Central Caribbean wave

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tailgater
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Central Caribbean wave

#1 Postby tailgater » Wed Sep 06, 2006 10:42 am

I thought it might get a mention on the latest TWO, but I still think it bears watching, because shear is as lite as I've seen it in a while in the Caribbean and T-storm are reforming. the area @ 16N 72W.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/carb/loop-avn.html
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#2 Postby rockyman » Wed Sep 06, 2006 11:15 am

Upper level conditions appear favorable...shear is very low...I do see some "bend" in the low level clouds feeding into the system...notice on visible loop the clouds moving from SSE to NNW south of PR
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#3 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 06, 2006 11:40 am

I would guess that big EC trough will pull this little system NW into the NW Caribbean and GOM - so if it stay together we sould have something.
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#4 Postby Phoennix10 » Wed Sep 06, 2006 12:14 pm

Is this blob on the north end of a tropical wave? I checked the models and it does not have it developing. Anyways, it will be intersting to see if this develops and moves towards the GOM. (Though, I don't wish for it to move there)
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#5 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 06, 2006 12:35 pm

continues to flare up nicely today.

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Wed Sep 06, 2006 12:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Interesting read

#6 Postby jenmrk » Wed Sep 06, 2006 12:35 pm

I thought this was interesting to read

http://images.google.com/imgres?imgurl= ... ie%3DUTF-8
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#7 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 06, 2006 12:48 pm

I think this will be our main area to watch over the next 4-5 days as it moves west and then graduall turns WNW and NW into the NW Caribbean.
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#8 Postby MortisFL » Wed Sep 06, 2006 12:51 pm

This wave has done nothing more then flare up and die down.
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#9 Postby Praxus » Wed Sep 06, 2006 12:53 pm

Yeah its done that every day recently, never getting organized.
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#10 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 06, 2006 1:56 pm

perhaps we will see and invest shortly on this as the convection seems to be deep and maintaining today....as it moves westward in the Caribbean. Notice the cold front extending across the GOM and northern Florida....
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#11 Postby fwbbreeze » Wed Sep 06, 2006 2:07 pm

Here is a station reading from Santo Domingo, Dominican Republic:

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/78486.html

Pressures arent that low, but arent that high either.....
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#12 Postby gatorcane » Wed Sep 06, 2006 2:15 pm

I think those that are not jumping on this bandwagon are waiting for the convection to sustain - if it sustains through the evening and night, I would say send a plane out tomorrow morning.
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#13 Postby Thunder44 » Wed Sep 06, 2006 2:21 pm

I don't see any organization here.
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#14 Postby skysummit » Wed Sep 06, 2006 2:26 pm

There's nothing going on here. I've been studying close up GHCC visible loops of this area for the past hour or so and I cannot see a single sign of circulation or organization. No signs of anything....

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#15 Postby MetroMike » Wed Sep 06, 2006 4:42 pm

Seems to be mostly diurnal convection..nothing organized.
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