Hurricane Ernesto - Cat. 1

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drezee
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#1421 Postby drezee » Sun Aug 27, 2006 6:46 am

190
SXXX50 KNHC 271143
AF303 0505A ERNESTO HDOB 53 KNHC
1133. 1712N 07315W 03044 0095 220 031 114 094 035 03182 0000000000
1134 1712N 07313W 03054 0096 202 036 084 084 037 03193 0000000000
1134. 1713N 07311W 03045 0098 182 037 088 088 038 03187 0000000000
1135 1713N 07309W 03051 0100 183 038 092 092 039 03195 0000000000
1135. 1713N 07307W 03040 0101 188 035 102 084 037 03184 0000000000
1136 1713N 07305W 03052 0108 186 039 094 090 041 03203 0000000000
1136. 1713N 07304W 03050 0109 184 042 088 088 042 03203 0000000000
1137 1712N 07302W 03046 0110 182 041 090 090 042 03199 0000000000
1137. 1712N 07300W 03050 0113 180 042 084 084 042 03206 0000000000
1138 1712N 07258W 03048 0113 178 041 080 080 041 03205 0000000000
1138. 1712N 07256W 03048 0115 174 041 078 078 042 03207 0000000000
1139 1712N 07255W 03045 0116 172 041 080 080 042 03205 0000000000
1139. 1712N 07253W 03050 0118 175 041 078 078 042 03212 0000000000
1140 1713N 07251W 03047 0118 174 042 080 080 042 03209 0000000000
1140. 1713N 07249W 03048 0120 170 041 074 074 041 03212 0000000000
1141 1713N 07247W 03050 0122 167 041 076 076 042 03215 0000000000
1141. 1713N 07246W 03047 0123 163 039 074 074 040 03214 0000000000
1142 1713N 07244W 03048 0123 168 042 080 080 042 03215 0000000000
1142. 1713N 07242W 03047 0126 164 042 086 076 042 03217 0000000000
1143 1713N 07240W 03048 0128 163 041 092 082 043 03220 0000000000
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#1422 Postby rnbaida » Sun Aug 27, 2006 6:48 am

are they still in the hurricane? Will we get any more vortex messages?
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#1423 Postby rnbaida » Sun Aug 27, 2006 6:55 am

303
SXXX50 KNHC 271153
AF303 0505A ERNESTO HDOB 54 KNHC
1143. 1713N 07239W 03054 0128 175 045 078 078 047 03225 0000000000
1144 1713N 07237W 03046 0128 173 041 092 092 041 03218 0000000000
1144. 1713N 07235W 03046 0128 172 042 092 092 044 03218 0000000000
1145 1714N 07233W 03045 0128 172 040 094 094 042 03217 0000000000
1145. 1714N 07231W 03050 0132 167 039 088 088 040 03225 0000000000
1146 1714N 07230W 03044 0132 165 042 084 084 042 03219 0000000000
1146. 1714N 07228W 03048 0131 168 042 084 084 043 03223 0000000000
1147 1714N 07226W 03055 0131 181 038 082 082 039 03230 0000000000
1147. 1714N 07224W 03049 0129 181 036 082 082 038 03222 0000000000
1148 1714N 07222W 03049 0126 173 036 068 068 038 03219 0000000000
1148. 1714N 07221W 03038 0126 164 038 058 058 039 03208 0000000000
1149 1714N 07219W 03055 0129 150 037 058 058 039 03227 0000000000
1149. 1715N 07217W 03048 0128 147 040 068 068 041 03219 0000000000
1150 1715N 07216W 03051 0129 151 040 068 068 041 03223 0000000000
1150. 1715N 07214W 03042 0128 146 040 070 070 040 03214 0000000000
1151 1715N 07212W 03047 0130 145 038 070 070 039 03221 0000000000
1151. 1715N 07211W 03055 0135 149 034 060 060 034 03234 0000000000
1152 1715N 07209W 03049 0135 153 035 062 062 035 03227 0000000000
1152. 1715N 07207W 03045 0135 154 036 064 064 036 03224 0000000000
1153 1715N 07206W 03045 0137 149 039 058 058 041 03225 0000000000
;
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#1424 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 6:56 am

I think they are flying back home now. I don't see new VDM yet.

