Possible GOM homegrown soon?
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- TreasureIslandFLGal
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Possible GOM homegrown soon?
Our local mets were hinting at the possibility of a Low developing off the west coast of Florida over the next few days.
What's do all you Pros think about this likelihood? Could something tropical develop soon in the gulf? If so, what is the strength potential and likely direction?
What's do all you Pros think about this likelihood? Could something tropical develop soon in the gulf? If so, what is the strength potential and likely direction?
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- TreasureIslandFLGal
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- Location: Clearwater, Florida ~3 miles from the coast now. We finally moved safely off the barrier island!
I would think that a N or NE motion would be expected. Maybe something is supposed to develop on the tail end of a stalled front, who knows. I just heard a little blurb and they didn't elaborate much, just indicated the possibility.
I wonder if JB alluded to anything about this. He always seems to be one of the first to point at potential development areas, even if they are very broad, general possibilities.
I wonder if JB alluded to anything about this. He always seems to be one of the first to point at potential development areas, even if they are very broad, general possibilities.
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- skysummit
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I'm not saying this has anything to do with it, but this morning, along the coast of south Louisiana, the clouds have that "tropical look" to them...with the low whispy white cumulous clouds and the dark blue backgrounds. It's especially evident in the Morgan City area. This is the same way the clouds look when there's a low pressure developing in the gulf. I'm NOT saying that's happening.
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- Emmett_Brown
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I dont know if anything specific forecasted by the models regarding lows in the gulf, but the upper level pattern looks favorable for development should a low form... nice anticyclone over the SE gulf depicted by the GFS in 48 hours:
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/3hh_48.gif
http://weather.unisys.com/hurricane/3hh_48.gif
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Was gonna start a new thread on this but sure looks like something is trying to get going in the NE Gulf. Lets see if it persists. Probably wouldn't amount to much before ejected out. Definitely seems like an El Nino year here in West Florida as we have been hammered with rain at many different times of the day and night as oppossed to the usual late afternoon seabreeze storms.
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12Z MM5, for what its worth, still shows some BOC activity for the second run in a row....time to start looking closer to home...
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
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- Extremeweatherguy
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Hopefully this doesn't play out. With a CF stalled along our coast (and moving back to the N at the end of the period), this type of system would likely ride up the TX shoreline before either turning W and going inland or turning NE and heading to other areas in the Gulf. Someone, somewhere in the GOM would likely be impacted by this scenario.ROCK wrote:12Z MM5, for what its worth, still shows some BOC activity for the second run in a row....time to start looking closer to home...
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Mon Sep 11, 2006 6:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Extremeweatherguy wrote:Hopefully this doesn't play out. With a CF stalled along our coast (and moving back to the N at the end of the period), this type of system would likely ride up the state of TX shoreline before either turning W and going inland or turning NE and heading to other areas in the Gulf. Someone, somewhere in the GOM would likely be impacted by this scenario.ROCK wrote:12Z MM5, for what its worth, still shows some BOC activity for the second run in a row....time to start looking closer to home...
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/
exactly.....take a look at the EURO at 96 then 120. 96 you have a low in the BOC then riding up towards NMEX eventually moving into NMEX.
http://www.ecmwf.int/
plenty of potential left in the GOM.
http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html#ATL
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- 'CaneFreak
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- jenmrk
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whos growin what in there home? looks like a bunch of rain to me.
Not growing anything here...
Maybe if I was I could get some sleep ,sorry I have a lot to learn about the weather and with the season being like it is any little blob in the GOM gets my attention. I guess even if it is a stupid question the only way to know the differance is to ask...lol 
Not growing anything here...


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