URNT12 KNHC 171307
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 17/12:36:30Z
B. 14 deg 26 min N
061 deg 49 min W
C. NA mb 2808 m
D. 102 kt
E. 073 deg 009 nm
F. 162 deg 100 kt
G. 073 deg 012 nm
H. 965 mb
I. 6 C/ 3060 m
J. 17 C/ 3047 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. OPEN W
M. C17
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF304 0404A DEAN OB 11
MAX FL WIND 100 KT E QUAD 12:33:00 Z
Storm DEAN: Observed By AF #304
Storm #04 in Atlantic Ocean0
Date/Time of Recon Report: Friday, August 17, 2007 8:36:00 AM (Fri, 17 Aug 2007 12:36:00 GMT)
Position of the center: 14° 26' N 061° 49' W (14.4°N 61.8°W) [See Map]
Surface Winds Were Estimated At: 102KT (117.3MPH 188.9km/h)
Estimated Surface Winds Were Measured 009nm (10.35miles) From Center At Bearing 073°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Near Center Were 100KT (115mph 185.2km/h) From 162°
Maximum Flight Level Winds Were Measured 012nm (13.8 miles) From Center At Bearing 073°
Minimum pressure: 965 mb (28.5in)
Eye Wall Was Characterized As Being: OPEN W
Eye Form Was Characterized As Being Circular , 17nm (19.6 mi 31.5km) wide
Center Fix Established Using: Penetration Radar Wind Pressure Temperature
Center Fix Established At Level(s): 700mb
Navigational Accuracy Measured At 0.02nm
Meteorological Accuracy Measured At 2nm
* = Estimated Surface Winds are assumed 90% of Max Flight Level Winds
CAT 5 Hurricane Dean - Archived threads
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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Chris_in_Tampa
- Category 5
- Posts: 5101
- Age: 42
- Joined: Thu Jun 21, 2007 11:06 pm
- Location: Tampa, Florida, USA
- Contact:
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Chris_in_Tampa
- Category 5
- Posts: 5101
- Age: 42
- Joined: Thu Jun 21, 2007 11:06 pm
- Location: Tampa, Florida, USA
- Contact:
Vortex just in: 965mb
---
URNT12 KNHC 171307
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 17/12:36:30Z
B. 14 deg 26 min N
061 deg 49 min W
C. NA mb 2808 m
D. 102 kt
E. 073 deg 009 nm
F. 162 deg 100 kt
G. 073 deg 012 nm
H. 965 mb
I. 6 C/ 3060 m
J. 17 C/ 3047 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. OPEN W
M. C17
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF304 0404A DEAN OB 11
MAX FL WIND 100 KT E QUAD 12:33:00 Z
---
URNT12 KNHC 171307
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042007
A. 17/12:36:30Z
B. 14 deg 26 min N
061 deg 49 min W
C. NA mb 2808 m
D. 102 kt
E. 073 deg 009 nm
F. 162 deg 100 kt
G. 073 deg 012 nm
H. 965 mb
I. 6 C/ 3060 m
J. 17 C/ 3047 m
K. 11 C/ NA
L. OPEN W
M. C17
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF304 0404A DEAN OB 11
MAX FL WIND 100 KT E QUAD 12:33:00 Z
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Since, much ado has been mentioned about this upper level low, here is the GFS ensemble mean and spread of the 250mb heights at 84 hours initialized at 00Z:
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/ens/t ... 0_vt84.gif
There is still quite a bit uncertainty as to the amplitude and placement of the upper level low given by the yellow and orange shading over the GoM. This also can be seen at 500mb, although it starts getting muddled with Dean's 500mb anomaly coming into the picture.
As a result, the ensembles show varying degrees of poleward motion and resembles the spread in the multi-model suite:
http://wind.mit.edu/~btangy/Home/TCGuid.htm (select 00Z ensembles and 00Z global & regional to compare)
What is noteworthy is that more and more of the ensembles are starting to show more a poleward motion in the Gulf and the ensemble mean (AEMN) has been shifting N with these individual members. However, there is still quite a bit of uncertainty in the long range, which is to be expected, so nothing is a slam dunk and you will probably see the models shifting around within this envelope of uncertainty run after run until Dean gets into the W Caribbean and the evolution of the upper level low is more certain.
http://wwwt.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/gmb/ens/t ... 0_vt84.gif
There is still quite a bit uncertainty as to the amplitude and placement of the upper level low given by the yellow and orange shading over the GoM. This also can be seen at 500mb, although it starts getting muddled with Dean's 500mb anomaly coming into the picture.
As a result, the ensembles show varying degrees of poleward motion and resembles the spread in the multi-model suite:
http://wind.mit.edu/~btangy/Home/TCGuid.htm (select 00Z ensembles and 00Z global & regional to compare)
What is noteworthy is that more and more of the ensembles are starting to show more a poleward motion in the Gulf and the ensemble mean (AEMN) has been shifting N with these individual members. However, there is still quite a bit of uncertainty in the long range, which is to be expected, so nothing is a slam dunk and you will probably see the models shifting around within this envelope of uncertainty run after run until Dean gets into the W Caribbean and the evolution of the upper level low is more certain.
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Re: DEAN: Recon obs=Vortex Data Message=965 mbs,100kts E Quad
000
UZNT13 KNHC 171308
XXAA 67137 99144 70618 04341 99965 26400 11013 00821 ///// /////
92372 24800 12509 85114 21600 15008 70793 15842 06010 88999 77999
31313 09608 81236
61616 AF304 0404A DEAN OB 12
62626 EYE SPL 1444N06184W 1240 MBL WND 13010 AEV 00000 =
XXBB 67138 99144 70618 04341 00965 26400 11850 21600 22826 19600
33753 19845 44705 17242 55697 15043
21212 00965 11013 11948 13511 22901 14007 33850 15008 44797 18010
55697 05012
31313 09608 81236
61616 AF304 0404A DEAN OB 12
62626 EYE SPL 1444N06184W 1240 MBL WND 13010 AEV 00000 =
UZNT13 KNHC 171308
XXAA 67137 99144 70618 04341 99965 26400 11013 00821 ///// /////
92372 24800 12509 85114 21600 15008 70793 15842 06010 88999 77999
31313 09608 81236
61616 AF304 0404A DEAN OB 12
62626 EYE SPL 1444N06184W 1240 MBL WND 13010 AEV 00000 =
XXBB 67138 99144 70618 04341 00965 26400 11850 21600 22826 19600
33753 19845 44705 17242 55697 15043
21212 00965 11013 11948 13511 22901 14007 33850 15008 44797 18010
55697 05012
31313 09608 81236
61616 AF304 0404A DEAN OB 12
62626 EYE SPL 1444N06184W 1240 MBL WND 13010 AEV 00000 =
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Scott_inVA
- Storm2k Forecaster
- Posts: 1238
- Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2002 5:44 pm
- Location: Lexington, Virginia
- Contact:
Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models
Good Morning...A FREEBIE!!!12Z today from Mid-Atlantic WX.com:
Remains interestingly similar to Allen '80
Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm
Remains interestingly similar to Allen '80
Scott
Mid-Atlantic WX.com
Lexington, VA
http://www.midatlanticwx.com/modelmap.htm
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Chris_in_Tampa
- Category 5
- Posts: 5101
- Age: 42
- Joined: Thu Jun 21, 2007 11:06 pm
- Location: Tampa, Florida, USA
- Contact:
URNT15 KNHC 171311
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 24 20070817
130400 1337N 06243W 6973 03143 0059 +084 +084 320014 015 019 008 00
130430 1334N 06245W 6975 03145 0053 +089 +089 318016 017 015 006 00
130500 1333N 06247W 6974 03148 0055 +089 +089 312016 018 016 006 00
130530 1332N 06248W 6973 03145 0058 +087 +087 304013 017 021 007 00
130600 1330N 06249W 6976 03145 0074 +076 +076 322013 015 023 013 00
130630 1329N 06250W 6974 03147 0084 +068 +068 315020 023 025 024 03
130700 1328N 06252W 6977 03143 0093 +063 +063 315013 014 028 039 03
130730 1326N 06253W 6971 03151 0085 +070 +070 318014 015 026 008 00
130800 1325N 06254W 6974 03147 0070 +082 +082 315013 014 019 007 00
130830 1324N 06256W 6975 03151 0060 +090 +090 324012 013 010 007 00
130900 1323N 06257W 6975 03151 0061 +090 +089 330013 013 008 007 00
130930 1322N 06258W 6976 03149 0059 +092 +086 329014 015 009 006 00
131000 1320N 06300W 6975 03152 0064 +090 +083 329015 015 009 006 00
131030 1319N 06301W 6976 03153 0065 +091 +077 326015 015 009 006 00
131100 1318N 06303W 6973 03156 0061 +094 +075 330016 016 011 006 00
131130 1317N 06304W 6975 03157 0061 +095 +068 329016 016 022 007 00
131200 1316N 06305W 6953 03179 0065 +077 +077 332014 016 035 041 05
131230 1314N 06307W 6988 03138 0084 +072 +072 327015 017 034 018 05
131300 1313N 06308W 6986 03141 0083 +073 +073 328018 020 025 062 03
131330 1311N 06309W 6975 03157 0079 +078 +078 330016 017 023 024 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:11Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 24
