TD INGRID: Discussions & Images - Last Advisory

[SouthFloridawx]

Someone get the life-support.

[jhamps10]

Yet Another Atlantic StormUpdated: Thursday, September 13, 2007 11:23 AM
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.a ... &article=2

We've already gone through seven names this Atlantic hurricane season, and an eighth, Ingrid, is likely brewing over the central part of the basin. The system is currently identified as a tropical depression, with harmless 35-mph winds. Right now, T.D. 8 is battling northeasterly wind shear and dry air to its west, but any additional strengthening will bring it to tropical storm status. It looks like the system will have a slow go of it through the next few days, but we'll be watching it the whole way.

Story by AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Bob Tarr.


________----------------------------____________

Lets count: A 1, B 2, C 3, D 4, E 5, F 6, G 7, H 8, I 9!!!!! Oops!!!

That's funny. Looks like Accuweather can't even get the basic math accurate.

[jhamps10]

Yeah you really can't miss the LLC, also note the convection is becoming increasingly confined to a narrow line south fo the center, shear seems extremely high right now, could well be as high as the 40-50kts quoted earlier. Any dieing of that convection on the southern side and we'll have a naked swirl.

Yeah I'd say it is at least 45kts of shear to tear this apart like this so quickly. which most likely means the 2 day forecast of 45-50 kt shear will most likely end up being 0 shear

just kidding. but the way it's holding on, look out if it can get past this shear.

[KWT]

A very big if though that is jhamps10, this will do well to keep going for the next 18hrs if shear stays this strong and I still think I can see the LLC elongating N-W along with the convection as well.

[HURAKAN]

Latest:



Convection trying to work its way to the LLC. So far the LLC is vigorous.

[windstorm99]

As of right now and overall forcasted conditions in td8's future i cant see this happening.

[Cookiely]

Yet Another Atlantic StormUpdated: Thursday, September 13, 2007 11:23 AM
http://www.accuweather.com/news-story.a ... &article=2

We've already gone through seven names this Atlantic hurricane season, and an eighth, Ingrid, is likely brewing over the central part of the basin. The system is currently identified as a tropical depression, with harmless 35-mph winds. Right now, T.D. 8 is battling northeasterly wind shear and dry air to its west, but any additional strengthening will bring it to tropical storm status. It looks like the system will have a slow go of it through the next few days, but we'll be watching it the whole way.

Story by AccuWeather.com Meteorologist Bob Tarr.


________----------------------------____________

Lets count: A 1, B 2, C 3, D 4, E 5, F 6, G 7, H 8, I 9!!!!! Oops!!!

That's funny. Looks like Accuweather can't even get the basic math accurate.

Should you send an email and inform them of their error?

[Vortex]

Also, appears on the last several frames the LLC is moving NW

[chadtm80]

what are they doing giving a TEN DAY cone?

[deltadog03]

Convection is trying to race to the LLC. (getting closer and not shearing out) So, I DEF. wouldn't count this puppy out.

[KWT]

Hard to say Vortex, i hate these sheared systems as strong shear always seems to give ideas that the system is heading in a different way then what it actually is, however it does appear in the last hour its at elast jogged more to the NW.

convection still firing close to the LLC, as lnog as that continues tosome extent it has still got a chance and its probably waiting for a let-up in shear, but will it get that let-up?

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

Sensationalizing (is that a word?) - i.e. giving paying customers what they want - drama and excitement.

[skufful]

what are they doing giving a TEN DAY cone?

Where is that, I only see 6 1/2

[jhamps10]

what are they doing giving a TEN DAY cone?

not quite ten days chadtm80. only goes out 6.5 days, but still way dumb of them to have one that long that's for sure.

also their error areas seems WAY too small to me, espically after day 4.

[Blown Away]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html
You can see the dry air on the WV loop. If TD8 can survive for about 48 hours the conditions may improve. BTW, convection still firing.

[robbielyn]

Sensationalizing (is that a word?) - i.e. giving paying customers what they want - drama and excitement.

drama and excitement understandable as long as there is some truth to it

[skufful]

Well with all the debate of the merits, or lack of merits and skill over at AccuWeather, I think at least for me this will be a great test since they are so divergent from the NHC on this one. BTW, I sure hope NHC is correct.

[Vortex]

Kinda look at the NHC as "The professor" and Accuweather as "The Fraternity House"

[CrazyC83]

Kinda look at the NHC as "The professor" and Accuweather as "The Fraternity House"

And what are we?

[JonathanBelles]

Kinda look at the NHC as "The professor" and Accuweather as "The Fraternity House"

And what are we?

The nut house!