR 1
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0300 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   CORRECTED FOR ADDED SERN U.S PARAGRAPH
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF WRN OK/NWRN TX
   AND THE TX PANHANDLE...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF ERN NM...WRN/CENTRAL
   TX...CENTRAL OK...PORTIONS OF SRN KS...ERN OK AND NRN TX....
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ANOTHER UPPER SYSTEM IN AN ACTIVE SRN STREAM PATTERN WILL MOVE INTO
   THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE PERIOD. IN ADVANCE OF THIS SYSTEM...UPPER
   RIDGING WILL MOVE EWD INTO THE PLAINS. WARM SWLY WINDS WILL
   REDEVELOP OVER MUCH OF THE PLAINS STATES. COMBINED WITH LOW RH
   READINGS...ANOTHER CRITICAL TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
   THREAT IS EXPECTED OVER MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS REGION. SURFACE WINDS
   WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE OVER THE DESERT SW REGION...LEADING
   CONDITIONS APPROACHING CRITICAL LEVELS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WRN OK/NWRN TX
   AND THE TX PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 25-30 MPH...WITH GUSTS UP
   TO 40 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT.
   
   AS THE UPPER SYSTEM DEEPENS OVER THE WEST COAST AND SOUTHWEST STATES
   THROUGH THE PERIOD...INCREASING MID LEVEL SWLY FLOW WILL AID IN A
   DEEPENING LEE TROUGH/LOW OVER THE HIGH PLAINS. A MODERATE PRESSURE
   GRADIENT WILL RESULT OVER MUCH OF THE HIGH PLAINS AS SURFACE HIGH
   PRESSURE WILL ONLY SLOWLY MOVE EWD AWAY FROM THE TX GULF COAST. AS A
   RESULT...MODERATE SSWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP OVER A FAIRLY LARGE AREA.
   THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA WILL BE LOCATED UNDER THE FORECAST
   STRONGEST PRESSURE GRADIENT/LOW LEVEL JET WHERE SUSTAINED SSWLY
   WINDS FROM 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED. HIGH
   CLOUD COVER WILL TEND TO LIMIT TEMPERATURES FROM REACHING THE
   70S...BUT WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND LOW DEWPTS
   IN THE TEENS WILL AID IN MIN RH READINGS AT OR BELOW 15 PERCENT. THE
   COMBINATION OF VERY LOW RH READINGS AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
   SUPPORT AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT. WINDS SHOULD
   REMAIN STRONG OVERNIGHT...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   LIKELY LASTING UNTIL 02Z.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - MUCH OF ERN NM...WRN/CENTRAL
   TX...CENTRAL OK...PORTIONS OF SERN CO/SRN KS...ERN OK AND NRN TX....
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS FROM 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
   30 MPH...MIN RH READINGS FROM 10-25 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT.
   
   SURROUNDING THE EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...THE FORECAST PRESSURE
   GRADIENT AND/OR LOW LEVEL JET WILL BE WEAKER. THUS SUSTAINED SSWLY
   WINDS WILL AVERAGE FROM 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. AS IN THE
   EXTREMELY CRITICAL AREA...TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOVE TO MUCH ABOVE
   NORMAL DESPITE THE PRESENCE OF HIGH CLOUD COVER. CONSEQUENT RH
   READINGS FROM 10-15 PERCENT WILL BE PRESENT OVER WRN TX/ERN NM/SWRN
   KS...AND BETWEEN 15-25 PERCENT OVER SCENTRAL KS SWD TO CENTRAL TX.
   OVER MUCH OF THE AREA...WINDS SHOULD REMAIN STRONG OVERNIGHT...WITH
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LIKELY LASTING UNTIL 01-02Z.
   
   ...SOUTHWEST STATES...
   AHEAD OF THE DEEPENING UPPER TROUGH...MODERATE SWLY MID LEVEL FLOW
   WILL DEVELOP. RELATIVELY MARGINAL PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TEND TO
   LIMIT THE STRENGTH OF THE SURFACE WINDS OVER LOWER ELEVATIONS. AREA
   WILL BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE UPGRADE IN THE NEXT DAY ONE OUTLOOK
   AS RH READINGS WILL REMAIN AOB 15 PERCENT.
   
   ...REMAINDER OF ERN OK AND ERN TX...
   AREA WILL BE ON THE FRINGE OF THE STRONGER SURFACE PRESSURE
   FALLS/GRADIENT AND THUS SUSTAINED WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE
   AROUND 15 MPH. IN ADDITION...LESS LOW LEVEL MIXING WILL LIMIT HIGH
   TEMPERATURES TO THE UPPER 50S/LOWER 60S AND MIN RH READINGS FROM
   25-30 PERCENT.
   
   ...SERN STATES...
   NWLY WINDS FROM 15-30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE
   LOWER MS VALLEY INTO NRN FL. AREA WILL SEE LOW DEWPTS IN THE
   20S/30S. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONABLY COOL NEAR 60F...AND THUS
   MIN RH READINGS WILL BE AROUND 25 PERCENT. GOOD CHANCES OF WETTING
   RAINS ON DAY ONE WILL LIMIT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 01/13/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2006

...FIRE DANGER LOWER TODAY BUT WILL STILL BE VERY HIGH...