Image
Last edited by Thunder44 on Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#1425 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:00 am

807
WTNT35 KNHC 271159
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ERNESTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 11A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
800 AM EDT SUN AUG 27 2006

...ERNESTO...NOW A HURRICANE...APPROACHING THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA
OF HAITI...HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF
HISPANIOLA...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF HAITI
FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF LAS
TUNAS...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO IN
EASTERN CUBA. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS
ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS. A
HURRICANE WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GRANMA
AND SANTIAGO DE CUBA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...CUBA...
THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...THE FLORIDA KEYS...
AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF ERNESTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 115
MILES...180 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT
210 MILES...340 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...
AND A NORTHWESTWARD TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO IS
EXPECTED TO PASS VERY NEAR SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI THIS AFTERNOON
OR EARLY EVENING ...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA
MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND ERNESTO COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE BEFORE IT
REACHES THE COAST OF CUBA.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES...150 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

TIDES OF UP TO 3 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON JAMAICA
AND THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI AS THE CENTER OF ERNESTO
APPROACHES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS
OF JAMAICA AND EASTERN CUBA.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION...17.3 N...73.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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#1426 Postby rnbaida » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:00 am

I thought they would send a new vortex before the 8am advisory...
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#1427 Postby drezee » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:03 am

rnbaida wrote:I thought they would send a new vortex before the 8am advisory...


They have to request clearance into Haitian Airspace. They did not because they did not think that they would need to.
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#1428 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:03 am

rnbaida wrote:I thought they would send a new vortex before the 8am advisory...


I know the made another pass before they left. TPC has a new pressure 997mb in the advisory so they did probably send another one out.
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#1429 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:10 am

928
URNT12 KNHC 271204
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 27/11:30:50Z
B. 17 deg 17 min N
073 deg 20 min W
C. 700 mb 3086 m
D. 45 kt
E. 48 deg 003 nm
F. 165 deg 048 kt
G. 071 deg 015 nm
H. EXTRAP 997 mb
I. 6 C/ 3046 m
J. 14 C/ 3059 m
K. 6 C/ NA
L. OPEN S
M. E33/8/5
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF303 0505A ERNESTO OB 27
MAX FL WIND 69 KT N QUAD 08:32:00 Z
SFC CNTR WITHIN 5NM FROM FL CNTR
SLP EXTRAP FROM 700 MB
;
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#1430 Postby drezee » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:14 am

Thunder44 wrote:928

A. 27/11:30:50Z
B. 17 deg 17 min N
073 deg 20 min W
;



A. 27/09:57:30Z
B. 17 deg 15 min N
073 deg 06 min W


14 W 2N
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#1431 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:18 am

156
SXXX50 KNHC 271205
AF303 0505A ERNESTO HDOB 55 KNHC
1153. 1715N 07204W 03049 0138 146 040 054 054 042 03230 0000000000
1154 1715N 07202W 03050 0138 150 038 052 052 038 03232 0000000000
1154. 1715N 07201W 03048 0140 156 038 058 058 039 03231 0000000000
1155 1715N 07159W 03051 0139 158 040 064 064 041 03233 0000000000
1155. 1715N 07157W 03044 0138 159 040 072 072 040 03226 0000000000
1156 1715N 07155W 03047 0139 159 040 080 078 040 03230 0000000000
1156. 1715N 07154W 03048 0140 160 039 076 056 039 03232 0000000000
1157 1716N 07152W 03050 0142 161 038 076 066 039 03235 0000000000
1157. 1716N 07150W 03047 0142 162 039 082 068 040 03233 0000000000
1158 1716N 07149W 03048 0143 162 039 086 068 039 03234 0000000000
1158. 1716N 07147W 03049 0144 162 041 088 062 041 03237 0000000000
1159 1716N 07145W 03063 0146 160 039 088 060 040 03252 0000000000
1159. 1716N 07143W 03317 0167 159 035 072 056 037 03529 0000000000
1200 1716N 07142W 03628 0185 163 031 052 052 031 03859 0000000000
1200. 1716N 07140W 03973 0208 170 035 024 024 038 04227 0000000000
1201 1715N 07138W 04327 0204 171 031 000 000 033 04606 0000000000
1201. 1714N 07136W 04579 0218 187 035 005 005 039 04877 0000000000
1202 1714N 07134W 04785 0245 198 030 005 017 031 05110 0000000000
1202. 1714N 07132W 05019 0261 205 034 021 033 036 05361 0000000000
1203 1714N 07130W 05272 0280 204 035 033 049 035 05634 0000000000
;


