Facing the facts: 2007 season not living up to expectations

Tampa Bay Hurricane · #81 Postby **Tampa Bay Hurricane** » Wed Oct 10, 2007 6:56 pm

I went on the beach during tropical storms and it rocked.

Ixolib · #82 Postby **Ixolib** » Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:04 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
Derek Ortt wrote:who in his right mind has power lines above ground in a tropical cyclone area?
The banana republic known as Miami-dade county

Try the whole SE coast of FL..

Try the whole Gulf Coast!!!!!!!

Ptarmigan · #83 Postby **Ptarmigan** » Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:10 pm

gatorcane wrote:it's not over until Nov. 30th and we have a la nina...so

also a "monsoon-like" trough has set in through the Caribbean.

As WxMan said in another thread - very similar to the pattern we saw this time in 2005.

Wilma formed from a monsoonal trough. Most TC's form from them. I am a firm believer that monsoons play a role in TC development.

YouTube · #84 Postby **hurricanetrack** » Wed Oct 10, 2007 7:16 pm

Well, we still have some time left in the season for something significant to come in to the U.S. from the Caribbean. None of the global models show that happening just yet but it ain't over til it's over- that is very true.

We'll see how this monsoon trough plays out- so far, it has done little but dad gumb! The upward motion in the Basin is really impressive right now- lots of deep convection all over the place.

But no fire....

Honeyko · #85 Postby **Honeyko** » Fri Oct 12, 2007 6:03 pm

It's not been the shear this year so much as the mid-level cap.

In other years, those naked swirls would've at least had some CB near the centers fighting to hold on and wrap around the moment the shear let up. All of them after Felix took forever to spin up even in the absence of shear.

YouTube · #86 Postby **hurricanetrack** » Fri Oct 12, 2007 11:15 pm

Interesting point. You are getting at what I am looking for: a legit explanation of what "went wrong". I hope for the sake of the science that someone out there can point to certain meterological conditions and say, "this is what caused the season to fizzle after Felix". Additionally, what caused said conditions to be present and why were they not seen ahead of time? That's all. The more we all understand the complete picture, the better off we are.

Category 5 · #87 Postby **Category 5** » Fri Oct 12, 2007 11:21 pm

hurricanetrack wrote:The more we all understand the complete picture, the better off we are.

And yet the more we learn it seems, the more we realize we don't know.

Facing the facts: 2007 season not living up to expectations

Re: Re:

Re:

Re:

Who is online