This area near the Bahamas is impressive

[CourierPR]

Do my eyes deceive me or is this system becoming better organized by the hour?

[boca]

yes it is

[wxman57]

I think you both are imagining things. Pressures are very high there - 1021-1025mb). There is no convergence of thunderstorms - thunderstorms persisting in one location for 12-24 hours. Nothing but scattered showers/thunderstorms.

In fact, I was about to suggest a change in the thread title to "NOT" Impressive.

Go enjoy the 4th, there's nothing to watch out there:

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/webpics/goes/Sto ... est_lc.jpg

[Weatherfreak000]

It definitely look like it might have a little spin to it.



The main problem wil be convection. If it could spin up some deep convection I think I can see hold out on a Subtropical Storm Beryl.

[tailgater]

Well I didn't think anything would happen here for a couple of days but the pressures are dropping a good bit. It would be nice to see a GRAP image of this area, hint ,hint, 57.

[HurricaneHunter914]

I agree, this system does have a nice circulation but it needs more convection near the center if it wants to become a TC.

[SouthFloridawx]

[Thunder44]

The spin you all see is an upper low causing thunderstorms around to pop up. There no signs of surface circulation and pressures are high.

[ronjon]

Not sure if its worked its way down to the surface, though. Pressure is lowest at Key West at 30.05 and falling. Miami at 30.07 and falling. Both sites have reported about a 2 mb drop over the last 24 hrs. Wind out of the N at Miami. Appears the circulation (mid or lower level) is located between Grand Bahama and Andros Island moving W-SW now at a noticable clip.

11AM Obs

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
FT MYERS MOSUNNY 84 71 65 CALM 30.09S
SOUTHWEST INTL MOSUNNY 87 71 58 NE9 30.09F
NAPLES MOSUNNY 85 73 67 N10 30.08S
EVERGLADES CTY N/A 84 73 69 N7 30.09S
FLAMINGO NOT AVBL
MARATHON SUNNY 86 74 67 NE15 30.06S
KEY WEST NAS MOSUNNY 84 76 76 NE9 30.05F
KEY WEST INTL MOSUNNY 86 74 67 NE12 30.05F

$$
FLZ067-068-071>074-041600-
SOUTHEAST FLORIDA

CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
W PALM BEACH MOSUNNY 86 72 62 NE9 30.10R
FT LAUDER-EXEC PTSUNNY 86 69 56 NE9 30.07S
FT LAUDERDALE PTSUNNY 85 70 60 NE9 30.07S
POMPANO BEACH MOSUNNY 86 70 58 E12 30.08S
PEMBROKE PINES MOSUNNY 87 71 58 N10 30.09S
OPA LOCKA PTSUNNY 85 70 60 N8 30.07F
MIAMI PTSUNNY 85 69 58 N10 30.07F
MIAMI BEACH N/A 84 73 68 NE9 30.05F
WEST KENDALL MOSUNNY 87 71 58 N10 30.06F
HOMESTEAD MOSUNNY 84 73 70 E9G15 30.07S

http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/analysis.1kmvis.html

[Dean4Storms]

Not impressive at the moment, if the convection grows and becomes centralized with consistancy it could form a low at the surface, but at this scattered state I wouldn't give it much of a chance.

[wxman57]

The spin you all see is an upper low causing thunderstorms around to pop up. There no signs of surface circulation and pressures are high.

That is correct. Absolutely no "spin" anywhere near the surface, just high pressure.

[O Town]

It's throwing rain my way now. Just got the pool filled up for the kids, sunscreened up and it started, the only rain around the state. Gesh! I think it will be gone fairly quickly though.

[StrongWind]

Looks like a bunch of convection flaring up south and west of Grand Bahamas and building northward. Also looks like some moisture is starting to make it over S. Fl. area like PB and Broward. Some cloud cover would be nice to keep the temps down.

[kenl01]

That wouldn't be too bad. Maybe an increased chance of showers for the SE in the days ahead........although the main feature will likely be a trough and surface front approaching the SE by week's end bringing a better chance of rain by then.

[no advance]

Taking all the fun away 57. What about the wave we were watching. At least we got some needed rain.

[tailgater]

The spin you all see is an upper low causing thunderstorms around to pop up. There no signs of surface circulation and pressures are high.

That is correct. Absolutely no "spin" anywhere near the surface, just high pressure.

Pressures down some over last 24hr period, is that a result of surface trough NCH mentioned earlier.

[Bane]

It definitely look like it might have a little spin to it.

Others beat me to it. It's "spinning" because it is an upper low.

[wxman57]

The spin you all see is an upper low causing thunderstorms around to pop up. There no signs of surface circulation and pressures are high.

That is correct. Absolutely no "spin" anywhere near the surface, just high pressure.

Pressures down some over last 24hr period, is that a result of surface trough NCH mentioned earlier.

Pressures are dropping because another front/trof is approaching the eastern U.S. and Bermuda High is retreating a bit to the east. The front is in western Indiana/TN/KY now heading east.

[wxman57]

Taking all the fun away 57. What about the wave we were watching. At least we got some needed rain.

What wave would that be? There are no significant waves in the tropics now - at least nothing with even a remote chance of developing in the next 2-3 days. Where are you? Can't tell by the location under your avatar, as no state is mentioned.

[tailgater]

The spin you all see is an upper low causing thunderstorms around to pop up. There no signs of surface circulation and pressures are high.

That is correct. Absolutely no "spin" anywhere near the surface, just high pressure.

Pressures down some over last 24hr period, is that a result of surface trough NCH mentioned earlier.

Pressures are dropping because another front/trof is approaching the eastern U.S. and Bermuda High is retreating a bit to the east. The front is in western Indiana/TN/KY now heading east.

Thanks