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:04:00 13.62N 62.72W 697.3 mb 3,143 m 1005.9 mb From 320° (NW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 19 kts 8 mm/hr
13:04:30 13.57N 62.75W 697.5 mb 3,145 m 1005.3 mb From 318° (NW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 15 kts 6 mm/hr
13:05:00 13.55N 62.78W 697.4 mb 3,148 m 1005.5 mb From 312° (NW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 18 kts (~ 20.7 mph) 16 kts 6 mm/hr
13:05:30 13.53N 62.80W 697.3 mb 3,145 m 1005.8 mb From 304° (NW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 21 kts 7 mm/hr
13:06:00 13.50N 62.82W 697.6 mb 3,145 m 1007.4 mb From 322° (NW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 23 kts 13 mm/hr
13:06:30 13.48N 62.83W 697.4 mb 3,147 m 1008.4 mb From 315° (NW) at 20 kts (23.0 mph) 23 kts (~ 26.4 mph) 25 kts* 24 mm/hr*
13:07:00 13.47N 62.87W 697.7 mb 3,143 m 1009.3 mb From 315° (NW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 28 kts* 39 mm/hr*
13:07:30 13.43N 62.88W 697.1 mb 3,151 m 1008.5 mb From 318° (NW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 26 kts 8 mm/hr
13:08:00 13.42N 62.90W 697.4 mb 3,147 m 1007.0 mb From 315° (NW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 19 kts 7 mm/hr
13:08:30 13.40N 62.93W 697.5 mb 3,151 m 1006.0 mb From 324° (NW) at 12 kts (13.8 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 10 kts 7 mm/hr
13:09:00 13.38N 62.95W 697.5 mb 3,151 m 1006.1 mb From 330° (NNW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 8 kts 7 mm/hr
13:09:30 13.37N 62.97W 697.6 mb 3,149 m 1005.9 mb From 329° (NNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:10:00 13.33N 63.00W 697.5 mb 3,152 m 1006.4 mb From 329° (NNW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:10:30 13.32N 63.02W 697.6 mb 3,153 m 1006.5 mb From 326° (NW/NNW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:11:00 13.30N 63.05W 697.3 mb 3,156 m 1006.1 mb From 330° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 11 kts 6 mm/hr
13:11:30 13.28N 63.07W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1006.1 mb From 329° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 22 kts 7 mm/hr
13:12:00 13.27N 63.08W 695.3 mb 3,179 m 1006.5 mb From 332° (NNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 35 kts* 41 mm/hr*
13:12:30 13.23N 63.12W 698.8 mb 3,138 m 1008.4 mb From 327° (NNW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 34 kts* 18 mm/hr*
13:13:00 13.22N 63.13W 698.6 mb 3,141 m 1008.3 mb From 328° (NNW) at 18 kts (20.7 mph) 20 kts (~ 23.0 mph) 25 kts* 62 mm/hr*
13:13:30 13.18N 63.15W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1007.9 mb From 330° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 23 kts 24 mm/hr
At 13:04:00Z (first observation), the observation was 102 miles (164 km) to the WNW (287°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
At 13:13:30Z (last observation), the observation was 315 miles (507 km) to the NE (53°) from Caracas, Venezuela.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .13c-63.15
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
--------
URNT11 KNHC 171313
97779 13134 60131 63118 30400 33015 07078 /3128
RMK AF304 0404A DEAN OB 14
SWS = 023KTS
Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:13Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 14
Mandatory Data...
Observation Time: Friday, 13:13Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 13.1N 63.1W (View map)
Location: 314 miles (506 km) to the NE (55°) from Caracas, Venezuela.
Turbulence: Light
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 3,040 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 330° at 15 knots (From the NNW at ~ 17.2 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 7°C
Flight Level Dew Point: 7°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Shower(s) (continuous or intermittent precipitation - from cumuliform clouds)
700 mb Surface Altitude: 3,128 geopotential meters
Remarks: SWS 023KTS
-------
URNT15 KNHC 171321
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 25 20070817
131400 1310N 06310W 6976 03155 0073 +084 +084 332016 017 019 028 00
131430 1309N 06311W 6973 03158 0070 +090 +077 332017 017 017 006 00
131500 1307N 06312W 6972 03168 0080 +086 +078 331016 017 999 999 03
131530 1306N 06311W 6976 03159 0077 +087 +073 305014 015 005 006 03
131600 1305N 06309W 6977 03154 0075 +088 +066 296013 013 014 005 00
131630 1305N 06308W 6976 03156 0078 +085 +074 294013 013 011 006 00
131700 1304N 06306W 6974 03158 0079 +083 +078 294014 015 013 006 00
131730 1304N 06304W 6977 03155 0078 +085 +074 285014 014 014 005 00
131800 1304N 06304W 6977 03155 0076 +086 +075 284014 014 009 006 00
131830 1303N 06300W 6972 03159 0069 +091 +068 284015 015 010 006 00
131900 1302N 06258W 6975 03157 0071 +090 +079 283016 016 012 006 00
131930 1302N 06256W 6975 03159 0073 +085 +085 282014 015 013 006 03
132000 1301N 06254W 6975 03156 0081 +080 +080 275013 013 012 006 00
132030 1302N 06252W 6976 03157 0081 +080 +080 268014 014 019 007 00
132100 1302N 06250W 6974 03154 0077 +081 +081 264012 013 021 007 00
132130 1302N 06249W 6975 03157 0075 +083 +083 263011 012 023 007 00
132200 1302N 06247W 6973 03158 0072 +085 +079 265012 012 025 007 00
132230 1302N 06245W 6973 03154 0075 +083 +083 262015 016 024 007 00
132300 1302N 06243W 6976 03156 0073 +086 +080 258015 015 023 008 00
132330 1302N 06241W 6975 03158 0075 +085 +079 257015 016 022 006 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:21Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 25
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:14:00 13.17N 63.17W 697.6 mb 3,155 m 1007.3 mb From 332° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 19 kts 28 mm/hr
13:14:30 13.15N 63.18W 697.3 mb 3,158 m 1007.0 mb From 332° (NNW) at 17 kts (19.5 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 17 kts 6 mm/hr
13:15:00 13.12N 63.20W 697.2 mb 3,168 m 1008.0 mb From 331° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) - -
13:15:30 13.10N 63.18W 697.6 mb 3,159 m 1007.7 mb From 305° (NW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 5 kts* 6 mm/hr*
13:16:00 13.08N 63.15W 697.7 mb 3,154 m 1007.5 mb From 296° (WNW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 14 kts 5 mm/hr
13:16:30 13.08N 63.13W 697.6 mb 3,156 m 1007.8 mb From 294° (WNW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 11 kts 6 mm/hr
13:17:00 13.07N 63.10W 697.4 mb 3,158 m 1007.9 mb From 294° (WNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 13 kts 6 mm/hr
13:17:30 13.07N 63.07W 697.7 mb 3,155 m 1007.8 mb From 285° (WNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 14 kts 5 mm/hr
13:18:00 13.07N 63.07W 697.7 mb 3,155 m 1007.6 mb From 284° (WNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:18:30 13.05N 63.00W 697.2 mb 3,159 m 1006.9 mb From 284° (WNW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 10 kts 6 mm/hr
13:19:00 13.03N 62.97W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1007.1 mb From 283° (WNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 12 kts 6 mm/hr
13:19:30 13.03N 62.93W 697.5 mb 3,159 m 1007.3 mb From 282° (WNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 13 kts* 6 mm/hr*
13:20:00 13.02N 62.90W 697.5 mb 3,156 m 1008.1 mb From 275° (W) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 12 kts 6 mm/hr
13:20:30 13.03N 62.87W 697.6 mb 3,157 m 1008.1 mb From 268° (W) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 19 kts 7 mm/hr
13:21:00 13.03N 62.83W 697.4 mb 3,154 m 1007.7 mb From 264° (W) at 12 kts (13.8 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 21 kts 7 mm/hr
13:21:30 13.03N 62.82W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1007.5 mb From 263° (W) at 11 kts (12.6 mph) 12 kts (~ 13.8 mph) 23 kts 7 mm/hr
13:22:00 13.03N 62.78W 697.3 mb 3,158 m 1007.2 mb From 265° (W) at 12 kts (13.8 mph) 12 kts (~ 13.8 mph) 25 kts 7 mm/hr
13:22:30 13.03N 62.75W 697.3 mb 3,154 m 1007.5 mb From 262° (W) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 24 kts 7 mm/hr
13:23:00 13.03N 62.72W 697.6 mb 3,156 m 1007.3 mb From 258° (WSW/W) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 23 kts 8 mm/hr
13:23:30 13.03N 62.68W 697.5 mb 3,158 m 1007.5 mb From 257° (WSW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 22 kts 6 mm/hr
At 13:14:00Z (first observation), the observation was 313 miles (504 km) to the NE (53°) from Caracas, Venezuela.