THE FIRE DANGER LEVEL WILL BE LESS TODAY THAN IT HAS BEEN IN RECENT
DAYS...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SOMEWHAT HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY. HOWEVER...BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH WITH
CONTINUED VERY DRY GROUND...AND AN ABUNDANCE OF DORMANT VEGETATION
AND OTHER FUELS...WILL PLACE THE FIRE DANGER IN THE VERY HIGH
CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON OVER MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S TO THE
LOWER 60S WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 25
PERCENT IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA TO AROUND 35 PERCENT IN CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST SECTIONS.  WIND WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM ELEMENT TODAY AS
FAR AS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE CONCERNED. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

PLEASE CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY TO PREVENT THE START OR
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... WILBARGER...
BAYLOR... ARCHER... CLAY... AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
615 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2006

...FIRE DANGER LOWER TODAY BUT WILL STILL BE VERY HIGH...

THE FIRE DANGER LEVEL WILL BE LESS TODAY THAN IT HAS BEEN IN RECENT
DAYS...WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND SOMEWHAT HIGHER RELATIVE
HUMIDITY. HOWEVER...BLUSTERY NORTHWEST WINDS ALONG WITH WITH
CONTINUED VERY DRY GROUND...AND AN ABUNDANCE OF DORMANT VEGETATION
AND OTHER FUELS...WILL PLACE THE FIRE DANGER IN THE VERY HIGH
CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON OVER MOST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS.

AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 50S TO THE
LOWER 60S WHILE MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 25
PERCENT IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA TO AROUND 35 PERCENT IN CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST SECTIONS.  WIND WILL BE THE MAIN PROBLEM ELEMENT TODAY AS
FAR AS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE CONCERNED. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL
AVERAGE 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH THROUGH MUCH OF THE
DAY...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

PLEASE CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY TO PREVENT THE START OR
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... WILBARGER...
BAYLOR... ARCHER... CLAY... AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0355 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006
   
   VALID 141200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR MUCH OF WRN OK/NW TX AND
   THE TX PANHANDLE...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR EXTREME ERN NM/SW INTO NCNTRL
   TX/CNTRL OK/SW KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
   CONDITIONS WILL PERHAPS BE WORSE ON SUNDAY THAN TODAY...AS POTENT
   TROUGH NOW OFF WEST COAST MOVES INTO THE SRN PLAINS. OUTLOOK AREA IS
   BETWEEN SYSTEMS TODAY...WITH SHARPLY AMPLIFIED TROUGH EXITING THE OH
   VALLEY...AND UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVING INTO THE HIGH PLAINS. MODERATE
   TO STRONG SFC WINDS WILL DEVELOP TODAY AND GUSTY CONDITIONS COMBINED
   WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS AND SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT WILL CONTRIBUTE
   TO AN EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY IN SOME LOCATIONS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - MUCH OF WRN OK/NW TX AND
   THE TX PANHANDLE...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/SEVERE
   LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   SRN STREAM IMPULSE NE OF BAJA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE ACROSS NM
   BY AFTN...INCREASING MID LEVEL WINDS TO 40-50 KT. AT LOWER
   LEVELS...LEE TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE PLAINS IN RESPONSE TO
   PRESSURE GRADIENT. HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ACROSS TX
   PANHANDLE/OK AND THIS MAY INHIBIT MIXING...AT LEAST UNTIL LATER IN
   THE DAY. FLOW AT 850MB IS FORECAST TO BE AOA 40 KT BY MID AFTN...AND
   SFC WINDS WILL INCREASE TO AROUND 20-25 MPH WITH FREQUENT HIGHER
   GUSTS. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL DROP BELOW 20 PERCENT...AS
   TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE MID/UPPER 60S.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - EXTREME ERN NM/SW INTO NCNTRL
   TX/CNTRL OK/SW KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES AROUND 20-25 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL
   TEMPS/MODERATE TO SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   CRITICAL AREA WAS MODIFIED FROM THE PREVIOUS OUTLOOK. IN
   PARTICULAR...ERN EDGE OF CRITICAL AREA HAS BEEN MOVED WEST OF
   INTERSTATE 35 IN OK/TX...AND ONLY A SMALL PORTION OF ERN NM IS
   INCLUDED. RH VALUES ACROSS ERN OK AND NCNTRL TX /NOT INCLUDED IN THE
   CRITICAL OUTLOOK/ WILL BE ABOVE 20 PERCENT AND SFC WINDS WILL ONLY
   BE IN THE 10-20 MPH RANGE. STILL...WITH LONG TERM DROUGHT
   CONDITIONS...EVEN OCNL STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL INCREASE WILDFIRE
   THREATS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0432 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/TX S PLAINS/WRN
   OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SW INTO NCNTRL TX/MUCH OF
   OK/SRN KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   BY SUNDAY...TROUGH NOW OFF WEST COAST WILL BE LOCATED OVER THE GREAT
   BASIN. VIGOROUS SRN STREAM JET MAX WILL MOVE ACROSS SE NM INTO THE
   TX S PLAINS BY AFTN...AS MID LEVEL WINDS INCREASE TO AROUND 85 KT.
   MEANWHILE...LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN IN RESPONSE TO DEEPENING
   LOW PRESSURE IN THE HIGH PLAINS. A COLD FRONT WILL DEVELOP BY 16/00Z
   ACROSS ERN NM. WHILE THIS FRONT WILL BRING COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR
   MONDAY...WINDS WILL SHIFT SHARPLY WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE WHICH
   WILL IMPACT ONGOING FIRE SUPPRESSION EFFORTS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/TX S PLAINS/WRN
   OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MAX TEMPS IN THE 70S/SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN ON SATURDAY...WITH EVEN
   STRONGER SFC WINDS. BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING
   THOUGH...WHICH SHOULD KEEP RH VALUES IN THE 20-30 PERCENT RANGE.
   SLIGHTLY LOWER RH VALUES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE.
   FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW FOR DEEP
   MIXING...TO AROUND 700MB IN THE WRN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.
   HIGHER GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN NM/SW INTO NCNTRL TX/MUCH OF
   OK/SRN KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING RAPIDLY ON SUNDAY DUE TO
   STRONG SLY WINDS. THIS WILL KEEP RH VALUES RELATIVELY HIGH /ABOVE
   25-30 PERCENT/ ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL AREA. HOWEVER...TEMPS
   WILL CONTINUE TO BE ABOVE NORMAL...AND STRONG WINDS WILL RANGE FROM
   15-25 MPH WITH PERIODIC HIGHER GUSTS. THESE CONDITIONS COMBINED WITH
   THE VERY DRY FUELS WILL LIKELY COMPENSATE FOR HIGHER RH VALUES. THIS
   WILL SUPPORT A CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT ACROSS MUCH OF OK AND
   PORTIONS OF SW INTO NCNTRL TX.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/14/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
420 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

