If they find #5/Ernesto..?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
Josephine96

If they find #5/Ernesto..?

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Thu Aug 24, 2006 8:58 am

they will automatically issue watches and or warnings for the islands, right..?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
ConvergenceZone
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5201
Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 1:40 am
Location: Northern California

#2 Postby ConvergenceZone » Thu Aug 24, 2006 9:00 am

this wave is history........Derek just confirmed the entire Carib is in EXTREME shear. A wave can't survive that. I wouldn't give this a chance of developing at all now.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:
Contact Portastorm

#3 Postby Portastorm » Thu Aug 24, 2006 9:02 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:this wave is history........Derek just confirmed the entire Carib is in EXTREME shear. A wave can't survive that. I wouldn't give this a chance of developing at all now.


Not so fast ... let's see how things shake out today. There appears to be divergent viewpoints within the pro met realm about whether or not 97L survives.
0 likes   
Top
dwg71
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2349
Joined: Wed Jun 08, 2005 4:34 pm

#4 Postby dwg71 » Thu Aug 24, 2006 9:07 am

I jumped on everybody yesterday for jumping on the bandwagon so quickly, I will do the same today with those that are jumping off. Lets see what happens, I've said 30-40%, and call of major hurricanes or dissapation are premature.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
skysummit
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5305
Age: 49
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 11:09 pm
Location: Ponchatoula, LA
Contact:
Contact skysummit

#5 Postby skysummit » Thu Aug 24, 2006 9:11 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:this wave is history........Derek just confirmed the entire Carib is in EXTREME shear. A wave can't survive that. I wouldn't give this a chance of developing at all now.


Whoaaaa doggy. I'm going to have to save this quote for future reference!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Windtalker1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 523
Age: 37
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 11:00 am
Location: Mesa, Arizona

#6 Postby Windtalker1 » Thu Aug 24, 2006 10:02 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:this wave is history........Derek just confirmed the entire Carib is in EXTREME shear. A wave can't survive that. I wouldn't give this a chance of developing at all now.
Is Derek's name "Mother Nature" or "God" Does he have a crystal ball?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#7 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Thu Aug 24, 2006 10:16 am

dwg71 wrote:I jumped on everybody yesterday for jumping on the bandwagon so quickly, I will do the same today with those that are jumping off. Lets see what happens, I've said 30-40%, and call of major hurricanes or dissapation are premature.


I see no change here today..And i will say the same Major Cane in the WCar in 5 days..."Delayed but not denied."
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
redmosquito
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 25
Joined: Thu Aug 17, 2006 9:39 am
Location: Palm Bay FL

#8 Postby redmosquito » Thu Aug 24, 2006 10:38 am

Who is Derek? Like the dude from Ghost Hunters?
0 likes   
Top
loro-rojo
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 97
Joined: Tue Aug 08, 2006 7:11 pm
Location: San Juan, PR

#9 Postby loro-rojo » Thu Aug 24, 2006 10:44 am

Guys, I cant believe that 24 hrs from now models were predicting a hurricane, and now the Carib is in extreme shear? How do conditions change so fast in less than 24 hrs?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9623
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#10 Postby Steve » Thu Aug 24, 2006 10:48 am

I think it's really time to crack down in Immigration issues. I mean 2005 brought Katrina, and 2006 may well see Ernesto. Can't someone in Congress do something?

8-)

Steve
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:
Contact Portastorm

#11 Postby Portastorm » Thu Aug 24, 2006 10:50 am

Steve wrote:I think it's really time to crack down in Immigration issues. I mean 2005 brought Katrina, and 2006 may well see Ernesto. Can't someone in Congress do something?

8-)

Steve


Yeah, as soon as we build that fence-thing ... we can keep those undesirable storms out! :D
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9623
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#12 Postby Steve » Thu Aug 24, 2006 10:57 am

>>Yeah, as soon as we build that fence-thing ... we can keep those undesirable storms out!

:D But that does bring up an interesting point. If we rocked off a bunch of jettys in an unprecedented building feat to rival the half mile residential building they're constructing in Dubai, we probably could take some energy out of these things without any redress from Mother Nature. Just tow some mountains from TDR (they don't need 'em) or lay out barges end to end filled with giant concrete boulders and maybe we can eliminate 5-10% of potential destructive energy without having to call out friends at Dy-No-Mat or whatever.

Steve
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Portastorm
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 9914
Age: 63
Joined: Fri Jul 11, 2003 9:16 am
Location: Round Rock, TX
Contact:
Contact Portastorm

#13 Postby Portastorm » Thu Aug 24, 2006 11:03 am

Now you're thinking! :lol:

My idea was a giant Saharan Dust Blaster that would spray the stuff into the high levels of the atmosphere as storms approached populated areas. Think of those computer keyboard dusters ... except much bigger with Saharan dust in them!
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
stormchazer
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2462
Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 12:00 pm
Location: Lakeland, Florida
Contact:
Contact stormchazer

#14 Postby stormchazer » Thu Aug 24, 2006 11:07 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:this wave is history........Derek just confirmed the entire Carib is in EXTREME shear. A wave can't survive that. I wouldn't give this a chance of developing at all now.


Derek DID NOT say that.....

Derek Ortt wrote:and the shear is not extreme. 21KT is not extreme shear

Extreme shear is 50-60KT


Get it straight before you quote a Met.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: johngaltfla, LarryWx, pepecool20 and 69 guests