A "tad" bit sarcastic I'd say

[azsnowman]

Ya know........when things are THIS bad, do we REALLY NEED this kind of SARCASIM from the NWS forecasters? I mean for cryin' out LOUD why BOTHER putting a "5%" chance of moisture in

http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

THIS FLOW WILL BLOCK MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO OUR CWA...AND THE LATEST 12Z ETA IS SHOWING LITTLE MOISTURE REACHING THE MOGOLLON DURING THIS TIME. SO WILL BE LOOKING AT THE POSSIBILITY OF SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS TOMORROW AND THURS AND REDUCING THE AREAL COVERAGE ON OUR 5 PERCENT CHANCE POPS TO THE WHITE MTNS ONLY. FOR FRIDAY AND THE WEEKEND...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN ACROSS THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WITH WARMING DAYTIME TEMPERATURES. DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.

[W13]

When was the last time you recieved measurable precipitation?

[wall_cloud]

the 5% pops are used for verification purposes only and not for public forecasts. with MOS continually putting in non-zero pops, the stray precip measurement can kick your butt in the verification world. It isn't sarcasm at all. It is statistics.

[azsnowman]

When was the last time you recieved measurable precipitation?

I had 2" of snow about 3 weeks ago......before that, October 9th 2005. By now, in a normal "winter", we should be sitting at 109" with a 230+" snowpack up high (20 miles to my East the elevation rises to 11,000') right now, the snowpack up high is 6"

Dennis

[brunota2003]

well, not to be funny...but they could put -5%...be happy that at least you got 2" of snow though...here...2 flurries that lasted about 5 minutes total...otherwise...rain rain rain...you can have some if I can will it to you...*wills rain to azdustman *

[azsnowman]

And the news just KEEPS getting better and better.........NOTHING on the horizon and Phoenix is now at 128 days without ANY moisture


http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

FXUS65 KFGZ 222116 AFDFGZ AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ 215 PM MST WED FEB 22 2006 .SYNOPSIS...EXPECT NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES INTO THURSDAY AS A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LINGERS OVER ARIZONA. FOR FRIDAY AND THE COMING WEEKEND...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A WARMING TREND AS DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE. && .DISCUSSION...A WEAK AND DRY MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL PERSIST ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES INTO TOMORROW...KEEPING AFTERNOON TEMPS NEAR SEASONAL NORMS. AS THIS SYSTEM ERODES...HIGH PRESSURE WILL RETURN TO THE NORTHLAND IN TIME FOR THE WEEKEND AND THE EARLY PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL SIGNAL A RETURN TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS...WITH DRY CONDITIONS AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS REMAINING IN PLACE. LATEST GFS RUN CONTINUES ITS FORECAST OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH SOME PRECIP CHANCES AROUND DAY 7 OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. HAVE LITTLE CONFIDENCE IN THIS FEATURE COMING TO FRUITION AT THIS POINT AND WILL KEEP POPS AT LESS THAN 10 PERCENT FOR THE TIME BEING.

[boca]

We haven't had but one rain event this whole winter here in S FL. So I feel your pain but not nearly as bad as you are I'll pray for ya with the rain gods.