Image


The plane is increasing in altitude. The mission is over.
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#1432 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 27, 2006 7:28 am

The next mission departs around 10:45 EDT.
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#1433 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:08 am

The question about the next mission that departs at 10:45 EDT is if they still are going to depart from ST Croix,or they will do so from Keesler base.
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#1434 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 27, 2006 9:36 am

BULLETIN
HURRICANE ERNESTO ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1100 AM EDT SUN AUG 27 2006

...ERNESTO CONTINUES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST PENINSULA OF
HAITI...

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO
DE CUBA...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS...AND CAMAGUEY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...CUBA...
THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...THE FLORIDA
KEYS...SOUTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ERNESTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.7 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...
185 KM...SOUTHWEST OF PORT AU PRINCE HAITI AND ABOUT 205 MILES...330
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF GUANTANAMO CUBA.

ERNESTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO PASS VERY NEAR
THE SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI THIS AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING
...AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF CUBA MONDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ERNESTO IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND
ERNESTO COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE BEFORE IT REACHES THE
COAST OF CUBA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90
MILES...150 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

TIDES OF UP TO 3 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ARE EXPECTED ON JAMAICA
AND THE SOUTHWESTERN PENINSULA OF HAITI. TIDES OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL ALONG WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES ARE EXPECTED ON THE SOUTHERN
COAST OF EASTERN CUBA.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF UP TO 20 INCHES...ARE EXPECTED OVER HAITI...THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC...AND PORTIONS OF CUBA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF
3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8
INCHES...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF JAMAICA.

REPEATING THE 1100 AM EDT POSITION...17.6 N...73.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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#1435 Postby Brent » Sun Aug 27, 2006 9:37 am

HURRICANE ERNESTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052006
1500 UTC SUN AUG 27 2006

AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO
DE CUBA...GRANMA...HOLGUIN...LAS TUNAS...AND CAMAGUEY.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
HAITI FROM THE HAITI-DOMINICAN REPUBLIC BORDER WESTWARD TO THE
SOUTHWESTERN TIP OF HAITI. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS RECOMMENDED FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM BARAHONA TO THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC-HAITI
BORDER. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS LATER TODAY.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...CUBA...
THE NORTHEASTERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO...THE FLORIDA
KEYS...SOUTHERN FLORIDA...AND THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ERNESTO.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 73.7W AT 27/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 80SE 20SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 225SE 50SW 80NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 73.7W AT 27/1500Z
AT 27/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 73.4W

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.6N 74.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
50 KT... 40NE 30SE 15SW 30NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 30SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 20.0N 76.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.5N 78.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 23.1N 80.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 25SW 40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 75SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 25.5N 82.5W
MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 30SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1200Z 28.0N 82.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 31.0N 81.0W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.6N 73.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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#1436 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Aug 27, 2006 9:41 am

Image
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#1437 Postby HenkL » Sun Aug 27, 2006 9:48 am

AF302 will start next mission from St.Croix.
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#1438 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Aug 27, 2006 9:51 am

709
SXXX50 KNHC 271439
AF302 0605A ERNESTO HDOB 01 KNHC
1429. 1742N 06448W 00000 5004 360 000 326 234 000 00000 0000000000
1430 1742N 06448W 00000 5006 360 000 308 236 000 00000 0000000000
1430. 1742N 06448W 00000 5008 360 000 302 240 000 00000 0000000000
1431 1742N 06449W 00002 5011 360 000 296 238 000 00000 0000000000
1431. 1742N 06449W 00004 5013 360 000 302 238 000 00000 0000000000
1432 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 322 236 000 00000 0000000000
1432. 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 324 236 000 00000 0000000000
1433 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 324 226 000 00000 0000000000
1433. 1742N 06449W 00008 5017 360 000 328 232 000 00000 0000000000
1434 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 326 228 000 00000 0000000000
1434. 1742N 06449W 00006 5016 360 000 318 226 000 00000 0000000000
1435 1742N 06449W 00006 5016 360 000 320 226 000 00000 0000000000
1435. 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 328 234 000 00000 0000000000
1436 1742N 06449W 00006 5016 360 000 328 234 000 00000 0000000000
1436. 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 332 232 000 00000 0000000000
1437 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 336 236 000 00000 0000000000
1437. 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 332 234 000 00000 0000000000
1438 1742N 06449W 00007 5016 360 000 330 236 000 00000 0000000000
1438. 1742N 06449W 00007 5016 360 000 330 234 000 00000 0000000000
1439 1742N 06449W 00007 5017 360 000 330 234 000 00000 0000000000
;
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SouthFloridawx
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#1439 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Aug 27, 2006 9:55 am