...A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SATURDAY FROM 11 AM THROUGH
6 PM ALONG AND WEST OF A NOCONA...WEATHERFORD...GLEN ROSE...HAMILTON
LINE...

...A NEW RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SUNDAY FROM 11 AM
THROUGH 6 PM ALONG AND WEST OF A SHERMAN...ROCKWALL...CLEBURNE
...GATESVILLE...LAMPASAS LINE...

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS.
WEST OF A NOCONA...WEATHERFORD...GLEN ROSE...HAMILTON LINE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 10 TO 20 MPH AND COMBINE
WITH LOW AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES AND DRY FUELS TO MAKE ANY OPEN FLAME
EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS. BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT ACROSS THE AREA.

ON SUNDAY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF NORTH TEXAS BUT WILL REMAIN LOW IN THE WARNING
AREA.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS ARE IN EFFECT AREAWIDE. AVOID ANY ACTIVITIES THAT
COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR WELDING OR TOSSING LIT
CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
347 PM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-151100-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
347 PM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

...FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH SUNDAY AND
MONDAY ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES GRADUALLY CLIMBING ABOVE 20 PERCENT. ALTHOUGH WIND
SPEEDS WILL BE STRONGER ON SUNDAY...RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD
STAY ABOVE 20 PERCENT ACROSS THE AREA DUE TO SOME INCREASE IN LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE. NEVERTHELESS...CONDITIONS WILL APPROACH CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS...ESPECIALLY WEST OF A LINE FROM SWEETWATER
TO SAN ANGELO TO OZONA.

WINDS WILL BECOME WEST BY MONDAY MORNING...BRINGING DRIER AIR
BACK INTO WEST CENTRAL TEXAS. THE WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY. WITH
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT MONDAY AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
NORTH. GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE LIKELY FOR SEVERAL HOURS AFTER THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS MAY BE REACHED
ON MONDAY.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH OR RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE RE-ISSUED IF IT
BECOMES APPARENT THAT CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE FAVORABLE FOR
EXCEEDING CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THRESHOLDS.

DROUGHT INDICES ARE AT RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS...AND MORE
THAN 75 PERCENT OF TEXAS COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS. TO STOP
DISASTROUS WILD FIRES...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE AND THE GOVERNORS
DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REMIND YOU OF THE FOLLOWING...

IT HAS BEEN WINDY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY. HELP PREVENT
DEADLY WILD FIRES. DO NOT USE FIREWORKS OR BURN TRASH. DO NOT
THROW BURNING CIGARETTES ON THE GROUND. REMEMBER TOO THAT
ACCIDENTAL FIRES CAN START FROM MACHINERY AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
940 AM CST SAT JAN 14 2006

...FIRE DANGER INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON...

A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ALL OF WESTERN
NORTH TEXAS...WESTERN OKLAHOMA...AND PARTS OF CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WEST
OF INTERSTATE 35. ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35...FIRE DANGER WILL
INCREASE TO THE EXTREME OR VERY HIGH CATEGORY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS
FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS INTENDED TO EMPHASIZE THE DEVELOPMENT OF
EXTREME FIRE DANGER IN AREAS OUTSIDE THE RED FLAG
WARNING...INCLUDING NORTH CENTRAL THROUGH SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

THE APPROACH OF AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM WILL LEAD INTO THE SAME
TYPE OF WEATHER PATTERN THE REGION HAS EXPERIENCED THE PAST SEVERAL
WEEKS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE SUBSTANTIALLY THIS
AFTERNOON...BRINGING IN WARM AND VERY DRY CONTINENTAL AIR FROM
WEST TEXAS. AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE
60S...HUMIDITIES WILL DROP BELOW 20 PERCENT OVER MUCH OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 MPH
WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA BY MID AFTERNOON...WHILE 10 TO
20 MPH WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN SOUTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. THESE
CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE RAPID DEVELOPMENT AND SPREAD OF
ANY WILDFIRES THAT MAY START.

PLEASE CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY TO PREVENT THE START OR
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN...FOARD...KNOX...BAYLOR...ARCHER...
CLAY...AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0403 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2006
   
   VALID 151200Z - 161200Z
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN NM/NW TX AND TX
   PANHANDLE/WRN OK...
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/SW TX THROUGH NCNTRL
   TX/OK/SRN KS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SUNDAY WILL BE ANOTHER WINDY AND WARM DAY WITH NEAR RECORD HIGH
   TEMPERATURES...CONTRIBUTING TO EXTREMELY CRITICAL AND PARTICULARLY
   DANGEROUS FIRE CONDITIONS. INITIAL UPPER IMPULSE IS MOVING ACROSS
   CNTRL KS EARLY THIS MORNING...WITH NEXT WAVE APPROACHING FROM THE
   GREAT BASIN. LEE TROUGH HAS ALREADY FORMED ACROSS KS...AND SFC WINDS
   ACROSS THE PLAINS HAVE BEEN GUSTY OVERNIGHT. AS SFC LOW PRESSURE
   CONTINUES TO DEEPEN ACROSS THE NRN PLAINS...WINDS BY LATE
   MORNING/EARLY AFTN WILL BECOME EVEN STRONGER WITH GUSTS OVER 40 MPH.
   THIS WILL GREATLY INCREASE THE THREAT FOR WIND DRIVEN FIRES ACROSS A
   LARGE AREA OF THE SRN PLAINS.
   
   ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN NM/NW TX AND TX
   PANHANDLE/WRN OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-35 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 15 PERCENT/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/SEVERE
   LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   EARLY MORNING OBSERVATIONS FROM AREA WIND PROFILERS /OK AND KS/
   INDICATE 40-50 KT WINDS WITHIN THE LOWEST 2KM. TEMPS HAVE STAYED
   MILD OVERNIGHT...DUE TO THE STRONG WINDS AND LIMITED DECOUPLING.
   GIVEN THE WARM START...MAX TEMPS SHOULD EASILY CLIMB INTO THE MID
   60S/LOWER 70S EVEN WITH SOME CLOUD COVER. IN ADDITION...WINDS ARE
   CURRENTLY AROUND 15-25 MPH ACROSS PARTS OF THE TX PANHANDLE/OK WITH
   PERIODIC GUSTS OVER 30 MPH. AS MORNING INVERSION BREAKS...DEEP
   MIXING WILL ALLOW SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-35 MPH TO DEVELOP WITH
   PERIODIC GUSTS OVER 40 MPH POSSIBLE. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE
   LOWEST ACROSS NM/TX PANHANDLE/FAR WRN OK WHERE THEY MAY FALL BELOW
   10 PERCENT. ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA THOUGH...RH VALUES OF 15-20
   PERCENT WILL BE COMMON.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 2 - ERN NM/SW TX THROUGH NCNTRL
   TX/OK/SRN KS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE THAT BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO
   RETURN TODAY ACROSS ERN OK/NCNTRL TX...BUT NOT UNTIL LATER IN THE
   DAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES /GIVEN CURRENT DEWPOINT TRENDS/ WILL LIKELY
   RANGE BETWEEN 20-25 PERCENT FOR ERN OK WITH HIGHER VALUES ACROSS
   NCNTRL TX WHICH IS CLOSER TO THE MOIST AIR. WINDS WILL NOT BE AS
   STRONG AS FARTHER WEST...BUT WINDS WILL VARY FROM 20-30 MPH WITH
   HIGHER GUSTS. THE COMBINATION OF SEVERE DROUGHT AND STRONG WINDS
   WILL BE CONDUCIVE FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0405 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN OK/NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   SFC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH MUCH OF THE SRN PLAINS THIS
   FORECAST PERIOD. ALTHOUGH COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED...WIND
   SHIFTS WILL CREATE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN. BY
   EARLY MON...LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE HIGH
   PLAINS. COLD FRONT ON MON MORNING WILL LIKELY EXTEND FROM NW OK/SE
   KS TO A SFC LOW IN NRN MO. ALTHOUGH MODELS DIFFER ON THE TIMING OF
   THE FROPA...IT IS LIKELY THAT AT LEAST PORTIONS OF ERN OK AND MOST
   OF NCNTRL TX WILL REMAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.
   CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARM SECTOR ON MON. IN
   ADDITION...WIND SHIFT FROM SW TO EVENTUALLY NW WILL OCCUR ACROSS
   PORTIONS OF THE TX PANHANDLE AND OK...WITH VERY GUSTY /25-40 MPH/
   POST FRONTAL WINDS EXPECTED.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN OK/NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   TEMPS IN THE WARM SECTOR ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER
   70S...WITH MODERATE SW/W WINDS. ALTHOUGH MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE
   ABOVE 15 PERCENT...LONG TERM DROUGHT AND THE WINDY CONDITIONS MAY
   CONTRIBUTE TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. CRITICAL AREA MAY BE
   MODIFIED IN THE NEXT FORECAST TO ACCOUNT FOR OBSERVED FRONTAL
   POSITION.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/15/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
408 AM CST SUN JAN 15 2006

...THE RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED AND WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR
SUNDAY FROM 11 AM THROUGH MONDAY AT 6 PM FOR THE NORTHWEST TWO THIRDS
OF NORTH TEXAS...ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A CANTON...WACO...TO TEMPLE
LINE...

ON SUNDAY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30 MPH WITH
OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH. AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN LOW IN
THE WARNING AREA...RANGING FROM ABOUT 15 PERCENT IN THE NORTHWEST TO
NEAR 30 PERCENT IN THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE RED FLAG AREA.

ON MONDAY THE STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND THEN
NORTHWEST BEHIND A DRY LINE THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA. ANY
FIRES THAT ARE BURNING DURING THE WIND SHIFT WILL QUICKLY CHANGE
COURSE.

