Chris forecast #1: Weak TS but strengthens

[Josephine96]

DISCLAIMER:
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS
NJN WEATHER CENTER
10 AM TUES AUG 1ST 2006

Tropical Storm Chris officially formed early Tuesday morning after finally becoming a tropical depression on Tuesday afternoon. Chris is still a bit of a disorganized blob, but continues to organize as the convection tries to fight off winds shear and wrap around the center.

Chris is anticipated to affect the Islands, either directly or indirectly. Most if not all of the US and British VI's are under Tropical Storm advisories,
including Puerto Rico.

The intenisty forecast for Chris is up in the air. Wind shear should relax as it approaches the states by the end of the week, early weekend. But Chris will also go into warmer waters as well.

The ultimate track of Chris will be determined by how beat up he may get by shear. and where the Bermuda High resides by around Friday/Saturday as Chris will ride around it.

Residents in Central and South Florida should keep a very close eye on Chris this week.

Here is my latest forecast on Chris:

Today: Warnings for the Islands, slight strenghtening. Max winds: 45 mph
Wednesday:Watches and warnings for PR. Island residents on alert. Max winds: 55 mph
Thursday: Going over or near PR, slowly approaching the Bahamas or the DR. Max winds: 60 mph
Friday: Southeast Coast on alert. Possible watches and warnings for Florida. Max winds: 65 mph
Saturday: Minimal hurricane approaching South Florida. Max winds: 75 mph