Tropical Storm Chris

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Ok I see a LLC with some convection trying to develop. But I also see that its still being sheared off.

[Starburst]

426
SXXX50 KNHC 041959
AF303 0803A CHRIS HDOB 26 KNHC
1950 2223N 07347W 01685 0098 050 015 158 156 016 01818 0000000000
1950. 2222N 07345W 01839 0107 068 015 148 148 015 01981 0000000000
1951 2222N 07343W 02171 0124 068 015 132 128 016 02333 0000000000
1951. 2221N 07341W 02458 0141 073 015 118 112 016 02640 0000000000
1952 2221N 07339W 02717 0156 085 014 104 086 015 02915 0000000000
1952. 2221N 07337W 02953 0171 080 013 092 072 013 03166 0000000000
1953 2220N 07335W 03177 0189 076 012 080 054 013 03409 0000000000
1953. 2220N 07333W 03387 0202 089 008 070 002 009 03633 0000000000
1954 2220N 07331W 03599 0217 078 006 056 027 007 03860 0000000000
1954. 2219N 07329W 03828 0233 074 010 046 033 010 04105 0000000000
1955 2219N 07326W 04023 0247 073 011 040 161 011 04315 0000000000
1955. 2218N 07324W 04192 0245 072 008 030 101 009 04496 0000000000
1956 2218N 07322W 04346 0237 079 004 018 077 005 04660 0000000000
1956. 2218N 07320W 04506 0247 084 004 010 117 004 04831 0000000000
1957 2217N 07317W 04664 0264 097 003 001 131 003 05005 0000000000
1957. 2217N 07315W 04830 0283 133 003 017 115 003 05192 0000000000
1958 2216N 07312W 04977 0293 083 001 031 119 002 05349 0000000000
1958. 2216N 07310W 05135 0302 078 002 043 141 003 05517 0000000000
1959 2214N 07308W 05272 0311 116 001 053 147 002 05663 0000000000
1959. 2213N 07306W 05423 0322 118 003 063 161 003 05826 0000000000
;

[Grease Monkey]

There is still a definite LLC. IMO, it doesn't look any worse than it did yesterday. As a matter of fact it looks a little better. Popcorn thunderstorms are going off, indicating additiona upward motion in more than one quadrant. The upper winds are lessening and I see now reason why he will not regenrate into a TS before Cuba. This is NOT a tropical wave.

I agree. The last couple visible frames prove the LLC existence.

picture? im not seein it

*holds stormavoider and drezee back* You have to let him go. It's just his time.

[Bailey1777]

Derek is he dead and even if he's barely there will he be dead by tonight?

[Extremeweatherguy]

looks like the convection is beginning to be pulled around the LLC.

[Portastorm]

For the record, flhurricaneguy, we had more than 140,000 homes damaged in southeast Texas due to Rita .... nearly 20,000 of those homes suffered "major" damage and most are unliveable at this time.

[Derek Ortt]

if its not dead, it will be in about 7 seconds

[Wthrman13]

Well, it still looks like it has a small closed circulation to me, and convection has actually increased a bit, especially on the west side of the system, but it's very spotty. Arguably, the convection is so disorganized that it really doesn't fit the bill of a TC, but for the sake of continuity I bet the NHC will continue it as a depression at the 5 p.m. advisory until it's obvious that the circulation has opened up.

In other words, it's barely hanging on, but not quite dead yet.

[WindRunner]

[Myersgirl]

If Chris had never been a named storm, we would have kissed this off long ago. There are bigger areas of convection in the gulf and mabey even sitting over some of our heads... lets move on!

[Bailey1777]

If you say it I believe it!

