One Year Ago today

[Jim Cantore]

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ZETA SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 PM AST FRI DEC 30 2005

...LATE SEASON TROPICAL STORM...THE 27TH OF THE YEAR...FORMS IN THE
EASTERN ATLANTIC...

AT 1 PM AST...1700Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ZETA WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH... LONGITUDE 36.9 WEST OR ABOUT 1070
MILES...1720 KM... SOUTHWEST OF THE AZORES.

ZETA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH ...13 KM/HR. A TURN
TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALTHOUGH SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY...A
WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TOMORROW.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 1 PM AST POSITION...25.0 N... 36.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


$$
NNNN

-----------------------------------------------

ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ZETA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
NOON EST FRI DEC 30 2005

AN ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...WHICH HAD ITS ORIGINS IN AN OLD
FRONTAL TROUGH...BEGAN DEVELOPING ORGANIZED CONVECTION OVERNIGHT.
WITH WELL-FORMED CONVECTIVE BANDS NEAR THE CENTER...WEAK
ANTICYCLONIC OUTFLOW ALOFT...AND TROPICAL DVORAK CLASSIFICATIONS...
ADVISORIES ARE INITIATED ON THE 27TH TROPICAL STORM OF 2005. THE
INTIAL INTENSITY OF 45 KT IS A COMPROMISE BETWEEN THE RULE-
CONSTRAINED T2.5 CLASSIFICATIONS AND THE T3.5 DATA T NUMBERS.
WITHIN 24 HOURS...WESTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE SHARPLY
OVER THE CYCLONE...SO ZETA PROBABLY HAS A SHORT LIFE AHEAD OF IT.

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 305/7...AS ZETA IS MOVING AROUND A MID-LEVEL
LOW TO ITS SOUTHWEST. THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TO SLOW AS THE
WESTERLIES BEGIN TO IMPINGE ON THE CYCLONE WITHIN 12-24 HOURS.
AFTER THAT...IF THE SYSTEM WEAKENS IN RESPONSE TO THE SHEAR...IT
SHOULD TURN WESTWARD WITH THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST IS A BLEND OF THE MEDIUM AND SHALLOW BAM MODELS...AND IS
SOMEWHAT SLOWER TO THE WEST THAN THE GFS GUIDANCE.

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 30/1700Z 25.0N 36.9W 45 KT
12HR VT 31/0000Z 25.5N 37.6W 45 KT
24HR VT 31/1200Z 26.0N 38.5W 35 KT
36HR VT 01/0000Z 26.0N 40.0W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
48HR VT 01/1200Z 26.0N 42.0W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED


$$
NNNN

---------------------------------------

[AnnularCane]

My favorite little storm! Well, one of my favorites anyway. I remember having this feeling after Epsilon that we would see Zeta in December.

I can't help smiling at that initial forecast. They didn't expect her to survive much more than 36 hours. Boy, if they only knew...

Happy first birthday, Z.

[JonathanBelles]

i loved this little guy, he always looked like the shrimp in the bag of bullies. this day last year was the beginning of the end.

[CrazyC83]

She had already been alive for 12 hours at that time but little did we know as they don't follow nearly as closely in the off-season.

[hial2]

Zeta..the last of a nightmare year..

Hope we never have to hear from your daughter!!

[Aquawind]

2005 was an amazing season hopefully never to be repeated..

[tropicana]

it was a great way to end the old year last year and begin the new year in 2006.

[Ptarmigan]

I remember Zeta. It maybe a tropical storm, but it sure was something. It was the last storm of 2005, a very active season. Hopefully it won't happen for a long time.

[CrazyC83]

I remember Zeta. It maybe a tropical storm, but it sure was something. It was the last storm of 2005, a very active season. Hopefully it won't happen for a long time.

At least she was no one's problem and could be something to celebrate - unlike most of the other storms that year.

[f5]

Zeta just added to what was already a record total

[HURAKAN]

Zeta put a final touch to an already amazing season!!!

[brunota2003]

we could say, with Zeta, we went from A-Z in one year...I remember hearing about it, was at grandma's away from the internet and one of the forecasters for NBC was like "And look at this, another storm formed today in the Atlantic." My jaw about hit the ground...

[AnnularCane]

I don't think I can ever adequately describe the moment when I first found out about Zeta, at least without coming across as weird or something. I do remember some lady on TV singing "The Little Drummer Boy" at the time, so now I think of Zeta whenever I hear that song.