IN THE SOUTHEAST THIRD OF NORTH TEXAS WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER...15
TO 25 MPH...AND MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL BE HIGHER...UP TO 45
PERCENT...BUT FUELS ARE STILL VERY DRY AND ANY FIRE COULD STILL
BECOME QUICKLY UNCONTROLLABLE.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS REMAIN EFFECT AREAWIDE. AVOID ANY ACTIVITIES THAT
COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR WELDING OR TOSSING LIT
CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES INITIAL EFFORTS AT CONTAINMENT...RESIDENTS ARE
ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND/OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0348 AM CST MON JAN 16 2006
   
   VALID 161200Z - 171200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SERN OK/NCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS SFC LOW IN CNTRL IA WITH A COLD
   FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE LOW INTO NCNTRL KS. AT UPPER LEVELS...UPPER
   TROUGH NOW CROSSING AZ/UT WILL MOVE INTO THE CNTRL/SRN PLAINS TODAY.
   COLD FRONT WILL ACCELERATE SWD ACROSS KS INTO OK THIS MORNING/AFTN
   PRECEDED BY A PRE-FRONTAL WIND SHIFT. MEANWHILE A DRYLINE WILL
   BECOME BETTER DEFINED OVER NCNTRL TX. SHARP WIND SHIFTS AND RELATIVE
   HUMIDITY CHANGES WILL OCCUR NEAR THE RESPECTIVE BOUNDARIES. POST
   FRONTAL WINDS ACROSS OK/TX PANHANDLE WILL BE EVEN STRONGER THAN
   AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THERE IS SOME CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
   TODAY...BUT AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE LIGHT AND RAIN SHOWERS SCATTERED.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SERN OK/NCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED WINDS 15-20 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/SEVERE LONG TERM DROUGHT
   
   SFC DEWPOINTS ARE MAINLY IN THE UPPER 30S/40S WITH ASSOCIATED RH
   VALUES ABOVE 60 PERCENT AS OF EARLY THIS MORNING.
   HOWEVER...PARTIALLY BECAUSE OF THE WARM START...ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS
   IN THE MID/UPPER 60S ARE EXPECTED BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES...WITH
   70S SOUTH OF THE RED RIVER. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 25-35
   PERCENT RANGE. WINDS MAY SHIFT AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL FRONT...BUT WILL
   BE VERY GUSTY BEHIND THE FRONT. SUSTAINED POST FRONTAL WINDS OF
   20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS ARE LIKELY ACROSS MUCH OF OK BY LATE
   AFTN.
   
   ...SW TX...
   THIS REGION WILL AGAIN EXPERIENCE WARM TEMPS IN THE MID 50S/MID 60S
   TODAY...ALONG WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 20 PERCENT. GUSTY WLY
   WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-25 MPH.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/16/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0349 AM CST MON JAN 16 2006
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   AFTER SEVERAL DAYS OF HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE SRN
   PLAINS...COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR TUE. SRN STREAM
   DISTURBANCE NOW CROSSING AZ/UT WILL PHASE WITH NRN SYSTEM...WITH A
   SHARPLY AMPLIFIED LONG WAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE CNTRL CONUS ON TUE
   MORNING. TROUGH WILL QUICKLY MOVE EWD INTO THE OH VALLEY BY EARLY
   WED. ASSOCIATED SFC LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL EVENTUALLY LIFT NWD
   ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...WITH ELONGATED COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM
   LAKE ERIE SWD TO GA BY TUE EVENING.
   
   ...SCNTRL TX...
   SUSTAINED POST FRONTAL WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS MUCH
   OF SCNTRL TX...WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY TO AROUND 40 MPH.
   TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE COOLER...WHICH SHOULD MITIGATE
   CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/16/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
545 AM CST FRI JAN 13 2006

...FIRE DANGER VERY HIGH TO EXTREME TODAY...

A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE RAPIDLY SOUTHWARD THROUGH OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS
TODAY. STRONG NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH AND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW 50S IN NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA
TO THE UPPER 60S IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE THE FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH DURING THE AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY WILL RANGE FROM 35 TO 45
PERCENT DURING THE AFTERNOON. DESPITE THE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND
SOMEWHAT HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY...THE STRONG WINDS WILL KEEP FIRE
DANGER IN THE VERY HIGH TO EXTREME CATEGORY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY.

PLEASE CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY TO PREVENT THE START OR
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... WILBARGER...
BAYLOR... ARCHER... CLAY... AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
700 AM CST MON JAN 16 2006

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 6 PM TODAY ALONG AND
NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM TEMPLE...TO HILLSBORO...TO CANTON...FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM TODAY TO 6 PM TUESDAY
FOR ALL OF NORTH TEXAS...FOR GUSTY WINDS AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...

A DRY LINE WILL PUSH INTO NORTH TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...SHIFTING THE
WINDS FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO WEST...AND USHERING IN VERY DRY AIR.
GUSTY WINDS AND DRY AIR WILL COMBINE TO CREATE A HIGH FIRE DANGER.
IN ADDITION...LIGHTNING MAY INITIATE WILDFIRES.

A COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN MOVING THROUGH THE AREA LATE IN THE DAY.
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL KEEP THE FIRE DANGER UP OVERNIGHT.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT AREAWIDE. AVOID ANY ACTIVITIES
THAT COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR WELDING OR TOSSING
LIT CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY
SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES INITIAL EFFORTS AT CONTAINMENT...RESIDENTS ARE
ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND/OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL-HAZARDS RADIO FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION
ORDERS.

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
443 AM CST MON JAN 16 2006

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-161700-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
443 AM CST MON JAN 16 2006

...FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH LATE TODAY...

LIGHTER WINDS OVERNIGHT AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITIES OVER WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS MORNING HAVE TEMPORARILY EASED THE FIRE
WEATHER RISK.

HOWEVER...WEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 25
MPH RANGE AND BECOME GUSTY TODAY...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
DROPPING SHARPLY TO AROUND 25 PERCENT BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE
COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND TINDER DRY
RANGELAND WILL RESULT IN ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER ONCE AGAIN
LATER TODAY. A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH ACROSS WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. GUSTY NORTH WINDS
WILL FOLLOW PASSAGE OF THE FRONT AND WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD RISE ABOVE 40 PERCENT MONDAY
NIGHT AS COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE REGION.

