TD Debby E Atlantic,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #D

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NONAME
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#301 Postby NONAME » Thu Aug 24, 2006 12:13 pm

XTRAP is just if it keep going the same heading for 5days.
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#302 Postby skufful » Thu Aug 24, 2006 12:18 pm

NONAME wrote:XTRAP is just if it keep going the same heading for 5days.


That's all it does, it's not a model, it's just where it would go on its current course. Just a pointer.

Nevermind, I didn't see all the wisecracks on the prior page.
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#303 Postby Dr. Jonah Rainwater » Thu Aug 24, 2006 3:20 pm

Poor, neglected Debby....I just had to rescue her from the 2nd page! :eek:
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#304 Postby Brent » Thu Aug 24, 2006 3:26 pm

Dr. Jonah Rainwater wrote:Poor, neglected Debby....I just had to rescue her from the 2nd page! :eek:


Debby who?
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#305 Postby Wx_Warrior » Thu Aug 24, 2006 3:27 pm

Debby not doing nobody!
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#306 Postby KWT » Thu Aug 24, 2006 3:30 pm

Oh I think Debby could yet cause some major downstream pattern changes to much of Europe, mind you it'll affect us far more then it'll you guys in the US. Still Debby isn't doing too bad and I can still see this becoming a hurricane eventually.

Also at least its raking up the ACe, we are actually really behind the other basins, even the CPAC is beating us by 2X at the moment!
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#307 Postby Buck » Thu Aug 24, 2006 3:31 pm

Poor Little Debby.

Hahaha... Little Debby.
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#308 Postby AnnularCane » Thu Aug 24, 2006 3:34 pm

Debby is cute, and she's a big sister now! :D She is flaring up again, trying to let everybody know she is still here.
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#309 Postby WmE » Thu Aug 24, 2006 3:35 pm

Ernersto! What a terrible name for her bigger sister! :D

EDIT: Ahh! debby is the big sister!! Now i get it! :oops:
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#310 Postby hiflyer » Thu Aug 24, 2006 5:35 pm

What we will end up remembering Debbie for is that it is 'plowing the road' for subsequent storms.....she is definitely clearing out the dust and drier air going across the Atlantic which could make it far easier for follow-on storms to get across.
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#311 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Aug 24, 2006 5:36 pm

Debby the dustbuster! :p
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#312 Postby AnnularCane » Thu Aug 24, 2006 6:12 pm

How dry is it around Debby now?
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#313 Postby cycloneye » Thu Aug 24, 2006 8:18 pm

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY (AL042006) ON 20060825 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060825 0000 060825 1200 060826 0000 060826 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 21.5N 40.3W 23.0N 42.9W 24.6N 45.6W 26.2N 48.1W
BAMM 21.5N 40.3W 22.8N 43.0W 24.1N 45.4W 25.4N 47.5W
A98E 21.5N 40.3W 22.8N 43.3W 24.4N 46.0W 26.4N 48.2W
LBAR 21.5N 40.3W 23.2N 43.0W 24.8N 45.5W 26.4N 47.6W
SHIP 45KTS 45KTS 47KTS 50KTS
DSHP 45KTS 45KTS 47KTS 50KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060827 0000 060828 0000 060829 0000 060830 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 27.8N 50.4W 30.7N 53.1W 33.7N 53.1W 39.2N 46.0W
BAMM 26.6N 49.3W 29.3N 51.5W 31.9N 51.7W 35.8N 47.8W
A98E 28.1N 50.2W 32.5N 49.4W 35.4N 43.1W 36.1N 35.0W
LBAR 27.9N 49.1W 30.7N 49.6W 33.6N 46.7W 37.3N 40.5W
SHIP 53KTS 59KTS 62KTS 63KTS
DSHP 53KTS 59KTS 62KTS 63KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 21.5N LONCUR = 40.3W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR = 16KT
LATM12 = 20.1N LONM12 = 37.1W DIRM12 = 300DEG SPDM12 = 17KT
LATM24 = 18.4N LONM24 = 33.9W
WNDCUR = 45KT RMAXWD = 30NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1013MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 45NM RD34SE = 20NM RD34SW = 20NM RD34NW = 45NM
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#314 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Aug 24, 2006 8:18 pm

Wow that run strengthens it towards the end.
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#315 Postby AnnularCane » Fri Aug 25, 2006 10:34 am

Looks like Debby is sick again. :(
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#316 Postby MississippiHurricane » Fri Aug 25, 2006 6:39 pm

Look at THIS track Espically the LBAR LOL http://img178.imageshack.us/my.php?image=early2yk4.png
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#317 Postby Brent » Fri Aug 25, 2006 6:42 pm

Misshurricane wrote:Look at THIS track Espically the LBAR LOL http://img178.imageshack.us/my.php?image=early2yk4.png


Crazy LBAR again. :lol: :P
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#318 Postby mvtrucking » Fri Aug 25, 2006 6:47 pm

hiflyer wrote:What we will end up remembering Debbie for is that it is 'plowing the road' for subsequent storms.....she is definitely clearing out the dust and drier air going across the Atlantic which could make it far easier for follow-on storms to get across.


She is definitely running interference
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#319 Postby WindRunner » Fri Aug 25, 2006 8:07 pm

Holding steady windwise, but pressure up 5mb to 1008hPa.

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM DEBBY (AL042006) ON 20060826 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060826 0000 060826 1200 060827 0000 060827 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 24.8N 45.1W 27.0N 47.1W 29.2N 48.6W 31.6N 49.2W
BAMM 24.8N 45.1W 26.0N 47.0W 27.4N 48.6W 28.9N 49.7W
A98E 24.8N 45.1W 25.9N 47.0W 27.7N 48.5W 30.5N 48.5W
LBAR 24.8N 45.1W 26.5N 46.9W 28.3N 47.9W 30.2N 48.7W
SHIP 35KTS 36KTS 39KTS 44KTS
DSHP 35KTS 36KTS 39KTS 44KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060828 0000 060829 0000 060830 0000 060831 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 34.9N 48.0W 44.1N 39.1W 52.8N 24.4W 57.9N 10.3W
BAMM 30.9N 49.9W 35.0N 47.5W 38.3N 42.9W 41.1N 36.7W
A98E 35.0N 45.9W 43.3N 35.7W 51.9N 12.6W 49.7N 2.2W
LBAR 32.3N 48.1W 39.0N 43.1W 48.2N 26.7W .0N .0W
SHIP 50KTS 60KTS 65KTS 62KTS
DSHP 50KTS 60KTS 65KTS 62KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 24.8N LONCUR = 45.1W DIRCUR = 300DEG SPDCUR = 11KT
LATM12 = 23.6N LONM12 = 42.8W DIRM12 = 308DEG SPDM12 = 15KT
LATM24 = 21.7N LONM24 = 40.2W
WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 90NM WNDM12 = 35KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 95NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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#320 Postby Cyclenall » Fri Aug 25, 2006 8:13 pm

Misshurricane wrote:Look at THIS track Espically the LBAR LOL http://img178.imageshack.us/my.php?image=early2yk4.png

I just saw that on the last page. Funny LBAR. Canada gets some Debby in that one!
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