#431 Postby SouthFLTropics » Sun Sep 03, 2006 3:04 pm
Bgator wrote:Probably 10-12 days, some models recurve it right before hitting US, though if it stays south, like S fla, or C fla, trofs dont make it to florida in sept, so i would think curvature is unlikely...
As far as a hit in South or Central Florida you are correct that in many cases a trough would not save the peninsula from a hit in September but there have been cases where it has happened. Most recently I can think of Floyd in 1999. I firmly believe that my home and area was spared due to the front that dug South and lifted Floyd North to the Carolinas. Needless to say we were on pins and needles until we saw the turn taking place.
SouthFLTropics
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Fourth Generation Florida Native
Personal Storm History: David 79, Andrew 92, Erin 95, Floyd 99, Irene 99, Frances 04, Jeanne 04, Wilma 05, Matthew 16, Irma 17, Ian 22, Nicole 22, Milton 24