At 13:23:30Z (last observation), the observation was 92 miles (148 km) to the NW (317°) from Saint George, Grenada.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .72c-62.68
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
-----
URNT15 KNHC 171331
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 26 20070817
132400 1302N 06239W 6974 03155 0077 +082 +082 250017 018 016 007 00
132430 1302N 06237W 6975 03154 0074 +085 +082 256018 018 011 007 00
132500 1302N 06235W 6973 03159 0073 +085 +081 254020 020 009 006 00
132530 1301N 06233W 6973 03157 0070 +087 +074 251019 020 000 006 00
132600 1301N 06231W 6975 03155 0063 +094 +059 247020 020 000 006 00
132630 1301N 06229W 6976 03154 0063 +093 +071 236023 024 006 006 00
132700 1301N 06227W 6976 03152 0064 +091 +074 231024 025 004 006 00
132730 1301N 06225W 6975 03153 0066 +089 +079 231025 026 018 007 00
132800 1301N 06223W 6973 03154 0068 +087 +087 227024 025 023 008 00
132830 1301N 06221W 6975 03152 0079 +078 +078 228023 025 024 028 00
132900 1302N 06219W 6976 03150 0065 +087 +082 228023 024 024 037 00
132930 1302N 06217W 6974 03151 0070 +085 +085 230024 025 026 023 00
133000 1302N 06215W 6975 03154 0060 +092 +080 229023 024 024 007 00
133030 1302N 06213W 6973 03155 0062 +091 +078 230024 024 026 006 00
133100 1302N 06211W 6975 03152 0067 +086 +081 230026 027 025 007 00
133130 1303N 06209W 6975 03153 0063 +090 +083 234027 028 017 007 00
133200 1303N 06207W 6973 03153 0057 +094 +085 235027 027 021 006 00
133230 1303N 06205W 6976 03149 0063 +090 +080 234028 029 022 007 00
133300 1303N 06203W 6975 03149 0061 +093 +069 234030 030 023 006 00
133330 1304N 06201W 6974 03153 0062 +092 +067 234029 030 025 006 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:31Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 26
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:24:00 13.03N 62.65W 697.4 mb 3,155 m 1007.7 mb From 250° (WSW) at 17 kts (19.5 mph) 18 kts (~ 20.7 mph) 16 kts 7 mm/hr
13:24:30 13.03N 62.62W 697.5 mb 3,154 m 1007.4 mb From 256° (WSW) at 18 kts (20.7 mph) 18 kts (~ 20.7 mph) 11 kts 7 mm/hr
13:25:00 13.03N 62.58W 697.3 mb 3,159 m 1007.3 mb From 254° (WSW) at 20 kts (23.0 mph) 20 kts (~ 23.0 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:25:30 13.02N 62.55W 697.3 mb 3,157 m 1007.0 mb From 251° (WSW) at 19 kts (21.8 mph) 20 kts (~ 23.0 mph) 0 kts 6 mm/hr
13:26:00 13.02N 62.52W 697.5 mb 3,155 m 1006.3 mb From 247° (WSW) at 20 kts (23.0 mph) 20 kts (~ 23.0 mph) 0 kts 6 mm/hr
13:26:30 13.02N 62.48W 697.6 mb 3,154 m 1006.3 mb From 236° (SW/WSW) at 23 kts (26.4 mph) 24 kts (~ 27.6 mph) 6 kts 6 mm/hr
13:27:00 13.02N 62.45W 697.6 mb 3,152 m 1006.4 mb From 231° (SW) at 24 kts (27.6 mph) 25 kts (~ 28.7 mph) 4 kts 6 mm/hr
13:27:30 13.02N 62.42W 697.5 mb 3,153 m 1006.6 mb From 231° (SW) at 25 kts (28.7 mph) 26 kts (~ 29.9 mph) 18 kts 7 mm/hr
13:28:00 13.02N 62.38W 697.3 mb 3,154 m 1006.8 mb From 227° (SW) at 24 kts (27.6 mph) 25 kts (~ 28.7 mph) 23 kts 8 mm/hr
13:28:30 13.02N 62.35W 697.5 mb 3,152 m 1007.9 mb From 228° (SW) at 23 kts (26.4 mph) 25 kts (~ 28.7 mph) 24 kts 28 mm/hr
13:29:00 13.03N 62.32W 697.6 mb 3,150 m 1006.5 mb From 228° (SW) at 23 kts (26.4 mph) 24 kts (~ 27.6 mph) 24 kts 37 mm/hr
13:29:30 13.03N 62.28W 697.4 mb 3,151 m 1007.0 mb From 230° (SW) at 24 kts (27.6 mph) 25 kts (~ 28.7 mph) 26 kts 23 mm/hr
13:30:00 13.03N 62.25W 697.5 mb 3,154 m 1006.0 mb From 229° (SW) at 23 kts (26.4 mph) 24 kts (~ 27.6 mph) 24 kts 7 mm/hr
13:30:30 13.03N 62.22W 697.3 mb 3,155 m 1006.2 mb From 230° (SW) at 24 kts (27.6 mph) 24 kts (~ 27.6 mph) 26 kts 6 mm/hr
13:31:00 13.03N 62.18W 697.5 mb 3,152 m 1006.7 mb From 230° (SW) at 26 kts (29.9 mph) 27 kts (~ 31.0 mph) 25 kts 7 mm/hr
13:31:30 13.05N 62.15W 697.5 mb 3,153 m 1006.3 mb From 234° (SW) at 27 kts (31.0 mph) 28 kts (~ 32.2 mph) 17 kts 7 mm/hr
13:32:00 13.05N 62.12W 697.3 mb 3,153 m 1005.7 mb From 235° (SW) at 27 kts (31.0 mph) 27 kts (~ 31.0 mph) 21 kts 6 mm/hr
13:32:30 13.05N 62.08W 697.6 mb 3,149 m 1006.3 mb From 234° (SW) at 28 kts (32.2 mph) 29 kts (~ 33.3 mph) 22 kts 7 mm/hr
13:33:00 13.05N 62.05W 697.5 mb 3,149 m 1006.1 mb From 234° (SW) at 30 kts (34.5 mph) 30 kts (~ 34.5 mph) 23 kts 6 mm/hr
13:33:30 13.07N 62.02W 697.4 mb 3,153 m 1006.2 mb From 234° (SW) at 29 kts (33.3 mph) 30 kts (~ 34.5 mph) 25 kts 6 mm/hr
At 13:24:00Z (first observation), the observation was 90 miles (146 km) to the NW (318°) from Saint George, Grenada.
