Tropical Storm Chris

[sweetpea]

Thanks CapeVerde!!!!
Debbie

[WindRunner]

[tgenius]

Looks like they are flying to the stronger areas of convection as FL winds are going up.

[Extremeweatherguy]

This all just seems too peculiar... But than again, what do I know.

I agree. Just this morning the NHC was saying that an upper level eye was forming, and now all of the sudden it has weakened (even though thew visible picture looks better)? This makes no sense. Also, if there are such low winds being reported by recon why is the NHC keeping Chris at 65mph? I am confused...

[brunota2003]

Is anyone else worrying about the 12C temp gradient around the eye?

And the pressure is probably about 1004mb due to the wind.

Sorry I am still learning. What would it mean about the temperature around the eye?
Debbie

J. MAXIMUM FLIGHT LEVEL TEMPERATURE / PRESSURE ALTITUDE INSIDE THE EYE. This is yet another indicator of how "healthy" the storm is. One of the unusual features of a hurricane is that it is warmer inside the eye than outside. What you want to look for here is how much warmer it is than the temperature reported outside the eye in Item "I." A developing storm may be only a degree warmer inside the center, while a strong hurricane may be 10 degrees warmer.
http://www.hurricanehunters.com/vortex.htm
Does that mean we have a strong hurricane? no...just what the report says...the higher the number, the healthlier the storm

[WindRunner]

Is anyone else worrying about the 12C temp gradient around the eye?

And the pressure is probably about 1004mb due to the wind.

Sorry I am still learning. What would it mean about the temperature around the eye?
Debbie

A strong temperature difference between the eye and its surroundings is inidcative of a healthy system, and can sometimes be an indicator of strengthening occuring/about to occur.

[skysummit]

Let's just all give him a little time. He's getting dressed for the big show down the road. He's probably just deciding what he want to wear before he "sees" us.

[Evil Jeremy]

the models have been updated

[KWT]

Remember it may well look better higher up but it seems to be suffering more at lower levels and sat imagery only shows the top section of the system which is not getting that much in the way of shear right now anyway it seems.

[StormsAhead]

SXXX50 KNHC 021826
AF308 0303A CHRIS HDOB 12 KNHC
1814. 2027N 06450W 01520 0097 075 032 162 162 036 01657 0000000000
1815 2028N 06452W 01525 0098 077 031 158 158 033 01664 0000000000
1815. 2030N 06453W 01523 0099 080 031 160 160 031 01663 0000000000
1816 2031N 06455W 01525 0100 075 030 164 152 031 01665 0000000000
1816. 2032N 06456W 01527 0100 075 030 162 158 030 01668 0000000000
1817 2033N 06457W 01524 0101 075 030 156 156 031 01665 0000000000
1817. 2035N 06459W 01523 0101 079 029 156 156 030 01665 0000000000
1818 2036N 06500W 01523 0101 078 027 158 158 028 01665 0000000000
1818. 2037N 06501W 01525 0102 073 024 158 158 025 01667 0000000000
1819 2038N 06503W 01524 0102 083 023 156 156 023 01667 0000000000
1819. 2039N 06504W 01524 0101 083 026 158 158 029 01665 0000000000
1820 2041N 06505W 01522 0102 076 027 158 158 029 01665 0000000000
1820. 2042N 06507W 01523 0102 069 026 162 162 026 01666 0000000000
1821 2043N 06508W 01526 0102 069 026 166 162 026 01669 0000000000
1821. 2044N 06509W 01523 0103 069 025 160 160 025 01667 0000000000
1822 2046N 06511W 01525 0104 070 026 156 156 027 01670 0000000000
1822. 2047N 06512W 01524 0104 067 024 156 156 025 01668 0000000000
1823 2048N 06513W 01524 0104 066 025 156 156 026 01668 0000000000
1823. 2049N 06514W 01523 0103 068 024 156 156 025 01667 0000000000
1824 2050N 06516W 01524 0103 065 023 158 154 023 01668 0000000000
;

[Trugunzn]

Burst of strong convection blowing up now:

[Extremeweatherguy]

that temp. gradient makes this situation even weirder!? At this point I am 100% confused and can not wait for the 5pm disco. to see what they say.

[WindRunner]

[Extremeweatherguy]

what they need to do is go and investigate the eastern side of the storm

[StormsAhead]

URNT11 KNHC 021831
97779 18244 40209 65308 15300 07022 16158 /2558
40715
RMK AF308 0303A CHRIS OB 05

Surface ENE 15 knots

[gatorcane]

remember as Chris strengthens he will want to move poleward naturally, so look for that...

[cycloneye]

18:00z BAM Models Graphic.

[ericinmia]

new fsu mm5.... from yesterday's run that put it into Hispanola.

Even though this is the 54k resolution which isn't the greatest, i'm looking at its trend... the new 18k resolution should mirror the same trend. Showing a weakness in the ridge??

[Trugunzn]

Chris is up to something

[sweetpea]

Thanks guys!!!! Got it now. Debbie