TD INGRID: Discussions & Images - Last Advisory

[gatorcane]

Blown_away it won't have an impact in my opinion.

[HurricaneRobert]

Not bad. Just half-naked. If it lasts, will it remain a fishy?

[Brent]

Hmmmm.... my track record this year is horrible, so by declaring it dead someone is probably doomed now.

I'm not very interested though if it's just a fish. A more westward track would peak it however.

[gatorcane]

Brent see the global models thread...models are taking her WNW through 5 days now in the general track towards the SE Bahamas.....and SHIPS forecasts a hurricane by 120 hours.

[HURAKAN]

Sheared, but not naked. Ingrid is not giving up.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The system is now moving due westward, it is centered near 16.5/54.6. Also yes its exposed but a new flare up should flare up soon.

[OURAGAN]

Ingrid moved almost due west 270° since three hours, 11 am position 16.4N/53,7W, now the NRL position is 16,4N/54,6W.

[Blown Away]

Seems Ingrid is really getting hit hard w/ shear from the SW and it does not look like it will be letting up anytime soon. Watch that burst of convection on the SW side of Ingrid just get creamed by shear.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html

[HURAKAN]

Latest:



There is no question that we have a LLC!!!

[cycloneye]

That is a well defined one.And is not moving more north but west.Getting more closer to the Leewards than what was forecasted.

[storms in NC]

looks like the ULL to the east is move to the north now. And our TD is going west. Now will it stay going west? looks like the keys may have some thing IF it can hold on 2 days. But that is a long time. Just wait and see what happens in the next 3 days will tell if dead or lives.

[Sanibel]

There's two features out there. The TUTT is down ahead of it to the west covering the Caribbean and west Atlantic. It is being turbo charged by the ULL that is drawing flow off the TUTT and enhancing the shear. This is a storm killer synoptic as WX57 pointed out. Not to mention Ingrid's swirl is headed for the area that vaporized 92L.

I'd like to take a break and come back monday, but I'm afraid I'll miss something develop.

[Gustywind]

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... 00708.html

[Nimbus]

Storms in NC wrote:

looks like the ULL to the east is move to the north now. And our TD is going west.

The ULL out in front of Ingrid is starting to dive SW. As per forecast this morning a high should build in between these two ULL's. Ingrid will move along the southern side of this high for a couple days apparantly.

Question is will she strengthen and pump up the ridge or will the east coast trough build and take her out to sea?

For those thinking that this is blackjack and you bust at 21, maybe its roulette. I'm betting on red 23.

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antill ... Tagant.jpg

[Cyclenall]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/TAG/Tagant.jpg

That's a different link for SAT images. Cool.

[Gustywind]

[Gustywind]

http://www.meteo.fr/temps/domtom/antilles/pack-public/TAG/Tagant.jpg

That's a different link for SAT images. Cool.

[Blown Away]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html
Ingrid getting hammered by shear rate now, the past few hours seem to be the worst shear she has had.

[fasterdisaster]

The LLC is moving back under some convection, but the shear is still too high to let her recover just yet.