Eyes on the BOC!

#61 Postby **skysummit** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:55 pm

Sure does look like a weak low forming at the surface...maybe just offshore?

JamesFromMaine2 · #62 Postby **JamesFromMaine2** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:57 pm

also pressures are falling slowly away from the possible center and winds are gusting to around 30mph away from the center

#63 Postby **BayouVenteux** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:58 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:"Models continue to take this moisture up the Mexican coastal areas into southern TX or LA. The GFS & Nogaps show it more towards TX while the Canadian more towards LA."

Got this quote off another board. Would appreciate if anyone has links to these models, specificly the Canadian. Would like to know how this thing can end up in LA

You can have the "thing", just PLEASE! PLEASE! PLEASE! give us folks in Central and Southeast Louisiana some measurable, meaningful, beneficial rain!!!!

Oh, by the way, did I mention it's been a tad on the dry side here since Katrinarita? :wink:

Extremeweatherguy · #64 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:59 pm

I go out golfing, and come back to this! Hmmm...looks interesting for sure. JB may have called this one well if it does develop.

HouTXmetro · #65 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:01 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:I go out golfing, and come back to this! Hmmm...looks interesting for sure. JB may have called this one well if it does develop.

He was bound to get one right.. lol

HurricaneHunter914 · #66 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:02 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg

:eek:

Not bad at all.

Johnny · #67 Postby **Johnny** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:03 pm

Looks very interesting. If it can move north then we could have something on our hands. Either way, it looks like the Texas coast is going to get pounded by heavy rain, starting this weekend.

cheezyWXguy · #68 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:04 pm

JamesFromMaine2 wrote:also pressures are falling slowly away from the possible center and winds are gusting to around 30mph away from the center

is that better or worse for development of the storm

#69 Postby **dixiebreeze** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:04 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg

Not bad at all.

I reckon it's about time for the BOC to check in -- and it surely has!

Extremeweatherguy · #70 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:04 pm

JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even more! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad. :eek:

#71 Postby **fwbbreeze** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:05 pm

here are some local coastal obs from the BOC near the disturbed weather.

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/76741.html
Coactazoalcos

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/76749.html
Ciudad Del Carmen

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MMVR.html
Veracruz

fwbbreeze

Rainband · #72 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:05 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.

whoa. Hold on a minute here. It's not even a depression yet. It's premature to say the least that this could become a major storm. :wink:

southerngale · #73 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:07 pm

How close are they, fwbbreeze? There's certainly not much wind, so hopefully this will just bring some rain to an area that needs it.

Extremeweatherguy · #74 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:07 pm

Rainband wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.
whoa. Hold on a minute here. It's not even a depression yet. It's premature to say the least that this could become a major storm.

Oh, I know. I was just saying that i hope we don't have a Bret repeat where this thing rapidly explodes.

southerngale · #75 Postby **southerngale** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:08 pm

Rainband wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.
whoa. Hold on a minute here. It's not even a depression yet. It's premature to say the least that this could become a major storm.

That's just the EXTREME in Extremeweatherguy talking. lol

HurricaneHunter914 · #76 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:09 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.

He could be right, it depends how fast the storm is moving north. If its moving less than 10 mph it will have the chance to become a hurricane. If its moving over 10 mph probably a strong tropical storm. Remember the water in the GOM is extremely hot.

HouTXmetro · #77 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:10 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Rainband wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.
whoa. Hold on a minute here. It's not even a depression yet. It's premature to say the least that this could become a major storm.
Oh, I know. I was just saying that i hope we don't have a Bret repeat where this thing rapidly explodes.

I was thinking the same thing. But I"m thinking the proximity to land would inhibit any significant development. On The other hand it could pull a Cindy with the Center Relocating to NE?

Rainband · #78 Postby **Rainband** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:10 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
Rainband wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.
whoa. Hold on a minute here. It's not even a depression yet. It's premature to say the least that this could become a major storm.
Oh, I know. I was just saying that i hope we don't have a Bret repeat where this thing rapidly explodes.

Does this "area" have any model support. I haven't seen anything. I guess we will have to see if it persists. Hope The area of Texas that have recieved too much rain don't get too much more. I also hope the areas that need it get at least some. See I try to make everyone happy. :wink:

Stay safe my western friends.

Extremeweatherguy · #79 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:11 pm

JB says he won't make his official "call" on what the system will do until tomorrow. I am anxious to see what he says then.

Grease Monkey · #80 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:11 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:
Extremeweatherguy wrote:JB is now really biting. He said it will turn north tomorrow and at the VERY LEAST it will be a heavy rain maker for TX, but he said there is a chance it could become a TS or even Hurricane! He continued to mention 54' and 99', and both those years featured nice storms in the western Gulf (Ex. Breat in 99'). Looks like this has good potential...I just hope we don't get surprised by it rapidly intensifying into a major hurricane or something. THAT would be bad.

He could be right, it depends how fast the storm is moving north. If its moving less than 10 mph it will have the chance to become a hurricane. If its moving over 10 mph probably a strong tropical storm. Remember the water in the GOM is extremely hot.

Yeah but remember there's strong shear eventually as you move further north.

Eyes on the BOC!

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