At 13:33:30Z (last observation), the observation was 52 miles (83 km) to the W (260°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .05c-62.02
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
----
URNT15 KNHC 171342
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 27 20070817
133400 1304N 06159W 6975 03148 0066 +090 +061 232030 030 026 006 00
133430 1304N 06157W 6974 03155 0072 +080 +080 228029 030 026 006 00
133500 1304N 06155W 6972 03155 0064 +092 +068 227030 031 026 005 00
133530 1304N 06153W 6977 03151 0067 +090 +068 222031 032 021 005 00
133600 1305N 06151W 6975 03154 0065 +091 +064 217031 031 023 005 00
133630 1305N 06149W 6972 03156 0067 +091 +062 215031 032 023 006 00
133700 1305N 06147W 6975 03157 0069 +090 +066 217032 032 027 005 00
133730 1305N 06145W 6975 03156 0073 +087 +071 219032 033 026 005 00
133800 1306N 06143W 6970 03160 0070 +090 +058 220034 034 028 005 00
133830 1306N 06141W 6974 03159 0071 +094 -016 218033 033 026 005 00
133900 1306N 06139W 6975 03156 0083 +093 -198 216034 036 027 005 00
133930 1306N 06137W 6975 03161 0096 +085 -289 213037 038 027 005 00
134000 1306N 06135W 6976 03160 0092 +087 -330 211037 038 028 005 00
134030 1307N 06133W 6973 03160 0095 +085 -346 209038 039 027 005 00
134100 1307N 06131W 6976 03155 0093 +086 -351 209039 039 024 005 00
134130 1307N 06129W 6976 03158 0090 +089 -351 210038 039 025 005 00
134200 1307N 06127W 6973 03161 0095 +086 -350 209038 038 026 005 00
134230 1307N 06125W 6975 03159 0096 +085 -346 207038 038 025 005 00
134300 1307N 06125W 6975 03159 0093 +089 -343 205038 039 025 006 00
134330 1308N 06121W 6975 03162 0093 +090 -341 206038 039 027 005 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:42Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 27
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:34:00 13.07N 61.98W 697.5 mb 3,148 m 1006.6 mb From 232° (SW) at 30 kts (34.5 mph) 30 kts (~ 34.5 mph) 26 kts 6 mm/hr
13:34:30 13.07N 61.95W 697.4 mb 3,155 m 1007.2 mb From 228° (SW) at 29 kts (33.3 mph) 30 kts (~ 34.5 mph) 26 kts 6 mm/hr
13:35:00 13.07N 61.92W 697.2 mb 3,155 m 1006.4 mb From 227° (SW) at 30 kts (34.5 mph) 31 kts (~ 35.6 mph) 26 kts 5 mm/hr
13:35:30 13.07N 61.88W 697.7 mb 3,151 m 1006.7 mb From 222° (SW) at 31 kts (35.6 mph) 32 kts (~ 36.8 mph) 21 kts 5 mm/hr
13:36:00 13.08N 61.85W 697.5 mb 3,154 m 1006.5 mb From 217° (SW) at 31 kts (35.6 mph) 31 kts (~ 35.6 mph) 23 kts 5 mm/hr
13:36:30 13.08N 61.82W 697.2 mb 3,156 m 1006.7 mb From 215° (SW) at 31 kts (35.6 mph) 32 kts (~ 36.8 mph) 23 kts 6 mm/hr
13:37:00 13.08N 61.78W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1006.9 mb From 217° (SW) at 32 kts (36.8 mph) 32 kts (~ 36.8 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
13:37:30 13.08N 61.75W 697.5 mb 3,156 m 1007.3 mb From 219° (SW) at 32 kts (36.8 mph) 33 kts (~ 37.9 mph) 26 kts 5 mm/hr
13:38:00 13.10N 61.72W 697.0 mb 3,160 m 1007.0 mb From 220° (SW) at 34 kts (39.1 mph) 34 kts (~ 39.1 mph) 28 kts 5 mm/hr
13:38:30 13.10N 61.68W 697.4 mb 3,159 m 1007.1 mb From 218° (SW) at 33 kts (37.9 mph) 33 kts (~ 37.9 mph) 26 kts 5 mm/hr
13:39:00 13.10N 61.65W 697.5 mb 3,156 m 1008.3 mb From 216° (SW) at 34 kts (39.1 mph) 36 kts (~ 41.4 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
13:39:30 13.10N 61.62W 697.5 mb 3,161 m 1009.6 mb From 213° (SSW/SW) at 37 kts (42.5 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
13:40:00 13.10N 61.58W 697.6 mb 3,160 m 1009.2 mb From 211° (SSW) at 37 kts (42.5 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 28 kts 5 mm/hr
13:40:30 13.12N 61.55W 697.3 mb 3,160 m 1009.5 mb From 209° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
13:41:00 13.12N 61.52W 697.6 mb 3,155 m 1009.3 mb From 209° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 24 kts 5 mm/hr
13:41:30 13.12N 61.48W 697.6 mb 3,158 m 1009.0 mb From 210° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 25 kts 5 mm/hr
13:42:00 13.12N 61.45W 697.3 mb 3,161 m 1009.5 mb From 209° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 26 kts 5 mm/hr
13:42:30 13.12N 61.42W 697.5 mb 3,159 m 1009.6 mb From 207° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 25 kts 5 mm/hr
13:43:00 13.12N 61.42W 697.5 mb 3,159 m 1009.3 mb From 205° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 25 kts 6 mm/hr
13:43:30 13.13N 61.35W 697.5 mb 3,162 m 1009.3 mb From 206° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
At 13:34:00Z (first observation), the observation was 49 miles (79 km) to the W (259°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
At 13:43:30Z (last observation), the observation was 8 miles (12 km) to the SW (228°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .42c-61.35
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
----
URNT15 KNHC 171351
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 28 20070817
134400 1308N 06119W 6974 03163 0097 +086 -338 205038 039 027 006 00
134430 1308N 06117W 6974 03163 0113 +075 -329 200039 041 026 007 00
134500 1309N 06116W 6975 03161 0117 +071 -323 202039 040 029 007 03
134530 1309N 06114W 6973 03152 0083 +074 -321 199041 043 999 999 03
134600 1309N 06112W 6975 03079 9994 +080 -323 203043 044 999 999 03
134630 1309N 06110W 6977 03053 9996 +080 -324 204045 046 999 999 03
134700 1309N 06108W 6973 03163 0117 +073 -323 202044 044 999 999 03
134730 1311N 06106W 6973 03163 0133 +062 -316 191046 047 999 999 03
134800 1313N 06107W 6971 03163 0112 +064 -312 189042 045 999 999 03
134830 1314N 06109W 6976 02953 9837 +082 -311 192041 041 999 999 03
134900 1315N 06110W 6977 02513 9428 +086 -233 189042 043 999 999 03
134930 1316N 06112W 6976 02689 9474 +079 +050 194042 043 999 999 03
135000 1318N 06113W 6975 02764 9990 +084 +999 204042 044 999 999 05
135030 1319N 06115W 6973 03159 9990 +083 +999 210042 043 041 000 05
135100 1320N 06116W 6972 03157 9990 +087 +999 208037 040 028 006 01
135130 1322N 06117W 6977 03151 9990 +088 +999 202037 038 030 006 01
135200 1323N 06119W 6975 03155 9990 +087 +999 199039 040 031 006 01
135230 1324N 06120W 6976 03151 9990 +089 +999 199039 040 032 006 01
135300 1326N 06121W 6973 03152 9990 +085 +999 199040 041 034 006 01
135330 1327N 06123W 6975 03153 0070 +085 +076 198040 041 033 006 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:51Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 28
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:44:00 13.13N 61.32W 697.4 mb 3,163 m 1009.7 mb From 205° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 27 kts 6 mm/hr
13:44:30 13.13N 61.28W 697.4 mb 3,163 m 1011.3 mb From 200° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 41 kts (~ 47.1 mph) 26 kts 7 mm/hr
13:45:00 13.15N 61.27W 697.5 mb 3,161 m 1011.7 mb From 202° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 40 kts (~ 46.0 mph) 29 kts* 7 mm/hr*
13:45:30 13.15N 61.23W 697.3 mb 3,152 m 1008.3 mb From 199° (SSW) at 41 kts (47.1 mph) 43 kts (~ 49.4 mph) - -
13:46:00 13.15N 61.20W 697.5 mb 3,079 m 999.4 mb From 203° (SSW) at 43 kts (49.4 mph) 44 kts (~ 50.6 mph) - -
13:46:30 13.15N 61.17W 697.7 mb 3,053 m 999.6 mb From 204° (SSW) at 45 kts (51.7 mph) 46 kts (~ 52.9 mph) - -
13:47:00 13.15N 61.13W 697.3 mb 3,163 m 1011.7 mb From 202° (SSW) at 44 kts (50.6 mph) 44 kts (~ 50.6 mph) - -
13:47:30 13.18N 61.10W 697.3 mb 3,163 m 1013.3 mb From 191° (S/SSW) at 46 kts (52.9 mph) 47 kts (~ 54.0 mph) - -
13:48:00 13.22N 61.12W 697.1 mb 3,163 m 1011.2 mb From 189° (S) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 45 kts (~ 51.7 mph) - -
13:48:30 13.23N 61.15W 697.6 mb 2,953 m 983.7 mb From 192° (SSW) at 41 kts (47.1 mph) 41 kts (~ 47.1 mph) - -
13:49:00 13.25N 61.17W 697.7 mb 2,513 m 942.8 mb From 189° (S) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 43 kts (~ 49.4 mph) - -
13:49:30 13.27N 61.20W 697.6 mb 2,689 m 947.4 mb From 194° (SSW) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 43 kts (~ 49.4 mph) - -
13:50:00 13.30N 61.22W 697.5 mb 2,764 m - From 204° (SSW) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 44 kts (~ 50.6 mph) - -
13:50:30 13.32N 61.25W 697.3 mb 3,159 m - From 210° (SSW) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 43 kts (~ 49.4 mph) 41 kts* 0 mm/hr*
13:51:00 13.33N 61.27W 697.2 mb 3,157 m - From 208° (SSW) at 37 kts (42.5 mph) 40 kts (~ 46.0 mph) 28 kts 6 mm/hr
13:51:30 13.37N 61.28W 697.7 mb 3,151 m - From 202° (SSW) at 37 kts (42.5 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 30 kts 6 mm/hr
13:52:00 13.38N 61.32W 697.5 mb 3,155 m - From 199° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 40 kts (~ 46.0 mph) 31 kts 6 mm/hr
13:52:30 13.40N 61.33W 697.6 mb 3,151 m - From 199° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 40 kts (~ 46.0 mph) 32 kts 6 mm/hr
13:53:00 13.43N 61.35W 697.3 mb 3,152 m - From 199° (SSW) at 40 kts (46.0 mph) 41 kts (~ 47.1 mph) 34 kts 6 mm/hr
13:53:30 13.45N 61.38W 697.5 mb 3,153 m 1007.0 mb From 198° (SSW) at 40 kts (46.0 mph) 41 kts (~ 47.1 mph) 33 kts 6 mm/hr
At 13:44:00Z (first observation), the observation was 6 miles (10 km) to the SW (216°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
At 13:53:30Z (last observation), the observation was 19 miles (30 km) to the NNW (336°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .35c-61.38
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
----
URNT11 KNHC 171352
97779 13530 60134 61300 30400 20041 08078 /3125
RMK AF304 0404A DEAN OB 15
SWS = 033KTS
Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:52Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 15
Mandatory Data...
