WRC 2007 Hurricane Revised Forecast -Entire Gulf High Risk

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skywarn
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WRC 2007 Hurricane Revised Forecast -Entire Gulf High Risk

#1 Postby skywarn » Thu May 17, 2007 8:32 pm

The new forecast still has the Louisiana coast to the Alabama coast as the high risk area for landfall(s) this year. However the high risk area has been expanded to include Texas and the West coast of Florida. Essentially now the entire Gulf will be under the gun this year according to their forecast. Below is a link to their revised forecast:

http://www.wxresearch.com/outlook/2007hurupdate.pdf
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#2 Postby MississippiHurricane » Thu May 17, 2007 8:35 pm

oh how wonderful...................
:roll:
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#3 Postby JonathanBelles » Thu May 17, 2007 8:36 pm

How credible are these people? This is startling, but not suprising.
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Re: WRC 2007 Hurricane Revised Forecast -Entire Gulf High Ri

#4 Postby Berwick Bay » Thu May 17, 2007 8:37 pm

skywarn wrote:The new forecast still has the Louisiana coast to the Alabama coast as the high risk area for landfall(s) this year. However the high risk area has been expanded to include Texas and the West coast of Florida. Essentially now the entire Gulf will be under the gun this year according to their forecast. Below is a link to their revised forecast:

http://www.wxresearch.com/outlook/2007hurupdate.pdf


Pretty much what I've been saying. Gulf coast at high risk. With tropical formation centered in the lower Bahamas and the Eastern Carribean. Storms moving predominantly west, then north into the Gulf. Highest risk for landfall of important storms New Iberia, La. and Pascagoula, Miss.
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#5 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Thu May 17, 2007 8:37 pm

This is not good. The Caribbean is boiling at
bigtime levels, any storm coming out of the
Caribbean this year will likely be a monster...
lets hope that nothing hits the gulf coast.
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#6 Postby miamicanes177 » Thu May 17, 2007 9:01 pm

How in the hell can they call for 7 named storms and expect people to take them seriously.
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#7 Postby HollynLA » Thu May 17, 2007 9:03 pm

Let's hope the insurance companies (or atleast what's left in most gulf coast states) don't get word of this.
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#8 Postby HouTXmetro » Thu May 17, 2007 9:06 pm

LOL... well atleast they are not predicting gloom and doom with an absurd amount of storms.
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#9 Postby GeneratorPower » Thu May 17, 2007 9:11 pm

miamicanes177 wrote:How in the hell can they call for 7 named storms and expect people to take them seriously.


Would have done pretty good last year, eh???
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#10 Postby Evil Jeremy » Thu May 17, 2007 9:12 pm

WTF? 7 storms? dont believe a word of this.
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Opal storm

#11 Postby Opal storm » Thu May 17, 2007 9:45 pm

After 2006 I have really lost a lot of respect for these kinds of forecasts.

IMO it doesn't matter what color your area is shaded in on a little map, just be prepared.
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#12 Postby kba981 » Thu May 17, 2007 10:07 pm

west coast of florida 70% chance east coast 10% chance sounds like crap tp me.
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#13 Postby Jagno » Thu May 17, 2007 10:07 pm

http://www.wxresearch.com/outlook/graycomp2007.pdf

Hmmmmmmm, they even dedicate a whole page to Weather Research Center’s [WRC]
OCSI Atlantic Hurricane Predictions Versus Professor Bill Gray’s Seasonal
Forecasts for comparison or credibility it seems.

Both seem to indicate that we'll be spending alot more time here! LOL
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#14 Postby boca » Thu May 17, 2007 10:17 pm

If I were a resident of the Gulf coast I would take this prediction with a grain of salt. Until a storm is heading your way then worry but have your supplies now.
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#15 Postby fci » Thu May 17, 2007 10:54 pm

kba981 wrote:west coast of florida 70% chance east coast 10% chance sounds like crap tp me.


A prediction that a Tropical Storm or Hurricane will hit the Gulf Coast is almost money in the bank every year. How many years have their been without a storm striking the Gulf Coast?

I mean they are right about at Climatological levels for the Gulf Coast, no news there!

The deviation is having the East Coast of Florida at 10% well below the 41% Climatological level.
That is the news that this report indicates NOT the Gulf Coast under the gun. Duh-uh!!!!

I'm all for their East Coast of Florida prediction!
You can book it for me and I am more than willing to sign off on that as a guarantee!!!!
8-)
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#16 Postby AussieMark » Thu May 17, 2007 11:15 pm

Opal storm wrote:After 2006 I have really lost a lot of respect for these kinds of forecasts.

IMO it doesn't matter what color your area is shaded in on a little map, just be prepared.


Just remember the 2006 El NIno was very unusual.

It developed a lot later than most el ninos typically do and caught experts worldwide offguard.

Remember in the January and February in 2006 we were looking at a la nina year and by August-September it was looking very el nino like.

typically El Nino form like April-June period but the 2006 one was like September-November period.
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