91L invest Bahamas,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

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Extremeweatherguy
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#261 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:46 pm

wzrgirl1 wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:it could develop subtropically with all of that dry air

this has a fairly classic subtropical signature to it at the present time


would it still be named if it was subtropical?
yes, subtropical storms do get names.
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#262 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:46 pm

Thank You for the dry air update CHRISTY

Probably why it's not forecast to deepen much. [/b]
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CHRISTY

#263 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:46 pm

GULF IN 48HRS! :crazyeyes: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atlsfc48_latestBW.gif
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#264 Postby Ivanhater » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:47 pm

Aquawind wrote:Thank You for the dry air update CHRISTY

Probably why it's not forecast to deepen much. [/b]


:lol: :lol: :lol:
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#265 Postby skysummit » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:49 pm



Now where in the ca ca is that coming from???? :lol:
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#266 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:50 pm

skysummit wrote:


Now where in the ca ca is that coming from???? :lol:


It's old from this morning.. been posted already today.. They will update soon. :D

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb-atl.shtml
Last edited by Aquawind on Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#267 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:51 pm

000
NOUS42 KNHC 231430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT FRI 23 JUN 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z JUN 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-023

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (BAHAMAS).
FLIGHT ONE
A. 24/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01BBA INVEST
C. 24/1545Z
D. 28.0N 77.5W
E. 24/1700Z TO 2200Z
F. SFC TO 10000 FT

FLIGHT TWO
A. 25/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 0202A CYCLONE
C. 25/0915Z
D. 29.0N 80.0W
E. 25/1100Z TO 1830Z
F. SFC TO 10000 FT






2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUED 6 HRLY FIXES IF
SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS A THREAT.
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#268 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:52 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:000
NOUS42 KNHC 231430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT FRI 23 JUN 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z JUN 2006
TSPOD NUMBER.....06-023

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (BAHAMAS).
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 24/1800Z A. 25/1200,1800Z
B. AFXXX 01BBA INVEST B. AFXXX 0202A CYCLONE
C. 24/1545Z C. 25/0915Z
D. 28.0N 77.5W D. 29.0N 80.0W
E. 24/1700Z TO 2200Z E. 25/1100Z TO 1830Z
F. SFC TO 10000 FT F. SFC TO 10000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUED 6 HRLY FIXES IF
SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS A THREAT.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
ECD


Already that was posted way back at page 4. :)
Last edited by cycloneye on Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:52 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#269 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:52 pm

Yep RECON Baby... :D 8-)
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#270 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:53 pm

Come on recon!!! Update finished in matts tropical weather thinking for today.
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#271 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:54 pm

Already that was posted way back at page 4.


But, this is page 14... I am at work and didn't know it was posted.
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CHRISTY

#272 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:55 pm

skysummit wrote:


Now where in the ca ca is that coming from???? :lol:


Image


Image
Last edited by CHRISTY on Fri Jun 23, 2006 6:04 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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#273 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:56 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
Already that was posted way back at page 4.


But, this is page 14... I am at work and didn't know it was posted.


LOL It's OK.. No doubt we can't expect people to read every page.. a page or 2 back would be good though..lol 8-)
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#274 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:56 pm

I'm not suprised that it didn't keep getting better organized today. And it will probably develop it's just going to take more time as expected.
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#275 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2006 4:57 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
Already that was posted way back at page 4.


But, this is page 14... I am at work and didn't know it was posted.


Ok no problem at all. :)
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#276 Postby whereverwx » Fri Jun 23, 2006 5:08 pm

It will be a miracle if I'm right. :bday: :wink:

I said this the other day wrote:Yep, it doesn't look very healthy on the water vapor. (personally; I don't think this will develop, but I'm always wrong, so you never know. )


Image
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CHRISTY

#277 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 23, 2006 5:09 pm

One thing to kep in mind climatological history shows it is very rare for a storm to cross south florida and then turn due north into lets say the tallahassee area they either turn into the westren panhandle like Erin although it was more central florida or even further west like betsy,katrina,andrew and rita the area of NE florida gets hit from a storm in the carribbean or gulf,models are notorious in bringing bahama storms to far north and east remember ivan and katrina....so bascially its just a thought the further due west this goes the further in the gulf it will go. :wink: christy
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Opal storm

#278 Postby Opal storm » Fri Jun 23, 2006 5:16 pm

I don't think this is going to the Gulf or S FL,there's a trof coming down.NE FL and GA is a good bet IMO.
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Coredesat

#279 Postby Coredesat » Fri Jun 23, 2006 5:17 pm

Agreed. If anything develops from this, it will probably go up the coast.
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CHRISTY

#280 Postby CHRISTY » Fri Jun 23, 2006 5:20 pm

actually if it stays weak it may take a more westward path.
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