Observation Time: Friday, 13:53Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 13.4N 61.3W
Location: 14 miles (22 km) to the N (350°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 3,040 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 200° at 41 knots (From the SSW at ~ 47.1 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 8°C
Flight Level Dew Point: Not available, probably because the dew point hygrometer was not working.
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Shower(s) (continuous or intermittent precipitation - from cumuliform clouds)
700 mb Surface Altitude: 3,125 geopotential meters
Remarks: SWS 033KTS
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 24 20070817
130400 1337N 06243W 6973 03143 0059 +084 +084 320014 015 019 008 00
130430 1334N 06245W 6975 03145 0053 +089 +089 318016 017 015 006 00
130500 1333N 06247W 6974 03148 0055 +089 +089 312016 018 016 006 00
130530 1332N 06248W 6973 03145 0058 +087 +087 304013 017 021 007 00
130600 1330N 06249W 6976 03145 0074 +076 +076 322013 015 023 013 00
130630 1329N 06250W 6974 03147 0084 +068 +068 315020 023 025 024 03
130700 1328N 06252W 6977 03143 0093 +063 +063 315013 014 028 039 03
130730 1326N 06253W 6971 03151 0085 +070 +070 318014 015 026 008 00
130800 1325N 06254W 6974 03147 0070 +082 +082 315013 014 019 007 00
130830 1324N 06256W 6975 03151 0060 +090 +090 324012 013 010 007 00
130900 1323N 06257W 6975 03151 0061 +090 +089 330013 013 008 007 00
130930 1322N 06258W 6976 03149 0059 +092 +086 329014 015 009 006 00
131000 1320N 06300W 6975 03152 0064 +090 +083 329015 015 009 006 00
131030 1319N 06301W 6976 03153 0065 +091 +077 326015 015 009 006 00
131100 1318N 06303W 6973 03156 0061 +094 +075 330016 016 011 006 00
131130 1317N 06304W 6975 03157 0061 +095 +068 329016 016 022 007 00
131200 1316N 06305W 6953 03179 0065 +077 +077 332014 016 035 041 05
131230 1314N 06307W 6988 03138 0084 +072 +072 327015 017 034 018 05
131300 1313N 06308W 6986 03141 0083 +073 +073 328018 020 025 062 03
131330 1311N 06309W 6975 03157 0079 +078 +078 330016 017 023 024 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:11Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 24
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:04:00 13.62N 62.72W 697.3 mb 3,143 m 1005.9 mb From 320° (NW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 19 kts 8 mm/hr
13:04:30 13.57N 62.75W 697.5 mb 3,145 m 1005.3 mb From 318° (NW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 15 kts 6 mm/hr
13:05:00 13.55N 62.78W 697.4 mb 3,148 m 1005.5 mb From 312° (NW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 18 kts (~ 20.7 mph) 16 kts 6 mm/hr
13:05:30 13.53N 62.80W 697.3 mb 3,145 m 1005.8 mb From 304° (NW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 21 kts 7 mm/hr
13:06:00 13.50N 62.82W 697.6 mb 3,145 m 1007.4 mb From 322° (NW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 23 kts 13 mm/hr
13:06:30 13.48N 62.83W 697.4 mb 3,147 m 1008.4 mb From 315° (NW) at 20 kts (23.0 mph) 23 kts (~ 26.4 mph) 25 kts* 24 mm/hr*
13:07:00 13.47N 62.87W 697.7 mb 3,143 m 1009.3 mb From 315° (NW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 28 kts* 39 mm/hr*
13:07:30 13.43N 62.88W 697.1 mb 3,151 m 1008.5 mb From 318° (NW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 26 kts 8 mm/hr
13:08:00 13.42N 62.90W 697.4 mb 3,147 m 1007.0 mb From 315° (NW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 19 kts 7 mm/hr
13:08:30 13.40N 62.93W 697.5 mb 3,151 m 1006.0 mb From 324° (NW) at 12 kts (13.8 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 10 kts 7 mm/hr
13:09:00 13.38N 62.95W 697.5 mb 3,151 m 1006.1 mb From 330° (NNW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 8 kts 7 mm/hr
13:09:30 13.37N 62.97W 697.6 mb 3,149 m 1005.9 mb From 329° (NNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:10:00 13.33N 63.00W 697.5 mb 3,152 m 1006.4 mb From 329° (NNW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:10:30 13.32N 63.02W 697.6 mb 3,153 m 1006.5 mb From 326° (NW/NNW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:11:00 13.30N 63.05W 697.3 mb 3,156 m 1006.1 mb From 330° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 11 kts 6 mm/hr
13:11:30 13.28N 63.07W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1006.1 mb From 329° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 22 kts 7 mm/hr
13:12:00 13.27N 63.08W 695.3 mb 3,179 m 1006.5 mb From 332° (NNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 35 kts* 41 mm/hr*
13:12:30 13.23N 63.12W 698.8 mb 3,138 m 1008.4 mb From 327° (NNW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 34 kts* 18 mm/hr*
13:13:00 13.22N 63.13W 698.6 mb 3,141 m 1008.3 mb From 328° (NNW) at 18 kts (20.7 mph) 20 kts (~ 23.0 mph) 25 kts* 62 mm/hr*
13:13:30 13.18N 63.15W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1007.9 mb From 330° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 23 kts 24 mm/hr
At 13:04:00Z (first observation), the observation was 102 miles (164 km) to the WNW (287°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
At 13:13:30Z (last observation), the observation was 315 miles (507 km) to the NE (53°) from Caracas, Venezuela.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .13c-63.15
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
--------
URNT11 KNHC 171313
97779 13134 60131 63118 30400 33015 07078 /3128
RMK AF304 0404A DEAN OB 14
SWS = 023KTS
Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:13Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 14
Mandatory Data...
Observation Time: Friday, 13:13Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 13.1N 63.1W (View map)
Location: 314 miles (506 km) to the NE (55°) from Caracas, Venezuela.
Turbulence: Light
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 3,040 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 330° at 15 knots (From the NNW at ~ 17.2 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 7°C
Flight Level Dew Point: 7°C
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Shower(s) (continuous or intermittent precipitation - from cumuliform clouds)
700 mb Surface Altitude: 3,128 geopotential meters
Remarks: SWS 023KTS
-------
URNT15 KNHC 171321
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 25 20070817
131400 1310N 06310W 6976 03155 0073 +084 +084 332016 017 019 028 00
131430 1309N 06311W 6973 03158 0070 +090 +077 332017 017 017 006 00
131500 1307N 06312W 6972 03168 0080 +086 +078 331016 017 999 999 03
131530 1306N 06311W 6976 03159 0077 +087 +073 305014 015 005 006 03
131600 1305N 06309W 6977 03154 0075 +088 +066 296013 013 014 005 00
131630 1305N 06308W 6976 03156 0078 +085 +074 294013 013 011 006 00
131700 1304N 06306W 6974 03158 0079 +083 +078 294014 015 013 006 00
131730 1304N 06304W 6977 03155 0078 +085 +074 285014 014 014 005 00
131800 1304N 06304W 6977 03155 0076 +086 +075 284014 014 009 006 00
131830 1303N 06300W 6972 03159 0069 +091 +068 284015 015 010 006 00
131900 1302N 06258W 6975 03157 0071 +090 +079 283016 016 012 006 00
131930 1302N 06256W 6975 03159 0073 +085 +085 282014 015 013 006 03
132000 1301N 06254W 6975 03156 0081 +080 +080 275013 013 012 006 00
132030 1302N 06252W 6976 03157 0081 +080 +080 268014 014 019 007 00
132100 1302N 06250W 6974 03154 0077 +081 +081 264012 013 021 007 00
132130 1302N 06249W 6975 03157 0075 +083 +083 263011 012 023 007 00
132200 1302N 06247W 6973 03158 0072 +085 +079 265012 012 025 007 00
132230 1302N 06245W 6973 03154 0075 +083 +083 262015 016 024 007 00
132300 1302N 06243W 6976 03156 0073 +086 +080 258015 015 023 008 00
132330 1302N 06241W 6975 03158 0075 +085 +079 257015 016 022 006 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:21Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 25
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:14:00 13.17N 63.17W 697.6 mb 3,155 m 1007.3 mb From 332° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 19 kts 28 mm/hr
13:14:30 13.15N 63.18W 697.3 mb 3,158 m 1007.0 mb From 332° (NNW) at 17 kts (19.5 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) 17 kts 6 mm/hr
13:15:00 13.12N 63.20W 697.2 mb 3,168 m 1008.0 mb From 331° (NNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 17 kts (~ 19.5 mph) - -
13:15:30 13.10N 63.18W 697.6 mb 3,159 m 1007.7 mb From 305° (NW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 5 kts* 6 mm/hr*
13:16:00 13.08N 63.15W 697.7 mb 3,154 m 1007.5 mb From 296° (WNW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 14 kts 5 mm/hr
13:16:30 13.08N 63.13W 697.6 mb 3,156 m 1007.8 mb From 294° (WNW) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 11 kts 6 mm/hr
13:17:00 13.07N 63.10W 697.4 mb 3,158 m 1007.9 mb From 294° (WNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 13 kts 6 mm/hr
13:17:30 13.07N 63.07W 697.7 mb 3,155 m 1007.8 mb From 285° (WNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 14 kts 5 mm/hr
13:18:00 13.07N 63.07W 697.7 mb 3,155 m 1007.6 mb From 284° (WNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:18:30 13.05N 63.00W 697.2 mb 3,159 m 1006.9 mb From 284° (WNW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 10 kts 6 mm/hr
13:19:00 13.03N 62.97W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1007.1 mb From 283° (WNW) at 16 kts (18.4 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 12 kts 6 mm/hr
13:19:30 13.03N 62.93W 697.5 mb 3,159 m 1007.3 mb From 282° (WNW) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 13 kts* 6 mm/hr*
13:20:00 13.02N 62.90W 697.5 mb 3,156 m 1008.1 mb From 275° (W) at 13 kts (14.9 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 12 kts 6 mm/hr
13:20:30 13.03N 62.87W 697.6 mb 3,157 m 1008.1 mb From 268° (W) at 14 kts (16.1 mph) 14 kts (~ 16.1 mph) 19 kts 7 mm/hr
13:21:00 13.03N 62.83W 697.4 mb 3,154 m 1007.7 mb From 264° (W) at 12 kts (13.8 mph) 13 kts (~ 14.9 mph) 21 kts 7 mm/hr
13:21:30 13.03N 62.82W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1007.5 mb From 263° (W) at 11 kts (12.6 mph) 12 kts (~ 13.8 mph) 23 kts 7 mm/hr
13:22:00 13.03N 62.78W 697.3 mb 3,158 m 1007.2 mb From 265° (W) at 12 kts (13.8 mph) 12 kts (~ 13.8 mph) 25 kts 7 mm/hr
13:22:30 13.03N 62.75W 697.3 mb 3,154 m 1007.5 mb From 262° (W) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 24 kts 7 mm/hr
13:23:00 13.03N 62.72W 697.6 mb 3,156 m 1007.3 mb From 258° (WSW/W) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 15 kts (~ 17.2 mph) 23 kts 8 mm/hr
13:23:30 13.03N 62.68W 697.5 mb 3,158 m 1007.5 mb From 257° (WSW) at 15 kts (17.2 mph) 16 kts (~ 18.4 mph) 22 kts 6 mm/hr
At 13:14:00Z (first observation), the observation was 313 miles (504 km) to the NE (53°) from Caracas, Venezuela.
