Tropical Storm Gordon,Analysis,Sat Pics,Models Thread

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HURAKAN
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#81 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 10, 2006 5:49 am

Image

Image
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#82 Postby drezee » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:17 am

early morning visibles look like a Tropical cyclone to me

Banding evident and CDO has foremed.
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#83 Postby Coredesat » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:19 am

I would not be surprised to at least see this relisted as 93L sometime today.
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#84 Postby johngaltfla » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:25 am

Interesting; NRL has dropped 93L this morning....
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#85 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:26 am

johngaltfla wrote:Interesting; NRL has dropped 93L this morning....


That was a big surprise for me.But I think they will put it back soon.
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#86 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:29 am

johngaltfla wrote:Interesting; NRL has dropped 93L this morning....


I think it was dropped last night. Reasons, I don't know but the system sure looks nice now. Persistence is the key and lets see how it can hold to its mini-CDO!!!
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#87 Postby Thatsmrhurricane » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:31 am

If they put it up, once more, will it be 94L? Looks good this morning.
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#88 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:31 am

10/0645 UTC 21.6N 52.6W T1.0/1.0 93L
At least SSD sat estimates continued with it.
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#89 Postby Thunder44 » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:38 am

It looks better than has been the last few days. I don't know why they decide to drop it again, when the TWO still mentions the possiblity of development, albeit slow to occur.
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#90 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:41 am

I put the LLC at 20.5/53.8...The northern LLC has open up since yesterday...But I see a strong inflow to the southeast...Then northflow/northeastly on the north and northwest side. This curves back to a southwestflow around the base. This thing likely has a very sharp wave(Curle) or even a LLC under the convection. This system seems to be moving westward. In has become better organized. But with some shear trying to force the convection away from the center.
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#91 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:50 am

We need RECON!!!
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#92 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 10, 2006 6:58 am

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 52W/53W S OF 25N WITH A 1014 MB LOW ALONG
THE WAVE NEAR 21N MOVING W NEAR 10 KT. WAVE REMAINS WELL-DEFINED
WITH THE LOW EMBEDDED WITHIN AN AREA OF DEEP CONVECTION.
SCATTERED MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION IS WITHIN A 90/120 NM
RADIUS OF 19.5N52.5W. CLUSTERS OF SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION
ARE FROM 16N-20N BETWEEN 53W-59W.

8:05 AM Discussion.
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#93 Postby BatzVI » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:14 am

cyclone.....I'm curious about what you think of 93L.....seems if it stays on this path or even a little south, we could be in for something....do you see anything out there that would steer it away from us?
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#94 Postby BatzVI » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:34 am

anyone's comments would be welcome.............thanks
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#95 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:35 am

BatzVI wrote:cyclone.....I'm curious about what you think of 93L.....seems if it stays on this path or even a little south, we could be in for something....do you see anything out there that would steer it away from us?


Well,the pattern is mixed because of Florence changing it as we dont see the usual trade winds right now.That means that the steering is weak and erratic movements can occur as we see this morning moving south of west.
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#96 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:35 am

10/1145 UTC 20.2N 52.7W T1.5/1.5 93L -- Atlantic Ocean
This is almost a depression according to SSD.
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#97 Postby skysummit » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:36 am

If it's reinstated on the NRL server, would it be 94L, or would it still be 93L since it's the same little ball of energy?
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#98 Postby BatzVI » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:38 am

wow...that was a big shift to the south from the last coordinates you gave.....
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#99 Postby Noah » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:39 am

Does florida have to watch this one or is it a fish?
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#100 Postby Damar91 » Sun Sep 10, 2006 7:43 am

It's back on the site.
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