CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[MiamiensisWx]

IT COULD HAPPEN TOMORROW

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/12/images/gfs_ten_300l.gif

It indicates an intense landfall on Cape May, NJ.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

Shows how there is no use in even looking at models this far out!!!!!!!!!!!

[vacanechaser]

told you... in the 500mb map, there is a weakness between the 2 ridges and it runs the coast.... wow... huge change from yesterday... interesting week ahead


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[DESTRUCTION5]

Gotta love how it just bust thru a pretty strong ridge..Good lord WTF..

[x-y-no]

I am officially confused as to where this run is going...

5 more days till it even reaches the islands...its going to be a LONG week.

I think I need a drink.

I really hate waiting for the next timeframes to show up... what is the deal?

You're not the only one - (well not me, I don't drink) - we just broke our Katrina record for users online.

In total there are 440 users online :: 129 registered, 12 hidden and 299 guests
Most users ever online was 440 on Mon Aug 13, 2007 12:50 pm

[enrybekim]

can someone provide contact information i.e IM chat/email for Mike Naso?

[Scorpion]

The trend is your friend... the GFS had it going to Texas/Mexico for several runs, now it looks like a possible East Coast runner. Florida is right in the middle of this...

[KFDM Meteorologist]

No it busted through weakness over Bahamas.

[Brent]

Haven't seen the ultimate doomsday in about three days.

[Steve]

LMAO at this thread. Hard to say based on initializations. Forecaster who coined it TD #4 said center might be farther south than where he's got it and that the heading was 265. Not sure GFS 12z has that if the run is based off of synoptics circa 7am. Future runs (possibly beginning with the sometimes-worthless 18z) may give a better picture. I wouldn't bet on anything until runs this weekend. JMO

Entire run is in on course at NOAA. It's a Chesapeake Bay hit. LMAO

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

[ronjon]

Shows how there is no use in even looking at models this far out!!!!!!!!!!!

I agree - but I'm putting more faith in the Euro for upper level conditions than the wildly varying GFS.

[vacanechaser]

Up the east coast... North Carolina

Naww it will change you will see. NC will not see this one.

just to bold of a statement... seems the euro was seeing something close with it taking to florida this morning... so the ridging may not be as strong... just to early to say...



Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[storms in NC]

told you... in the 500mb map, there is a weakness between the 2 ridges and it runs the coast.... wow... huge change from yesterday... interesting week ahead


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Jesse At less it didn't smell the Cape Fear

[KFDM Meteorologist]

If this is correct the entire W. Gulf is safe!

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_252l.gif

[canegrl04]

Untill TD 4 reaches the Islands,the models won't have a good handle on targets

[HurricaneRobert]

Come on, god, cancel the season already.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... 0_180l.gif

[vacanechaser]

told you... in the 500mb map, there is a weakness between the 2 ridges and it runs the coast.... wow... huge change from yesterday... interesting week ahead


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

Jesse At less it didn't smell the Cape Fear

lol... how true....


Jesse V. Bass III
http://www.vastormphoto.com
Hurricane Intercept Research Team

[Steve]

If the current progs on Sepat verify, that 12z GFS run is ridiculously off.

https://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc/warnings/wp0907.gif

Steve

[Steve H.]

Well, I believe somewhere between Nicaragua and Canada is at greatest risk here, But I say, buy American