At 13:23:30Z (last observation), the observation was 92 miles (148 km) to the NW (317°) from Saint George, Grenada.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .72c-62.68
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
-----
URNT15 KNHC 171331
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 26 20070817
132400 1302N 06239W 6974 03155 0077 +082 +082 250017 018 016 007 00
132430 1302N 06237W 6975 03154 0074 +085 +082 256018 018 011 007 00
132500 1302N 06235W 6973 03159 0073 +085 +081 254020 020 009 006 00
132530 1301N 06233W 6973 03157 0070 +087 +074 251019 020 000 006 00
132600 1301N 06231W 6975 03155 0063 +094 +059 247020 020 000 006 00
132630 1301N 06229W 6976 03154 0063 +093 +071 236023 024 006 006 00
132700 1301N 06227W 6976 03152 0064 +091 +074 231024 025 004 006 00
132730 1301N 06225W 6975 03153 0066 +089 +079 231025 026 018 007 00
132800 1301N 06223W 6973 03154 0068 +087 +087 227024 025 023 008 00
132830 1301N 06221W 6975 03152 0079 +078 +078 228023 025 024 028 00
132900 1302N 06219W 6976 03150 0065 +087 +082 228023 024 024 037 00
132930 1302N 06217W 6974 03151 0070 +085 +085 230024 025 026 023 00
133000 1302N 06215W 6975 03154 0060 +092 +080 229023 024 024 007 00
133030 1302N 06213W 6973 03155 0062 +091 +078 230024 024 026 006 00
133100 1302N 06211W 6975 03152 0067 +086 +081 230026 027 025 007 00
133130 1303N 06209W 6975 03153 0063 +090 +083 234027 028 017 007 00
133200 1303N 06207W 6973 03153 0057 +094 +085 235027 027 021 006 00
133230 1303N 06205W 6976 03149 0063 +090 +080 234028 029 022 007 00
133300 1303N 06203W 6975 03149 0061 +093 +069 234030 030 023 006 00
133330 1304N 06201W 6974 03153 0062 +092 +067 234029 030 025 006 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:31Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 26
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:24:00 13.03N 62.65W 697.4 mb 3,155 m 1007.7 mb From 250° (WSW) at 17 kts (19.5 mph) 18 kts (~ 20.7 mph) 16 kts 7 mm/hr
13:24:30 13.03N 62.62W 697.5 mb 3,154 m 1007.4 mb From 256° (WSW) at 18 kts (20.7 mph) 18 kts (~ 20.7 mph) 11 kts 7 mm/hr
13:25:00 13.03N 62.58W 697.3 mb 3,159 m 1007.3 mb From 254° (WSW) at 20 kts (23.0 mph) 20 kts (~ 23.0 mph) 9 kts 6 mm/hr
13:25:30 13.02N 62.55W 697.3 mb 3,157 m 1007.0 mb From 251° (WSW) at 19 kts (21.8 mph) 20 kts (~ 23.0 mph) 0 kts 6 mm/hr
13:26:00 13.02N 62.52W 697.5 mb 3,155 m 1006.3 mb From 247° (WSW) at 20 kts (23.0 mph) 20 kts (~ 23.0 mph) 0 kts 6 mm/hr
13:26:30 13.02N 62.48W 697.6 mb 3,154 m 1006.3 mb From 236° (SW/WSW) at 23 kts (26.4 mph) 24 kts (~ 27.6 mph) 6 kts 6 mm/hr
13:27:00 13.02N 62.45W 697.6 mb 3,152 m 1006.4 mb From 231° (SW) at 24 kts (27.6 mph) 25 kts (~ 28.7 mph) 4 kts 6 mm/hr
13:27:30 13.02N 62.42W 697.5 mb 3,153 m 1006.6 mb From 231° (SW) at 25 kts (28.7 mph) 26 kts (~ 29.9 mph) 18 kts 7 mm/hr
13:28:00 13.02N 62.38W 697.3 mb 3,154 m 1006.8 mb From 227° (SW) at 24 kts (27.6 mph) 25 kts (~ 28.7 mph) 23 kts 8 mm/hr
13:28:30 13.02N 62.35W 697.5 mb 3,152 m 1007.9 mb From 228° (SW) at 23 kts (26.4 mph) 25 kts (~ 28.7 mph) 24 kts 28 mm/hr
13:29:00 13.03N 62.32W 697.6 mb 3,150 m 1006.5 mb From 228° (SW) at 23 kts (26.4 mph) 24 kts (~ 27.6 mph) 24 kts 37 mm/hr
13:29:30 13.03N 62.28W 697.4 mb 3,151 m 1007.0 mb From 230° (SW) at 24 kts (27.6 mph) 25 kts (~ 28.7 mph) 26 kts 23 mm/hr
13:30:00 13.03N 62.25W 697.5 mb 3,154 m 1006.0 mb From 229° (SW) at 23 kts (26.4 mph) 24 kts (~ 27.6 mph) 24 kts 7 mm/hr
13:30:30 13.03N 62.22W 697.3 mb 3,155 m 1006.2 mb From 230° (SW) at 24 kts (27.6 mph) 24 kts (~ 27.6 mph) 26 kts 6 mm/hr
13:31:00 13.03N 62.18W 697.5 mb 3,152 m 1006.7 mb From 230° (SW) at 26 kts (29.9 mph) 27 kts (~ 31.0 mph) 25 kts 7 mm/hr
13:31:30 13.05N 62.15W 697.5 mb 3,153 m 1006.3 mb From 234° (SW) at 27 kts (31.0 mph) 28 kts (~ 32.2 mph) 17 kts 7 mm/hr
13:32:00 13.05N 62.12W 697.3 mb 3,153 m 1005.7 mb From 235° (SW) at 27 kts (31.0 mph) 27 kts (~ 31.0 mph) 21 kts 6 mm/hr
13:32:30 13.05N 62.08W 697.6 mb 3,149 m 1006.3 mb From 234° (SW) at 28 kts (32.2 mph) 29 kts (~ 33.3 mph) 22 kts 7 mm/hr
13:33:00 13.05N 62.05W 697.5 mb 3,149 m 1006.1 mb From 234° (SW) at 30 kts (34.5 mph) 30 kts (~ 34.5 mph) 23 kts 6 mm/hr
13:33:30 13.07N 62.02W 697.4 mb 3,153 m 1006.2 mb From 234° (SW) at 29 kts (33.3 mph) 30 kts (~ 34.5 mph) 25 kts 6 mm/hr
At 13:24:00Z (first observation), the observation was 90 miles (146 km) to the NW (318°) from Saint George, Grenada.