I think I am a hurricane nut. Or maybe just a nut.

[JonathanBelles]

i remember seeing zeta for the first time on Dick Clark's Rockin' NEw year's eve on the crawler on the bottom of the screen.

[Cyclenall]

i remember seeing zeta for the first time on Dick Clark's Rockin' NEw year's eve on the crawler on the bottom of the screen.

That reminds me, there was no Dick Clark then.

[Jim Cantore]

i remember seeing zeta for the first time on Dick Clark's Rockin' NEw year's eve on the crawler on the bottom of the screen.

That reminds me, there was no Dick Clark then.

I think that was 2004.

[Cyclenall]

i remember seeing zeta for the first time on Dick Clark's Rockin' NEw year's eve on the crawler on the bottom of the screen.

That reminds me, there was no Dick Clark then.

I think that was 2004.

I'm saying there was no Dick Clark in the 2005-2006 New Year program even though it's named that.

[CrazyC83]

Zeta just added to what was already a record total

Nothing more than a sweetener to the icing on the cake...

[Jim Cantore]

On this day a year ago, the 2005 Hurricane season, finally came to an end.
---------------------------------------------------------------
ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ZETA ADVISORY NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI JAN 06 2006

...ZETA AND THE RECORD-BREAKING 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON
FINALLY COME TO AN END...

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ZETA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH... LONGITUDE 50.3 WEST OR ABOUT
900 MILES...1450 KM... EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH
...11 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ZETA IS RAPIDLY LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS... AND
ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...23.4 N... 50.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM.

FORECASTER STEWART


$$
NNNN

--------------------------------------------------------------------------

ZCZC MIATCDAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ZETA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST FRI JAN 06 2006

SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO DECREASE AND IS NOW LIMITED TO JUST
A FEW SKINNY BANDS OF SHALLOW CONVECTION WELL TO THE EAST OF THE
CENTER. AS SUCH... ZETA NO LONGER MEETS THE CRITERIA OF A TROPICAL
CYCLONE... WHICH MEANS THAT BOTH IT AND THE 2005 ATLANTIC HURRICANE
SEASON HAVE ENDED.

THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 285/6. ZETA HAS MADE A JOG BACK TO
THE NORTHWEST... BUT THE AVERAGE MOTION OVER THE PAST 18 HOURS HAS
BEEN WEST-NORTHWESTERLY AT ABOUT 06 KT. THE REMNANT CIRCULATION OF
ZETA IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN A WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWESTWARD
DIRECTION FOR THE NEXT 24-36 HOURS... AND TURN NORTHWARD AFTERWARDS
AS THE REMNANT LOW COMES UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF INCREASING
SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF A STRONG COLD FRONT CURRENTLY
MOVING EASTWARD ACROSS THE BAHAMAS. BY 72 HOURS... THE SKELETAL
REMAINS OF ZETA ARE EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OR BE ABSORBED BY THE
FRONTAL SYSTEM.

I SUPPOSE IT IS ONLY FITTING THAT THE RECORD-BREAKING 2005 ATLANTIC
HURRICANE SEASON ENDS WITH A RECORD BREAKING STORM. TODAY... ZETA
SURPASSED 1954 ALICE #2 AS THE LONGEST-LIVED TROPICAL CYCLONE TO
FORM IN DECEMBER AND CROSS OVER INTO THE NEXT YEAR. ZETA WAS ALSO
THE LONGEST-LIVED JANUARY TROPICAL CYCLONE. IN ADDITION...ZETA
RESULTED IN THE 2005 SEASON HAVING THE LARGEST ACCUMULATED CYCLONE
ENERGY...OR ACE... SURPASSING THE 1950 SEASON. SO... UNTIL THE 2006
SEASON BEGINS... UNLESS ZETA SOMEHOW MAKES AN UNLIKELY MIRACLE
COMEBACK... THIS IS THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER SIGNING OFF FOR
2005... FINALLY.

FORECASTER STEWART

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 06/2100Z 23.4N 50.3W 25 KT...DISSIPATING
12HR VT 07/0600Z 24.0N 52.4W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
24HR VT 07/1800Z 25.4N 54.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 08/0600Z 27.8N 56.8W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 08/1800Z 30.2N 57.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 09/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
NNNN

[f5]

Zeta just added to what was already a record total

Nothing more than a sweetener to the icing on the cake...

Zeta just help to kept the record by making the total storms being being smashed by future season who would of thought 1933 would of gotten outdone