SXXX50 KNHC 271449
AF302 0605A ERNESTO HDOB 02 KNHC
1439. 1742N 06449W 00007 5016 360 000 332 232 000 00000 0000000000
1440 1742N 06449W 00007 5016 360 000 332 234 000 00000 0000000000
1440. 1742N 06449W 00008 5017 360 000 330 234 000 00000 0000000000
1441 1742N 06449W 00006 5015 360 000 320 230 000 00000 0000000000
1441. 1742N 06449W 00008 5016 120 006 292 240 012 00000 0000000000
1442 1742N 06448W 00075 5006 106 014 278 238 017 00078 0000000000
1442. 1742N 06447W 00242 0018 103 015 252 226 016 00270 0000000000
1443 1742N 06445W 00485 0030 093 016 232 212 017 00530 0000000000
1443. 1742N 06444W 00853 0063 093 017 206 190 017 00933 0000000000
1444 1742N 06442W 01168 0082 096 016 186 166 016 01278 0000000000
1444. 1744N 06442W 01459 5009 100 016 168 148 017 01482 0000000000
1445 1744N 06443W 01750 0042 097 015 152 126 015 01825 0000000000
1445. 1744N 06445W 02024 0077 099 015 142 070 015 02135 0000000000
1446 1743N 06447W 02281 0104 103 016 142 012 017 02428 0000000000
1446. 1743N 06449W 02526 0120 105 017 130 011 017 02692 0000000000
1447 1742N 06451W 02759 0117 103 018 112 035 018 02922 0000000000
1447. 1742N 06453W 03008 0156 105 014 092 061 016 03210 0000000000
1448 1742N 06454W 03286 0200 103 009 078 083 010 03533 0000000000
1448. 1741N 06456W 03520 0218 080 008 070 091 009 03786 0000000000
1449 1741N 06458W 03738 0231 053 006 058 181 006 04018 0000000000
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#1440 Postby SouthFloridawx » Sun Aug 27, 2006 9:55 am

Code: Select all

791
NOUS42 KNHC 271500
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1100 AM EDT SUN 27 AUG 2006
SUBJECT: TROPICAL STORM PLAN OF THE DAY (TSPOD)
         VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z AUG 2006
         TSPOD NUMBER.....06-089

I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE ERNESTO
       FLIGHT ONE                 FLIGHT TWO
       A. 28/1800,29/0000Z        A. 29/0000Z
       B. AFXXX 1005A ERNESTO     B. NOAA2 1105A ERNESTO
       C. 28/1445Z                C. 28/1500Z
       D. 20.9N 77.5W             D. NA
       E. 28/1700Z TO 29/0000Z    E. NA
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT        F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

       FLIGHT THREE               FLIGHT FOUR
       A. 29/0000Z                A. 29/0000Z
       B. AFXXX 1205A ERNESTO     B. NOAA9 1305A ERNESTO
       C. 28/1800Z                C. 28/1800Z
       D. NA                      D. NA
       E. NA                      E. NA
       F. 24,000 TO 30,000 FT     F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

       FLIGHT FIVE                FLIGHT SIX
       A. 29/0600,1200Z           A. 29/1200Z
       B. AFXXX 1405A ERNESTO     B. NOAA9 1505A ERNESTO
       C. 29/0245Z                C. 29/0600Z
       D. 22.5N 79.5W             D. NA
       E. 29/0500Z TO 29/1200Z    E. NA
       F. SFC TO 10,000 FT        F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES AT 29/1500Z.
       G-IV FLIGHTS DEPARTING EVERY 12 HRS. A P-3 SFMR MISSION.

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
                         JWP


http://asp1.sbs.ohio-state.edu/text/tro ... OUS42.KNHC
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