Frank2 wrote:DanKellFla,
Yes, I agree - Franklin came to NHC from HRD, and, was a very good research meteorologist during his time there (as were all, for that matter)...
His discussion really was just about right for the entire lifespan of the storm - if NHC made any mistakes after that first advisory package, it was that they perhaps relied too much on the models, instead of what they knew in their heart to be true, and, ended up flip-flopping from one scenario to another, instead of staying with the initial idea that this would not likely form into anything but a short-lived tropical storm, based on the initial data.
Frank
the problem is, it hasnt fully dissipated. thats what concerns me.
It hasn't dissipated but it's moving over land and it remains caught between two ULLs. We will keep and eye on it but I don't think it will make it until the time conditions become favorable.