DROUGHT INDICES ARE AT RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS...AND MORE
THAN 75 PERCENT OF TEXAS COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS. TO STOP
DISASTROUS WILD FIRES...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE AND THE
GOVERNORS DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REMIND YOU OF THE
FOLLOWING...

IT HAS BEEN WINDY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY. HELP PREVENT
DEADLY WILD FIRES. DO NOT USE FIREWORKS OR BURN TRASH. DO NOT
THROW BURNING CIGARETTES ON THE GROUND. REMEMBER TOO THAT
ACCIDENTAL FIRES CAN START FROM MACHINERY AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0158 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2006
   
   VALID 171200Z - 181200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NCNTRL THROUGH SCNTRL TX...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   LARGE UPPER TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM THE TX HILL COUNTRY THROUGH THE
   NRN/CNTRL PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING. AS TROUGH MOVES EWD TODAY...MID
   LEVEL WINDS WILL BECOME N/NWLY AND INCREASE TO 60+ KT BY MID DAY. IN
   ADDITION...DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN ACROSS NCNTRL
   TX...WHICH WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LOW HUMIDITY. STEEP LAPSE RATES WILL
   ALLOW STRONGER WINDS ALOFT TO MIX DOWN TO THE SFC...WITH GUSTY WINDS
   THIS AFTN/TONIGHT. EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT PERSISTS ACROSS THE
   CRITICAL AREA...AND MOST AREAS RECEIVED NO RAIN ON MONDAY.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NCNTRL THROUGH SCNTRL TX...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED N/NWLY WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS TO 40 MPH/MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 25 PERCENT/EXTREME LONG TERM
   DROUGHT
   
   MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM THE LOW/MID 50S ACROSS NCNTRL TX TO MID
   60S FARTHER SOUTH. FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST DEWPOINTS WILL FALL TO
   AROUND 10-15 DEGREES...RESULTING IN MINIMUM RH VALUES BELOW 25
   PERCENT. SOME AREAS WITHIN THE OUTLOOK AREA WILL HAVE EVEN LOWER
   HUMIDITY. THE MONDAY EVENING SOUNDING FROM FORT WORTH SHOWED A VERY
   WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER TO ABOVE 700MB. WHILE THE MIXING HEIGHT
   WILL BE LOWER TODAY...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND A DRY BOUNDARY LAYER
   WILL SUPPORT STRONG SFC WINDS TODAY. THE ENTIRE AREA IS SUFFERING
   FROM EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT /OBSERVED KBDI VALUES ABOVE 700/. THE
   COMBINATION OF DRY FUELS/LOW HUMIDITY AND STRONG WINDS WILL CREATE
   DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...POSING A THREAT FOR FIRE
   SUPPRESSION EFFORTS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/17/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0401 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2006
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR ERN NM/NW TX INTO NCNTRL TX/OK...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   EARLY MORNING WATER VAPOR/SATELLITE LOOPS SHOW AT LEAST A COUPLE
   WELL DEFINED UPPER CIRCULATIONS SOUTH OF THE GULF OF AK. THE FIRST
   OF THESE IS NOW MOVING INTO WRN BC...BUT THE SECOND WILL MOVE INTO
   THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST BY EARLY WED MORNING. MODEL SOLNS DIFFER BY
   19/00Z...WITH THE GFS STRONGER WITH THE MID LEVEL FLOW AND THE
   AMPLITUDE OF THE NRN STREAM SHORTWAVE. THE GFS IS PREFERRED GIVEN
   CURRENT SATELLITE TRENDS AND THE LATEST RUN OF THE ECMWF...AND ITS
   SOLN WILL ULTIMATELY RESULT IN A STRONGER SFC LOW OVER THE PLAINS BY
   WED AFTN. DEVELOPING LEE TROUGH ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS WILL INDUCE
   STRONG SLY WINDS ON WED...WITH CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   EXPECTED YET AGAIN.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - ERN NM/NW TX INTO NCNTRL TX/OK...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: SUSTAINED SFC WINDS 15-30 MPH WITH HIGHER
   GUSTS/LOW RH/ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS/EXTREME DROUGHT
   
   ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS ARE FORECAST ON WED...RANGING FROM A FEW DEGREES
   IN THE WRN PORTION OF THE OUTLOOK AREA...TO 10-20 DEGREES ABOVE
   NORMAL FARTHER EAST. STRONG S/SWLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP BY LATE AFTN
   WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 15-30 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS LIKELY. THE
   WORST CONDITIONS WILL BE ACROSS ERN NM/TX HIGH PLAINS WHERE MINIMUM
   RH VALUES OF 10-15 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED. RH VALUES FARTHER EAST WILL
   FALL BELOW 20-25 PERCENT BY MID/LATE AFTN. PORTIONS OF THE CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER AREA HAVE NOT HAD RAIN IN NEARLY 3 MONTHS...AND RECENT
   FIRE DANGER CLASS OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW HIGH TO EXTREME
   VALUES. GIVEN THE EXTREME LONG TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS...CRITICAL
   FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER A LARGE PORTION OF THE
   PLAINS.
   
   ..TAYLOR.. 01/17/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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GRASS FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
530 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2006

...A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY FOR ALL OF
NORTH TEXAS...FOR GUSTY WINDS AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS...

GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL COMBINE WITH LOW HUMIDITY
TO CREATE A HIGH FIRE DANGER AGAIN TODAY. LOW HUMIDITY CONTRIBUTES
TO BOTH FIRE INITIATION AND MAINTENANCE. STRONG WINDS SPREAD FIRES
READILY AND MAKE THEM DIFFICULT TO CONTAIN.

