Convection Near Bahamas
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- cycloneye
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ABNT20 KNHC 222118
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
PRESSURES ARE GRADUALLY FALLING NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS WHERE A
BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE FORMING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUN 22 2006
FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...
PRESSURES ARE GRADUALLY FALLING NORTHEAST OF THE BAHAMAS WHERE A
BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION APPEARS TO BE FORMING. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
COULD BECOME A LITTLE MORE FAVORABLE FOR SLOW DEVELOPMENT DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AS THE SYSTEM DRIFTS TOWARD THE WEST-
NORTHWEST.
ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA/MAINELLI
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Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- Evil Jeremy
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24 hours ago:
THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT.
Im calling for an invest by tonight or tommarow, a TD or TS on Sat, and a landfall on Sun.
THERE ARE NO SIGNS OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION AT THIS TIME
AND UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT.
Im calling for an invest by tonight or tommarow, a TD or TS on Sat, and a landfall on Sun.
Last edited by Evil Jeremy on Thu Jun 22, 2006 4:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- Evil Jeremy
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Wow! I just pulled up the sat and saw that spin mentioned here. Looks like maybe convection starting to fire up, as now moved into area of very light shear. Will be interesting to hear tonight's TWD. If anyone reads local FL-met discussions on this, please post them here.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-ft.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-ft.html
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- Trader Ron
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Tue Jun 20, 2006 9:16 pm Post subject:CHRISTY wrote:Iam starting to see the high pressure ridge strenghthen NE of the area of the disturbed weather NE of the bahamas.If this high pressure right flatens over the storm it will drive the disturbance due west.also i might note its heading for the GULF STREAM and u know what happens there.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
If this pans out, I think high pressure will build in and force the storm SSW toward central Florida as a strong Tropical Storm....comments?
..........................................................................................................Boy that sounds familiar I said the same thing this past Tuesday

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- skysummit
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I don't know about a your intensity forecast, but as for as a Southwest motion, I can see that. Right now there's a high over Georgia and Alabama and the steering pattern through the Bahamas is toward the southwest.
I'm trying to understand the NHC's forecast of WNW drift, but I can't seem to grasp it. Any pro's care to chime in?
I'm trying to understand the NHC's forecast of WNW drift, but I can't seem to grasp it. Any pro's care to chime in?
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