Big Wave Over Africa

[Sanibel]

There's a large convective wave at the 0 longitude over Africa right now.

[Sanibel]

[RL3AO]

Now we are watching waves that have just entered Africa? We've officially lost it.

[Sanibel]

Not really. The 2007 pattern is showing us the only thing that makes it are strong waves that get up enough head of steam to beat conditions in the Atlantic. We'll see if GFS latches onto this one.

[Tropics Guy]

It's about 5 days away from the coast, lot of things could happen to it before then, but have to admit looks pretty good over land right now.

[Jinkers]

Now we are watching waves that have just entered Africa? We've officially lost it.

lol, now ya know were desperate for a storm to track...

[Scorpion]

I remember constantly checking the GFS runs for Dean while he was still at 20 E

[Fego]

Now we are watching waves that have just entered Africa? We've officially lost it.

RL3AO, What about the two areas before Africa?

[flwxwatcher]

I watch the wave action in Africa with great interest and right now waves continue to move across and off Africa.. While conditions in the Eastern Atlantic may not be the best for development what worries me is these waves will start developing later toward the Western Atlantic with less chance for recurve and increase the risk for land falling Hurricanes in the coming weeks. Oh and BTW the 18Z GFS is developing some waves in the Eastern Atlantic later this week into next week-end.

[njweather]

:double:

Now we are watching waves that have just entered Africa? We've officially lost it.

RL3AO, What about the two areas before Africa?

I expect those to become Invests, 95L & 96L, in probably the next 24 hours.

[Scorpion]

The circled one in the middle is a possible East Coast threat in 450 hours

[Sanibel]

We'll see if GFS does anything with it.

[hurricanetrack]

Something has to give here as the tropics have gone to the toilet. September should be very busy if these waves hold, grow and then become named storms somewhere in the Atlantic.

The east Pac is about to have another named storm it appears- then perhaps it's on to the Atlantic from there.

[GeneratorPower]

When SSD starts putting Atlantic floaters on the Indian ocean, we'll know the tropics are REALLY quiet.

[Sanibel]

If it hangs together like it currently is it should be the next Dean (or hurricane anyway).

It must not have very low pressure or GFS would have picked up on it.

[RL3AO]

If it hangs together like it currently is it should be the next Dean (or hurricane anyway).

No offense, but that is a ridiculous comment, IMO.

[Scorpion]

Its looking great so far.. I can see it becoming the next hurricane

[Sanibel]

No offense, but that is a ridiculous comment, IMO.

It's all been well explained in the thread, that only big well-established waves seem to be making it from Africa. I don't see what is so 'ridiculous' about that. As a matter of fact I think we can scan this thread and see who is offering only 'ridiculous' comments and little esle.

[RL3AO]

You said it should be the next dean. If you would have said "could" "maybe" "possibly" than that would be different. But climologically, Dean was a 1 in 8 year storm.

[Sanibel]

I meant storm that forms from Africa.