Low pressure could be developing with system at 25/55

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Since last night I've been watching this system as the upper low pulls westward away from the "lower" level system to it east. I think this is the way kyle 2002 formed. Interesting none the less.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/avn-l.jpg

[boca]

I saw that too. Would that system pull west into the Bahamas mess?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If there is enough lower level ridging maybe. But more likely to be tooken out to sea, also this system forms because of the energy tooken from ingrid and the wave over the central Atlantic got pulled into the eastern quad of the ULL. As the Ull pulls away a LLC may form and has formed to form systems in the past. So its worth watching.

[boca]

Tomorrow should be the pivitol day to see how everything evolves.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The shear that has been hiting ingrid is hitting it pretty hard...It would be more favorable for development if the northern convection north of 25 refired. In which would be away from the southeast quad of the tutt ull.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

CMC develops something in 24-36 hours...Then takes it northward.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/ukmtc2.c ... =Animation


Shows a broad area of lower pressure around 27/58 through out the later period.