[jasons2k]

i just thought la got the worst of it

They did, by far. This is what's left of Holly Beach, LA:

[WindRunner]

SXXX50 KNHC 041959
AF303 0803A CHRIS HDOB 26 KNHC
1950 2223N 07347W 01685 0098 050 015 158 156 016 01818 0000000000
1950. 2222N 07345W 01839 0107 068 015 148 148 015 01981 0000000000
1951 2222N 07343W 02171 0124 068 015 132 128 016 02333 0000000000
1951. 2221N 07341W 02458 0141 073 015 118 112 016 02640 0000000000
1952 2221N 07339W 02717 0156 085 014 104 086 015 02915 0000000000
1952. 2221N 07337W 02953 0171 080 013 092 072 013 03166 0000000000
1953 2220N 07335W 03177 0189 076 012 080 054 013 03409 0000000000
1953. 2220N 07333W 03387 0202 089 008 070 002 009 03633 0000000000
1954 2220N 07331W 03599 0217 078 006 056 027 007 03860 0000000000
1954. 2219N 07329W 03828 0233 074 010 046 033 010 04105 0000000000
1955 2219N 07326W 04023 0247 073 011 040 161 011 04315 0000000000
1955. 2218N 07324W 04192 0245 072 008 030 101 009 04496 0000000000
1956 2218N 07322W 04346 0237 079 004 018 077 005 04660 0000000000
1956. 2218N 07320W 04506 0247 084 004 010 117 004 04831 0000000000
1957 2217N 07317W 04664 0264 097 003 001 131 003 05005 0000000000
1957. 2217N 07315W 04830 0283 133 003 017 115 003 05192 0000000000
1958 2216N 07312W 04977 0293 083 001 031 119 002 05349 0000000000
1958. 2216N 07310W 05135 0302 078 002 043 141 003 05517 0000000000
1959 2214N 07308W 05272 0311 116 001 053 147 002 05663 0000000000
1959. 2213N 07306W 05423 0322 118 003 063 161 003 05826 0000000000

This is an interesting set. Note the winds column (4th from right). The winds start out SSE, veer to almost due north, and return, much slowly to the SSE. Possibly another little swirl out there?

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Yep, just east of Sabine Pass, Texas.

[BreinLa]

And Holly Beach pretty much still looks that way

[WindRunner]

SXXX50 KNHC 042009
AF303 0803A CHRIS HDOB 27 KNHC
2000 2212N 07304W 05586 0332 105 005 073 183 005 06000 0000000000
2000. 2211N 07301W 05775 0344 080 007 083 195 007 06200 0000000000
2001 2210N 07259W 05888 0351 059 006 089 217 007 06322 0000000000
2001. 2209N 07257W 06009 0360 049 007 099 225 007 06451 0000000000
2002 2208N 07255W 06130 0365 044 008 107 227 010 06578 0000000000
2002. 2207N 07253W 06348 0370 050 011 119 259 011 06804 0000000000
2003 2205N 07251W 06481 0377 043 011 127 285 011 06945 0000000000
2003. 2204N 07249W 06595 0386 033 010 135 305 010 07068 0000000000
2004 2203N 07247W 06738 0396 050 004 141 347 005 07223 0000000000
2004. 2202N 07245W 06855 0402 037 003 151 353 003 07345 0000000000
2005 2201N 07243W 06959 0408 016 004 159 333 005 07456 0000000000
2005. 2200N 07240W 07009 0413 033 008 161 261 009 07511 0000000000
2006 2159N 07238W 07018 0414 027 009 163 217 010 07522 0000000000
2006. 2158N 07236W 07021 0414 025 006 171 179 007 07524 0000000000
2007 2156N 07234W 07016 0416 045 007 165 217 009 07521 0000000000
2007. 2155N 07231W 07018 0416 046 009 163 235 010 07524 0000000000
2008 2154N 07229W 07013 0416 029 008 165 337 009 07518 0000000000
2008. 2152N 07226W 07018 0416 043 008 165 317 009 07523 0000000000
2009 2151N 07224W 07015 0415 048 008 165 315 008 07519 0000000000
2009. 2150N 07221W 07016 0413 048 007 167 227 007 07518 0000000000

Just caught something I haven't been noticing . . . they're HEADING HOME!

[PTrackerLA]

Rita also produced a large surge along the entire Louisiana coast. Cypermont point, on the eastern side of Vermilion Bay SSE of Lafayette had a 12 foot storm surge and I know there was serious flooding south of Houma too.

[cycloneye]

WindRunner,are they heading back to St Croix?

[southerngale]

There's not a lot of hope for Sabine Pass either...

Not Much Remains in Texas Town Hit by Rita


But we're really getting OT....

[Brent]

It's leaving early... that's never a good sign for the system's survival.