Model Runs & Discussions of GOM-Bahamas

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Tampa Bay Hurricane
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM

#541 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:23 pm

0Z NAM 84 hours 500 mb Analysis:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _084.shtml
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM

#542 Postby skysummit » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:27 pm

00z GFS has begun if anyone wants to post it.
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#543 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:29 pm

00Z GFS at 0 hours:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _000.shtml
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#544 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:32 pm

00Z GFS 6 hours:
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _006.shtml
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#545 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:42 pm

36 hours

Low in SW Caribbean.

500 in 36 hours
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#546 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:47 pm

54 hours

There is anything noteworthy so far in the 00z GFS run.

500 at 54 hours
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#547 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:52 pm

00z gfs 66 hour
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _066.shtml
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#548 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:58 pm

78 hours
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#549 Postby skysummit » Sun Sep 16, 2007 10:59 pm

Well this run is a boring one! LOL
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#550 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:04 pm

90 hours

Hey Sky,something finnally.A low in West Florida coast.
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#551 Postby skysummit » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:05 pm

cycloneye wrote:90 hours

Hey Sky,something finnally.A low in West Florida coast.


Yea saw that....is it joining the Canadian or is that low coming from the Caribbean? Hard to tell.
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#552 Postby 'CaneFreak » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:06 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _090.shtml

looks darn right hostile at 200 mb on this run...
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#553 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:07 pm

102 hours

Low in EGOM.It looks to come from the east instead from the Caribbean.
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#554 Postby skysummit » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:09 pm

cycloneye wrote:102 hours

Low in EGOM.It looks to come from the east instead from the Caribbean.


So this run is joining the Canadian's idea now :)
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#555 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:14 pm

114 hours

200 at 114 hours

Less shear in GOM.
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#556 Postby 'CaneFreak » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:16 pm

Thats because theres a cut-off ULL down there Luis!!!! LOL
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#557 Postby skysummit » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:17 pm

cycloneye wrote:114 hours

200 at 114 hours

Less shear in GOM.


With it showing a developing low at the surface and at 200mb along with the mid levels, wouldn't that be considered possibly a cold core system?
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#558 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:19 pm

126 hours

Its over folks from GFS.Lets see how the rest of the models do in the 00z run.
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Re: Model runs for Caribbean-GOM=00z GFS rolling in

#559 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:31 pm

skysummit wrote:
cycloneye wrote:114 hours

200 at 114 hours

Less shear in GOM.


With it showing a developing low at the surface and at 200mb along with the mid levels, wouldn't that be considered possibly a cold core system?


Yes I was about to post the same thing. I guess a Pro Met can better answer that for both of us.
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#560 Postby jhamps10 » Sun Sep 16, 2007 11:41 pm

JB still says by thursday that we have something in the SEGOM, he's doing the tropical update video today, the one that's free for everyone on accuweather.

also he thinks that by the weekend that ingrid we may need to watch still, as he thinks that it may come back near the bahamas.
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