WITH DORMANT VEGETATION AND STRONG WINDS...WHAT LITTLE GROUND
MOISTURE RESULTED FROM SCANT RAINFALL MONDAY HAS SINCE EVAPORATED.
FUELS ARE ONCE AGAIN VERY DRY.

ALL PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PREVENT FIRES FROM STARTING.
OUTDOOR BURN BANS REMAIN IN EFFECT AREAWIDE. AVOID ANY ACTIVITIES
THAT COULD START A DEADLY FIRE...SUCH AS OUTDOOR WELDING OR TOSSING
LIT CIGARETTES. NEARLY ALL WILDFIRES ARE INTENTIONALLY OR CARELESSLY
SET.

IF YOU OBSERVE A WILDFIRE OR ONE DEVELOPS...REPORT IT QUICKLY TO THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICE OR FIRE DEPARTMENT.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES INITIAL EFFORTS AT CONTAINMENT...RESIDENTS ARE
ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND/OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA ALL-HAZARDS RADIO FOR POSSIBLE EVACUATION
ORDERS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
508 AM CST TUE JAN 17 2006

...FIRE DANGER LOWER TODAY BUT WILL STILL BE VERY HIGH...

NORTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY...WITH SPEEDS
RANGING FROM 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM AROUND 20 TO 35
PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE
FROM THE MID 40S IN NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA TO THE MIDDLE 50S IN
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. THE STRONG WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL COMBINE WITH THE DRY VEGETATION TO CREATE VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER
TODAY. WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING AS WINDS BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE WEST AND SOUTHWEST.

PLEASE CONTINUE TO EXERCISE CAUTION TODAY TO PREVENT THE START OR
SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF
GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK... FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... WILBARGER...
BAYLOR... ARCHER... CLAY... AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
155 PM CST TUE JAN 17 2006

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS AFTERNOON...

NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS JUST BELOW 30 MPH WILL OCCUR
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE 15 TO 20
PERCENT IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND 20 TO 25 PERCENT IN THE SOUTHEAST.
WITH DRY VEGETATION THIS WILL CREATE VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE WIND WILL DIMINISH JUST BEFORE SUNSET AND TURN MORE TO WEST.

USE CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH
COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...
FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... WILBARGER...
BAYLOR... ARCHER... CLAY... AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.

[TexasStooge]

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   DAY 1 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0206 AM CST WED JAN 18 2006
   
   VALID 181200Z - 191200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR SW AND CNTRL OKLAHOMA/NW AND N
   CNTRL TEXAS...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER EASTERN COLORADO BY 19/00Z.
   SURFACE WINDS OVER THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS WILL INCREASE DURING
   THE AFTERNOON IN RESPONSE TO THIS SYSTEM. THE LOW WILL MOVE
   NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA DURING THE PERIOD...AND A
   LACK OF MOISTURE AHEAD OF THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT OVER KANSAS
   SUGGESTS VERY LITTLE PRECIPITATION WILL DEVELOP. ELSEWHERE...ANOTHER
   STORM SYSTEM IN THE NORTHEASTERN UNITED STATES WILL EXIT THE REGION
   AFTER BRINGING RAIN AND SOME MIXED WINTER PRECIPITATION...AND A HIGH
   PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DOMINATE THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - SW AND CNTRL OKLAHOMA/NW AND N
   CNTRL TEXAS...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: STRONG AND GUSTY S/SW WINDS...LOW RELATIVE
   HUMIDITIES...CONTINUED DROUGHT AND DRY SURFACE FUELS
   
   SURFACE WIND SPEEDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS WILL INCREASE
   IN RESPONSE TO A STRENGTHENING PRESSURE GRADIENT FROM THE DEVELOPING
   LEE CYCLONE OVER EASTERN COLORADO. WIND SPEEDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE AT
   OR ABOVE 20 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...OVER THE AREA. RELATIVE
   HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE LOW ONCE AGAIN...WITH LATE AFTERNOON VALUES
   RANGING FROM SINGLE DIGITS TO MIDDLE TEENS. A SEVERE TO EXTREME
   DROUGHT CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION...AND SURFACE FUELS REMAIN
   EXTREMELY DRY. THE GREATEST FIRE WEATHER THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST
   DURING THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS WHEN TEMPERATURES ARE
   HIGH AND WIND SPEEDS ARE MAXIMIZED...WITH THE THREAT TAPERING OFF
   SOMEWHAT AFTER SUNSET AS WIND SPEEDS DECREASE AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY
   VALUES RECOVER.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 01/18/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

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   DAY 2 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0256 AM CST WED JAN 18 2006
   
   VALID 191200Z - 201200Z
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR NW TEXAS/TX PANHANDLE/SE NEW
   MEXICO...
   
   ...SYNOPSIS...
   A MIX OF LIQUID AND FROZEN PRECIPITATION WILL OCCUR OVER THE GREAT
   LAKES REGION AS A SURFACE CYCLONE MOVES INTO THE AREA. A COLD FRONT
   WILL STRETCH FROM THAT SYSTEM IN SOUTHERN WISCONSIN TO ANOTHER
   DEVELOPING LEE CYCLONE IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO. AS WITH MOST OF
   THE PREVIOUS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS...MOISTURE WILL BE SCARCE AHEAD OF
   THE COLD FRONT AND NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED. ADDITIONALLY...A
   HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM STILL DOMINATES THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES...WHILE
   SNOW FALLS IN SOME AREAS OF THE ROCKY MOUNTAINS.
   
   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA 1 - NW TEXAS/TX PANHANDLE/SE NEW
   MEXICO...
   