At 13:33:30Z (last observation), the observation was 52 miles (83 km) to the W (260°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .05c-62.02
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
----
URNT15 KNHC 171342
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 27 20070817
133400 1304N 06159W 6975 03148 0066 +090 +061 232030 030 026 006 00
133430 1304N 06157W 6974 03155 0072 +080 +080 228029 030 026 006 00
133500 1304N 06155W 6972 03155 0064 +092 +068 227030 031 026 005 00
133530 1304N 06153W 6977 03151 0067 +090 +068 222031 032 021 005 00
133600 1305N 06151W 6975 03154 0065 +091 +064 217031 031 023 005 00
133630 1305N 06149W 6972 03156 0067 +091 +062 215031 032 023 006 00
133700 1305N 06147W 6975 03157 0069 +090 +066 217032 032 027 005 00
133730 1305N 06145W 6975 03156 0073 +087 +071 219032 033 026 005 00
133800 1306N 06143W 6970 03160 0070 +090 +058 220034 034 028 005 00
133830 1306N 06141W 6974 03159 0071 +094 -016 218033 033 026 005 00
133900 1306N 06139W 6975 03156 0083 +093 -198 216034 036 027 005 00
133930 1306N 06137W 6975 03161 0096 +085 -289 213037 038 027 005 00
134000 1306N 06135W 6976 03160 0092 +087 -330 211037 038 028 005 00
134030 1307N 06133W 6973 03160 0095 +085 -346 209038 039 027 005 00
134100 1307N 06131W 6976 03155 0093 +086 -351 209039 039 024 005 00
134130 1307N 06129W 6976 03158 0090 +089 -351 210038 039 025 005 00
134200 1307N 06127W 6973 03161 0095 +086 -350 209038 038 026 005 00
134230 1307N 06125W 6975 03159 0096 +085 -346 207038 038 025 005 00
134300 1307N 06125W 6975 03159 0093 +089 -343 205038 039 025 006 00
134330 1308N 06121W 6975 03162 0093 +090 -341 206038 039 027 005 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:42Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 27
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:34:00 13.07N 61.98W 697.5 mb 3,148 m 1006.6 mb From 232° (SW) at 30 kts (34.5 mph) 30 kts (~ 34.5 mph) 26 kts 6 mm/hr
13:34:30 13.07N 61.95W 697.4 mb 3,155 m 1007.2 mb From 228° (SW) at 29 kts (33.3 mph) 30 kts (~ 34.5 mph) 26 kts 6 mm/hr
13:35:00 13.07N 61.92W 697.2 mb 3,155 m 1006.4 mb From 227° (SW) at 30 kts (34.5 mph) 31 kts (~ 35.6 mph) 26 kts 5 mm/hr
13:35:30 13.07N 61.88W 697.7 mb 3,151 m 1006.7 mb From 222° (SW) at 31 kts (35.6 mph) 32 kts (~ 36.8 mph) 21 kts 5 mm/hr
13:36:00 13.08N 61.85W 697.5 mb 3,154 m 1006.5 mb From 217° (SW) at 31 kts (35.6 mph) 31 kts (~ 35.6 mph) 23 kts 5 mm/hr
13:36:30 13.08N 61.82W 697.2 mb 3,156 m 1006.7 mb From 215° (SW) at 31 kts (35.6 mph) 32 kts (~ 36.8 mph) 23 kts 6 mm/hr
13:37:00 13.08N 61.78W 697.5 mb 3,157 m 1006.9 mb From 217° (SW) at 32 kts (36.8 mph) 32 kts (~ 36.8 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
13:37:30 13.08N 61.75W 697.5 mb 3,156 m 1007.3 mb From 219° (SW) at 32 kts (36.8 mph) 33 kts (~ 37.9 mph) 26 kts 5 mm/hr
13:38:00 13.10N 61.72W 697.0 mb 3,160 m 1007.0 mb From 220° (SW) at 34 kts (39.1 mph) 34 kts (~ 39.1 mph) 28 kts 5 mm/hr
13:38:30 13.10N 61.68W 697.4 mb 3,159 m 1007.1 mb From 218° (SW) at 33 kts (37.9 mph) 33 kts (~ 37.9 mph) 26 kts 5 mm/hr
13:39:00 13.10N 61.65W 697.5 mb 3,156 m 1008.3 mb From 216° (SW) at 34 kts (39.1 mph) 36 kts (~ 41.4 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
13:39:30 13.10N 61.62W 697.5 mb 3,161 m 1009.6 mb From 213° (SSW/SW) at 37 kts (42.5 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
13:40:00 13.10N 61.58W 697.6 mb 3,160 m 1009.2 mb From 211° (SSW) at 37 kts (42.5 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 28 kts 5 mm/hr
13:40:30 13.12N 61.55W 697.3 mb 3,160 m 1009.5 mb From 209° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
13:41:00 13.12N 61.52W 697.6 mb 3,155 m 1009.3 mb From 209° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 24 kts 5 mm/hr
13:41:30 13.12N 61.48W 697.6 mb 3,158 m 1009.0 mb From 210° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 25 kts 5 mm/hr
13:42:00 13.12N 61.45W 697.3 mb 3,161 m 1009.5 mb From 209° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 26 kts 5 mm/hr
13:42:30 13.12N 61.42W 697.5 mb 3,159 m 1009.6 mb From 207° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 25 kts 5 mm/hr
13:43:00 13.12N 61.42W 697.5 mb 3,159 m 1009.3 mb From 205° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 25 kts 6 mm/hr
13:43:30 13.13N 61.35W 697.5 mb 3,162 m 1009.3 mb From 206° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 27 kts 5 mm/hr
At 13:34:00Z (first observation), the observation was 49 miles (79 km) to the W (259°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
At 13:43:30Z (last observation), the observation was 8 miles (12 km) to the SW (228°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .42c-61.35
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
----
URNT15 KNHC 171351
AF304 0404A DEAN HDOB 28 20070817
134400 1308N 06119W 6974 03163 0097 +086 -338 205038 039 027 006 00
134430 1308N 06117W 6974 03163 0113 +075 -329 200039 041 026 007 00
134500 1309N 06116W 6975 03161 0117 +071 -323 202039 040 029 007 03
134530 1309N 06114W 6973 03152 0083 +074 -321 199041 043 999 999 03
134600 1309N 06112W 6975 03079 9994 +080 -323 203043 044 999 999 03
134630 1309N 06110W 6977 03053 9996 +080 -324 204045 046 999 999 03
134700 1309N 06108W 6973 03163 0117 +073 -323 202044 044 999 999 03
134730 1311N 06106W 6973 03163 0133 +062 -316 191046 047 999 999 03
134800 1313N 06107W 6971 03163 0112 +064 -312 189042 045 999 999 03
134830 1314N 06109W 6976 02953 9837 +082 -311 192041 041 999 999 03
134900 1315N 06110W 6977 02513 9428 +086 -233 189042 043 999 999 03
134930 1316N 06112W 6976 02689 9474 +079 +050 194042 043 999 999 03
135000 1318N 06113W 6975 02764 9990 +084 +999 204042 044 999 999 05
135030 1319N 06115W 6973 03159 9990 +083 +999 210042 043 041 000 05
135100 1320N 06116W 6972 03157 9990 +087 +999 208037 040 028 006 01
135130 1322N 06117W 6977 03151 9990 +088 +999 202037 038 030 006 01
135200 1323N 06119W 6975 03155 9990 +087 +999 199039 040 031 006 01
135230 1324N 06120W 6976 03151 9990 +089 +999 199039 040 032 006 01
135300 1326N 06121W 6973 03152 9990 +085 +999 199040 041 034 006 01
135330 1327N 06123W 6975 03153 0070 +085 +076 198040 041 033 006 00
Product: Air Force High Density (HDOB) Message (URNT15 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:51Z
Date: August 17, 2007
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 28
Time (Z) / Coordinates / Acft. Static Air Press. / Acft. Geo. Hgt. / Extrap. Sfc. Press. / Flt. Lvl. Wind (30s) / Peak (10s) Flt. Lvl. Wind / SFMR Peak (10s) Sfc. Wind / SFMR Rain Rate
13:44:00 13.13N 61.32W 697.4 mb 3,163 m 1009.7 mb From 205° (SSW) at 38 kts (43.7 mph) 39 kts (~ 44.8 mph) 27 kts 6 mm/hr
13:44:30 13.13N 61.28W 697.4 mb 3,163 m 1011.3 mb From 200° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 41 kts (~ 47.1 mph) 26 kts 7 mm/hr
13:45:00 13.15N 61.27W 697.5 mb 3,161 m 1011.7 mb From 202° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 40 kts (~ 46.0 mph) 29 kts* 7 mm/hr*
13:45:30 13.15N 61.23W 697.3 mb 3,152 m 1008.3 mb From 199° (SSW) at 41 kts (47.1 mph) 43 kts (~ 49.4 mph) - -
13:46:00 13.15N 61.20W 697.5 mb 3,079 m 999.4 mb From 203° (SSW) at 43 kts (49.4 mph) 44 kts (~ 50.6 mph) - -
13:46:30 13.15N 61.17W 697.7 mb 3,053 m 999.6 mb From 204° (SSW) at 45 kts (51.7 mph) 46 kts (~ 52.9 mph) - -
13:47:00 13.15N 61.13W 697.3 mb 3,163 m 1011.7 mb From 202° (SSW) at 44 kts (50.6 mph) 44 kts (~ 50.6 mph) - -
13:47:30 13.18N 61.10W 697.3 mb 3,163 m 1013.3 mb From 191° (S/SSW) at 46 kts (52.9 mph) 47 kts (~ 54.0 mph) - -
13:48:00 13.22N 61.12W 697.1 mb 3,163 m 1011.2 mb From 189° (S) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 45 kts (~ 51.7 mph) - -
13:48:30 13.23N 61.15W 697.6 mb 2,953 m 983.7 mb From 192° (SSW) at 41 kts (47.1 mph) 41 kts (~ 47.1 mph) - -
13:49:00 13.25N 61.17W 697.7 mb 2,513 m 942.8 mb From 189° (S) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 43 kts (~ 49.4 mph) - -
13:49:30 13.27N 61.20W 697.6 mb 2,689 m 947.4 mb From 194° (SSW) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 43 kts (~ 49.4 mph) - -
13:50:00 13.30N 61.22W 697.5 mb 2,764 m - From 204° (SSW) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 44 kts (~ 50.6 mph) - -
13:50:30 13.32N 61.25W 697.3 mb 3,159 m - From 210° (SSW) at 42 kts (48.3 mph) 43 kts (~ 49.4 mph) 41 kts* 0 mm/hr*
13:51:00 13.33N 61.27W 697.2 mb 3,157 m - From 208° (SSW) at 37 kts (42.5 mph) 40 kts (~ 46.0 mph) 28 kts 6 mm/hr
13:51:30 13.37N 61.28W 697.7 mb 3,151 m - From 202° (SSW) at 37 kts (42.5 mph) 38 kts (~ 43.7 mph) 30 kts 6 mm/hr
