HouTXmetro wrote:what happened to the front that was supposed to interact with 98L?
it washed out
Moderator: S2k Moderators
NDG wrote:Thunder44 wrote:The reason why most of the convection is remains offshore, is because the upper-level winds are shearing the thunderstorms away from low pressure center which is just inland. Another Low pressure or LLC may form under the convection, but there is 25kt to 35kt shear over it now, and it doesn't appear to be decreasing this morning, so it will be very hard for it too form
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
I don't think shear has anything to do with it, I think that because half of it still over water, diurnal max tropical convection would happen over water versus land.
Thunder44 wrote:NDG wrote:Thunder44 wrote:The reason why most of the convection is remains offshore, is because the upper-level winds are shearing the thunderstorms away from low pressure center which is just inland. Another Low pressure or LLC may form under the convection, but there is 25kt to 35kt shear over it now, and it doesn't appear to be decreasing this morning, so it will be very hard for it too form
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8sht.html
I don't think shear has anything to do with it, I think that because half of it still over water, diurnal max tropical convection would happen over water versus land.
It's really the upper-level winds (the shear) interacting with the low pressure area. The shear is bringing in dry air from the mountains of Mexico and meeting with influx of low-level moisture coming from the GOM. This creates convergence and causes convection to fire up along and off the Mexico coast.
HURAKAN wrote:I think time is up for this disturbance. It continues very close to land and the only thing north of it is land!
Stormcenter wrote:Even if this doesn't develop there still some serious storms heading northward into the Western/Northern GOM coastline.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html
HURAKAN wrote::uarrow: It's also in the back-up. Moreover, they are following a center @ 22.8 N 96.9 W, which is over water.
cycloneye wrote:HURAKAN wrote::uarrow: It's also in the back-up. Moreover, they are following a center @ 22.8 N 96.9 W, which is over water.
Yes,now as I looked at the pic,it is another position more south and in the water than the one at 97.9w and 25n.Interesting.