   PRIMARY CONDITIONS: LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...STRONG SURFACE WINDS
   
   A FIRE WEATHER THREAT EXISTS FOR A BRIEF PERIOD DURING THE AFTERNOON
   HOURS AS ANOTHER LEE CYCLONE DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS.
   THIS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FORMS IN NORTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO AND IN
   RESPONSE...WINDS IN NORTHWEST TEXAS...THE TEXAS PANHANDLE...AND
   EASTERN NEW MEXICO WILL BE AROUND 20 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SURFACE
   FUELS CONTINUE TO REMAIN DRY DUE TO THE CONTINUED DROUGHT...AND
   ANOTHER DAY OF FIRE WEATHER RISK WILL EXIST ONCE AGAIN AS RELATIVE
   HUMIDITY VALUES FALL INTO THE MID TEENS AND AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES
   CLIMB INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S F.
   
   ..LEVIT.. 01/18/2006
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

[TexasStooge]

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
549 AM CST WED JAN 18 2006

TXZ049-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-098-099-113-114-127-128-139-
140-154-155-168>170-181400-
FISHER-NOLAN-STERLING-COKE-RUNNELS-IRION-TOM GREEN-CONCHO-
CROCKETT-SCHLEICHER-SUTTON-HASKELL-THROCKMORTON-JONES-SHACKELFORD-
TAYLOR-CALLAHAN-COLEMAN-BROWN-MCCULLOCH-SAN SABA-MENARD-KIMBLE-
MASON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROTAN...ROBY...SWEETWATER...
STERLING CITY...ROBERT LEE...BRONTE...BALLINGER...WINTERS...
MERTZON...SAN ANGELO...EDEN...OZONA...ELDORADO...SONORA...
HASKELL...THROCKMORTON...WOODSON...STAMFORD...ANSON...HAMLIN...
ALBANY...ABILENE...CLYDE...BAIRD...CROSS PLAINS...COLEMAN...
BROWNWOOD...BRADY...SAN SABA...MENARD...JUNCTION...MASON
549 AM CST WED JAN 18 2006

..FIRE WEATHER DANGER CRITICAL TODAY AND THURSDAY...

RED FLAG WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...AND MUCH OF
THE STATE TODAY...AS STRONG SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS ALONG THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE AND NEW MEXICO STATE LINE. STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS
AND AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 10 AND 15 PERCENT...WILL
COMBINE TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS WILD FIRE CONDITIONS ON DRY TINDER
RANGELAND. FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL RAPIDLY BECOME LARGE AND
POTENTIALLY LIFE THREATENING.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL EXIST THURSDAY...AND A FIRE WEATHER WATCH
HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR WEST CENTRAL TEXAS ON THURSDAY.

WILD FIRE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE ELEVATED INTO FRIDAY AS A
SURFACE LOW MOVES EAST ACROSS OKLAHOMA. STRONG DRYING WEST WINDS WILL
SHIFT NORTH LATE FRIDAY AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS.

DROUGHT INDICES ARE AT RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LEVELS...AND MORE
THAN 75 PERCENT OF TEXAS COUNTIES HAVE ISSUED BURN BANS. TO STOP
DISASTROUS WILD FIRES...THE TEXAS FOREST SERVICE AND THE
GOVERNORS DIVISION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REMIND YOU OF THE
FOLLOWING...

IT HAS BEEN WINDY AND UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY. HELP PREVENT
DEADLY WILD FIRES. DO NOT USE FIREWORKS OR BURN TRASH. DO NOT
THROW BURNING CIGARETTES ON THE GROUND. REMEMBER TOO THAT
ACCIDENTAL FIRES CAN START FROM MACHINERY AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL ATTACK...RESIDENTS ARE ADVISED
TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE. MAYORS AND OR COUNTY
JUDGES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS WITHIN
TEXAS.

[TexasStooge]

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FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
458 AM CST WED JAN 18 2006

...VERY HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
THIS AFTERNOON...
...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE REST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH
TEXAS...

TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS NORTHWEST AND
NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ALSO RANGE
FROM 15 TO 20 PERCENT ACROSS THIS AREA. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
WEAKER THAN AREAS FURTHER SOUTH AND EAST WITH WIND SPEEDS RANGING
FROM 10 TO 20 MPH. THE WARM TEMPERATURES... LOW RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES... AND DRY VEGETATION WILL RESULT IN VERY HIGH FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

ACROSS THE REST OF OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS... UNSEASONABLY
WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED WITH HIGHS RANGING FROM THE MID 60S
TO THE LOW 70S. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL FALL TO BELOW 20 PERCENT BY
THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL INCREASE TO 15 TO 25
MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS THIS AFTERNOON. THE WARM TEMPERATURES... LOW
HUMIDITY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL COMBINE TO CREATE EXTREME FIRE
DANGER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA.

USE CAUTION TO PREVENT THE START OR SPREAD OF WILDFIRES... WHICH
COULD RESULT IN THE DESTRUCTION OF GRASSLANDS... LIVESTOCK...
FORESTS AND PROPERTY.

A BURN BAN...ISSUED BY THE STATE OF OKLAHOMA...REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE STATE. A BURN BAN ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH
TEXAS COUNTIES OF HARDEMAN... FOARD... KNOX... BAYLOR... ARCHER...
CLAY... AND WICHITA.

RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT IF A WILDFIRE ESCAPES AN INITIAL
ATTACK...YOU ARE ADVISED TO EVACUATE IMMEDIATELY FOR A SAFE ZONE.
TEXAS RESIDENTS ARE REMINDED THAT MAYORS AND OR COUNTY JUDGES HAVE
THE AUTHORITY TO DEMAND MANDATORY EVACUATIONS.