Tropical Storm Chris

[Air Force Met]

AirForceMet,

I wouldn't say boom - more like a pop - the circulation itself has becomer smaller since yesterday (it was already small), so, once it crosses the Cuba coast (looks likely), that should be that...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Look at the GHCC loop...the 1615Z image. It's pretty widespread on the east side and still expanding (for now).

Yes...it's small but it is a complex...not a single thuderstorm (that's a pop). The tops are in the -60C range...which is decent.

Question is...does it continue to expand?

And BTW...why do you all look at the SSD page for VIS when you have the 1KM GHCC available?

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[boca]

Chris is like my mother in law she comes down from New Jersey stays awhile and annoys me then leaves,and the whole cycle starts again.

[HouTXmetro]

well as many have stated, the convection helps chris hold on just a little longer

[Frank2]

I like that 1/2-mile sector because it's just a closer view of what's happening - I don't think this system will last much longer, despite the isolated convection...

Last night's complex was much larger, but, even that dissipated. Once it crosses the Cuban coast, that should be that...

Frank

[Stormavoider]

AirForceMet,

I wouldn't say boom - more like a pop - the circulation itself has becomer smaller since yesterday (it was already small), so, once it crosses the Cuba coast (looks likely), that should be that...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Look at the GHCC loop...the 1615Z image. It's pretty widespread on the east side and still expanding (for now).

Yes...it's small but it is a complex...not a single thuderstorm (that's a pop). The tops are in the -60C range...which is decent.

Question is...does it continue to expand?



Some starting to its north too!

And BTW...why do you all look at the SSD page for VIS when you have the 1KM GHCC available?

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

Some starting to its north too!

[jasons2k]

BOOM. Convection really firing. Southly impact from Hispaniola starting to lessen maybe and it is heading into an area with a higher heat content.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1 ... 6215ca.jpg

See, now that just figures. I finally kill it off and you have to drop a bomb like that.

Chris just has to keep on with it

[Air Force Met]

In fact, some breaking news here - it appears the Chris might be opening into a wave (it seems to now have a positive north-south tilt, and, the center is much less defined) in the last photo or two:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

Well...it's not really breaking news...I've been talking about that chance all day...but if you will go to the GHCC site... you will still see the eastward moving clouds. You cannot see the detail you need to see on the SSD page...PLUS the images are every 30 minutes...compaired to every 5 or 10.

Now...better resolution...30 minutes compaired to 5 or 10...

Take your pick.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

[Jam151]

GHCC also shows an outflow boundary spreading north from the convective burst. i think this is more shear related than anything.

[x-y-no]

And BTW...why do you all look at the SSD page for VIS when you have the 1KM GHCC available?

I tend to use both. The GHCC site updates more often and has far better resolution, but is pretty slow for me. And besides the floater loops have all those nifty overlays.

[Air Force Met]

I like that 1/2-mile sector because it's just a closer view of what's happening - I don't think this system will last much longer, despite the isolated convection...

Last night's complex was much larger, but, even that dissipated. Once it crosses the Cuban coast, that should be that...

Frank

It dissipated because the inflow started coming off of Hispaniola....as predicted.

[southerngale]

AFM, what is the main link you use to get vis and IR from GHCC? I use the link below and it only updates every 1/2 hour. I tried to find the link you posted above on here, and couldn't, only a similar one with a similar view, but it only updates every 1/2 hour.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/

[westmoon]

Chris must be a timex he takes a licken and keeps on ticken

[jasons2k]

There's some popping on the west side now as well.

[Air Force Met]

AFM, what is the main link you use to get vis and IR from GHCC? I use the link below and it only updates every 1/2 hour. I tried to find the link you posted above on here, and couldn't, only a similar one with a similar view, but it only updates every 1/2 hour.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

When trying to determine if a wave is open or closed...or if a TD is open or closed...you have to used a site that is frequent and HI-Res...and the SSD is not it. It has great overlays but when you need a high res to follow a small cloud element for 5 minute time spans with the vis...you can't do it.

[HouTXmetro]

There's some popping on the west side now as well.

well he may definatley be back on the long road to recovery, assuming he doesn't crash into Cuba.

[Stormavoider]

It's ALIIIIIIIIIIIIVE!!!

[cycloneye]

SXXX50 KNHC 041651
AF303 0803A CHRIS HDOB 03 KNHC
1600 1737N 06452W 01188 0088 084 016 176 132 016 01307 0000000000
1600. 1737N 06454W 01434 0098 092 017 162 118 017 01567 0000000000
1601 1738N 06456W 01630 0108 084 017 150 094 018 01773 0000000000
1601. 1739N 06458W 01972 0125 071 017 138 048 018 02133 0000000000
1602 1740N 06500W 02257 0137 064 020 126 041 020 02434 V
1602. 1741N 06502W 02496 0149 063 017 116 029 019 02687 0000000000
1603 1742N 06504W 02722 0163 060 014 104 049 015 02928 0000000000
1603. 1743N 06506W 02937 0176 062 017 090 011 017 03156 0000000000
1604 1744N 06508W 03142 0192 066 014 074 018 015 03377 0000000000
1604. 1745N 06509W 03343 0206 076 010 064 006 011 03593 0000000000
1605 1747N 06511W 03533 0217 087 010 048 003 011 03795 0000000000
1605. 1748N 06513W 03710 0227 097 011 036 013 012 03983 0000000000
1606 1749N 06515W 03886 0238 098 012 020 019 012 04170 0000000000
1606. 1750N 06517W 04085 0248 103 013 002 021 014 04381 0000000000
1607 1751N 06519W 04295 0228 101 015 017 029 016 04602 0000000000
1607. 1752N 06521W 04463 0237 114 014 025 035 015 04779 0000000000
1608 1753N 06523W 04667 0256 111 007 027 049 008 05002 0000000000
1608. 1755N 06525W 04817 0272 099 007 035 057 008 05170 0000000000
1609 1756N 06527W 04971 0281 104 005 047 061 006 05333 0000000000
1609. 1757N 06529W 05117 0289 110 004 057 069 004 05486 0000000000

[storms in NC]

Okay who gave it the shock treatment?

[Air Force Met]

There's some popping on the west side now as well.

Yep. The TCHP is higher in the area he is moving into. That might be helping some.

[caneman]

I like that 1/2-mile sector because it's just a closer view of what's happening - I don't think this system will last much longer, despite the isolated convection...

Last night's complex was much larger, but, even that dissipated. Once it crosses the Cuban coast, that should be that...

Frank

Frank,

You're to funny. We've got the wishca_____ on here and then Frank. Where some see a storm developing and there is none. You are the opposite and seem to always see dissapation. NOt a knock. I Love your posts and reading about all you've been thru, I can certainly see why you would be that way considering how much you know about the devastation these things bring. Keep on postin bro. It's good to have the counterbalance on a sometimes overhyped board which include me sometimes