CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads

[Rainband]

GFDl shifted back to the west. Thats good news.

[Brent]

I'd say maybe 900 mb near Cozumel?

Ouch.

[weatherguru18]

Local stores including Home Depot and Lowe's have started putting generators, water, batteries and other supplies out front. This is according to a guy on the KHOU forum in Houston. If this would have been Rita, this might have been a blip on the news in the second block. People well remember Rita...this proves it.

that guy was me!!!

LOL! So ROCK = Paul...got it!

[DESTRUCTION5]

GFDl shifted back to the west. Thats good news.

NOt for Cancun but it is for potential disruption of strength for TX.

[Sean in New Orleans]

Is Dean Houston's Katrina? I just have a bad feeling about this one for Texas....

[Opal storm]

GFDl shifted back to the west. Thats good news.

I think people in Mexico would disagree with you.This storm is not going to make good news anywhere it makes landfall.

[cycloneye]

701
WTNT34 KNHC 162355
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE DEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 14A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042007
800 PM AST THU AUG 16 2007

...OUTER BANDS OF DEAN MOVING THROUGH THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST.
LUCIA...MARTINIQUE...DOMINICA...AND GUADELOUPE AND ITS
DEPENDENCIES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLAND OF ANGUILLA. A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING ISLANDS
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES...GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES...ST.
VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES...BARBADOS...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...
MONSERRAT...ANTIGUA...NEVIS...ST KITTS...BARBUDA AND ST. MAARTEN.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO.

ADDITIONAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS ARE LIKELY LATER THIS EVENING.

INTERESTS IN THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF DEAN.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DEAN WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST OR ABOUT 205
MILES...330 KM...EAST OF MARTINIQUE.

DEAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CENTER OF DEAN WILL BE CROSSING THE LESSER ANTILLES
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. DEAN IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE. STRONGER WINDS...ESPECIALLY IN GUSTS...ARE LIKELY
OVER ELEVATED TERRAIN. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST BEFORE THE
HURRICANE REACHES THE LESSER ANTILLES. A WIND GUST OF 58 MPH WAS
RECENTLY REPORTED IN ST. LUCIA IN ONE OF THE OUTER RAINBANDS OF
DEAN.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150
MILES...240 KM...FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE
NEAR THE CENTER OF DEAN.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALLS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM
AMOUNTS OF 7 INCHES IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH DEAN. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 800 PM AST POSITION...14.0 N...57.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/BROWN

[ConvergenceZone]

Is Dean Houston's Katrina? I just have a bad feeling about this one for Texas....

well, hopefully it will steer west of Houston into less populated areas...

[cycloneye]

AT 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...THE METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE OF ANTIGUA HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE ISLAND OF ANGUILLA.

[ROCK]

Is Dean Houston's Katrina? I just have a bad feeling about this one for Texas....

bite your tongue!!!! Sean... We will see....and if it is we know we won't have levees failing. Instead, we will increase your price at the pump.....I do not want to see that at all....

[hicksta]

Yea bro i got a bad feeling two, but i want to keep my house.

[jabman98]

Well, everyone thought Rita was going to be Houston's Katrina until it got a little closer to the time. I figure Dean is going to be much the same - hard to say where he'll go at this point. We'll know more in a few days. In any case, it's good to spend some time this weekend reviewing plans, double checking supplies and so forth.

[SaveNola]

Is Dean Houston's Katrina? I just have a bad feeling about this one for Texas....

I guess that curve prediction didnt play out too well eh Sean?

[ROCK]

Yea bro i got a bad feeling two, but i want to keep my house.

yeah, Hick your in a bad spot to say the least.....

[ftolmsteen]

That upper low east of Florida... I've been hearing that the forecast is for that to keep the same pace (westward) as Dean is moving. I was watching the water vapor loop and it doesn't look like it's moving anywhere near the pace Dean is going. Maybe my eyes are decieving me, but I would not be shocked to see the forecast track to shift a little more to the right tonight.

[hicksta]

Yea bro i got a bad feeling two, but i want to keep my house.

yeah, Hick your in a bad spot to say the least.....

Haha, yea bro. The bay came over our deck today with just the rain/wind from erin.

[wxwatcher91]

Wow, Dean is definitely not looking too swell compared to earlier.

[Innotech]

Wow, Dean is definitely not looking too swell compared to earlier.

I think it entrained some dry air.

[Derek Ortt]

TS conditions likely for the northern islands. Dean is really expanding in size and likely will grow to maybe Gilbert's size

[sevenleft]

Wow, Dean is definitely not looking too swell compared to earlier.

It looks about the same. Has the same tight core with banding that it has had all day. Convection may have weaned a little this evening, but should pickup later tonight and tomorrow morning.