13:52:00 13.38N 61.32W 697.5 mb 3,155 m - From 199° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 40 kts (~ 46.0 mph) 31 kts 6 mm/hr
13:52:30 13.40N 61.33W 697.6 mb 3,151 m - From 199° (SSW) at 39 kts (44.8 mph) 40 kts (~ 46.0 mph) 32 kts 6 mm/hr
13:53:00 13.43N 61.35W 697.3 mb 3,152 m - From 199° (SSW) at 40 kts (46.0 mph) 41 kts (~ 47.1 mph) 34 kts 6 mm/hr
13:53:30 13.45N 61.38W 697.5 mb 3,153 m 1007.0 mb From 198° (SSW) at 40 kts (46.0 mph) 41 kts (~ 47.1 mph) 33 kts 6 mm/hr
At 13:44:00Z (first observation), the observation was 6 miles (10 km) to the SW (216°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
At 13:53:30Z (last observation), the observation was 19 miles (30 km) to the NNW (336°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Map this message:
http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/p ... .35c-61.38
Suspect values are noted by an asterisk (*).
----
URNT11 KNHC 171352
97779 13530 60134 61300 30400 20041 08078 /3125
RMK AF304 0404A DEAN OB 15
SWS = 033KTS
Product: Air Force Tropical RECCO Message (URNT11 KNHC)
Transmitted: 17th day of the month at 13:52Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last digit of aircraft registration number is 304)
Storm Number: 04
Storm Name: Dean (in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 4
Observation Number: 15
Mandatory Data...
Observation Time: Friday, 13:53Z
Radar Capability: Yes
Aircraft Altitude: Below 10,000 meters
Coordinates: 13.4N 61.3W
Location: 14 miles (22 km) to the N (350°) from Kingstown, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines.
Turbulence: None
Conditions Along Flight Route: In the clear
Pressure Altitude: 3,040 meters
Flight Level Wind: From 200° at 41 knots (From the SSW at ~ 47.1 mph)
- The above is a spot wind.
- Winds were obtained using doppler radar or inertial systems.
Flight Level Temperature: 8°C
Flight Level Dew Point: Not available, probably because the dew point hygrometer was not working.
Weather (within 30 nautical miles): Shower(s) (continuous or intermittent precipitation - from cumuliform clouds)
700 mb Surface Altitude: 3,125 geopotential meters
Remarks: SWS 033KTS
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dolebot_Broward_NW
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager
I would think with a storm approaching CAT3 - and at apparently 965MB - You'd see more of a well-defined eye. I've seen nothing resembling what I'd expect. Just thought it was a little odd. Theres an eye there for sure but its clouded over or ragged, or oval shaped or something.
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StormWarning1
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager
dolebot_Broward_NW wrote:I would think with a storm approaching CAT3 - and at apparently 965MB - You'd see more of a well-defined eye. I've seen nothing resembling what I'd expect. Just thought it was a little odd. Theres an eye there for sure but its clouded over or ragged, or oval shaped or something.
It is getting some westerly shear. Also note the recon said eye was open on the west side. We will have to see if this intensification cycle can hold.
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SouthFloridawx
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:Interesting Discussion from this morning eh...
Bigtime
Slower motion expected? What do you think DESTRUCTION5?
Haven't gotten a chance to look everything up this morning, got a long day ahead of me.
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Re: Re:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:wiggles wrote:Please don't even think that, we could not handle another storm
No way..It would put an end to New Orleans..
I'd give New Orleans more credit. They've had 2 years (2006 a freebie), so I'm sure they have got everything under control. New/upgraded levies, brought in dirt to bring themselves above sea level, etc. They aren't total idiots willing to stay below sea level and wait for their own deaths! I'm sure they are smart enough to have used these past 2 years to get themselves "hurricane proofed."
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Re: Re:
Toadstool wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:wiggles wrote:Please don't even think that, we could not handle another storm
No way..It would put an end to New Orleans..
I'd give New Orleans more credit. They've had 2 years (2006 a freebie), so I'm sure they have got everything under control. New/upgraded levies, brought in dirt to bring themselves above sea level, etc. They aren't total idiots willing to stay below sea level and wait for their own deaths! I'm sure they are smart enough to have used these past 2 years to get themselves "hurricane proofed."
This is sarcasm, right?
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jhamps10
Re: Re:
Toadstool wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:wiggles wrote:Please don't even think that, we could not handle another storm
No way..It would put an end to New Orleans..
I'd give New Orleans more credit. They've had 2 years (2006 a freebie), so I'm sure they have got everything under control. New/upgraded levies, brought in dirt to bring themselves above sea level, etc. They aren't total idiots willing to stay below sea level and wait for their own deaths! I'm sure they are smart enough to have used these past 2 years to get themselves "hurricane proofed."
think again.... most of the levees were fixed to pre-katrina condition, and barely that, also some haven't even been touched, there are still the x-marks in the 9th ward from katrina. this city is not ready for a hurricane, much less a strong tropical storm.
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DESTRUCTION5
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Re: Hurricane DEAN Global Models
SouthFloridawx wrote:DESTRUCTION5 wrote:SouthFloridawx wrote:Interesting Discussion from this morning eh...
Bigtime
Slower motion expected? What do you think DESTRUCTION5?
Haven't gotten a chance to look everything up this morning, got a long day ahead of me.
One thing sticks out to me..GFDL north of Jamacia and nips Cuba...the a beline for N Texas WITH NO ridge like bend...Tells me high is weaker...
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Re:
wiggles wrote:Please don't even think that, we could not handle another storm
Yep. Article today in NY Times about the flooding threat that still exists for at least some neighborhoods. http://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/17/us/na ... ref=slogin Bottom line is that the economy could not take widespread flooding or serious wind damage. That impact could actually be worse if it hit the areas previously unaffected since they have the more stable infrastructure now.
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otowntiger
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager
The trend in those model runs is clear. Texas and now, in my opinion, LA needs to be paying attention. One thing to consider here, for unexplained reasons over the last 20-30 years or so, large powerful storms crank up in the GOM and scare the daylights out of people only to rapidly weaken just prior to landfall, avoiding a much worse disaster. Some notable examples: Camen '74, Opal '95, Dennis '05, Ivan '04, Lily '02, and yes even Rita and Katrina weakened considerably before hitting land. Those events could have been much worse had the storms made landfall at their peaks. Can you imagine what else would have happened to NO if Katrina made landfall slightly west of where she did and had 175 mph winds? Lets hope Dean does the same mysterious "fade out" so many of his ancestors have. 
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Fego
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager
I can't see jamaica in those models graphics. 
They are next, hopefully not.
They are next, hopefully not.O Town wrote:
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Weatherfreak14
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Re: Hurricane DEAN: (5am p.153) Discussions, Analysis and Imager
I am thinkin a landfall between Houston and New orleans, but im not even 20% sure yet, its just my thought on where it might come in a, also, if it does go through the YC i think no matter where it hits from Houston to N.O there will be storm surge, all over the TX and LA coasts.
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