Cloud layer to our West looks pretty thick. May keep temps in check after they arrive...
http://adds.aviationweather.noaa.gov/sa ... e&itype=ir
TX winter wx thread: Spring-like pattern
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.
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srainhoutx
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Extremeweatherguy
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Based on the satellite motion, it looks like we have about 5-7 hours until the clouds arrive (assuming they do not dissipate some before they get here). That means sometime just before sunrise. I could definitely see it being possible that temperatures continue to fall through 3-5am and then start to level off or even rise a degree or two by sunrise. Probably will not make much of a difference though, because by 3-5am we should already be well below freezing in most places.
On a wishful thinking note...wouldn't it be cool if we could perhaps squeeze a stray flurry or two out of those clouds? It would certainly make for an interesting morning, that's for sure! The chances are probably slim to none of it happening with all the dry air, but you never know..
On a wishful thinking note...wouldn't it be cool if we could perhaps squeeze a stray flurry or two out of those clouds? It would certainly make for an interesting morning, that's for sure! The chances are probably slim to none of it happening with all the dry air, but you never know..
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srainhoutx
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I can't wait for this weekends warmup!-
Extremeweatherguy
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I was down to 25.5F overnight, but have since warmed to 29.5F after the clouds moved in.
BTW - Hooks has reached 26F, IAH has reached 27F and Conroe has reached 23F...so this has definitely been the coldest morning of the season. We are just lucky that the clouds are moving in now so that we didn't get much colder than that.
BTW - Hooks has reached 26F, IAH has reached 27F and Conroe has reached 23F...so this has definitely been the coldest morning of the season. We are just lucky that the clouds are moving in now so that we didn't get much colder than that.
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Portastorm
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Hard freeze threat this week?
OK, I'm going to switch subjects momentarily from the Great Thermometer Watch of Southeast Texas to the Great GFS Watch for Upcoming Wintry Weather.
Both the 0z and 6z GFS show not one but several possible wintry weather events for Texas in the next 15 days!! And as EWG has pointed out, this is not the first series of runs that shows this scenario. For several days now, the GFS has suggested a major pattern change by mid month.
Enjoy
The 0z run at 228 hrs:
The 0z run at 240 hrs:
The 6z at 228 hrs:
The 6z at 240 hrs:
The 6z at 372 hrs:
Both the 0z and 6z GFS show not one but several possible wintry weather events for Texas in the next 15 days!! And as EWG has pointed out, this is not the first series of runs that shows this scenario. For several days now, the GFS has suggested a major pattern change by mid month.
Enjoy
The 0z run at 228 hrs:
The 0z run at 240 hrs:
The 6z at 228 hrs:
The 6z at 240 hrs:
The 6z at 372 hrs:
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jasons2k
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Hard freeze threat this week?
Well after all that, my low was only 30F.
The two closest stations had lows of 29.7F and 28.4.
Thank God for the clouds! They saved us from a hard freeze and parts of Houston to Galveston didn't even get to freezing!! Yeah!!
The two closest stations had lows of 29.7F and 28.4.
Thank God for the clouds! They saved us from a hard freeze and parts of Houston to Galveston didn't even get to freezing!! Yeah!!
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Hard freeze threat this week?
It looks like it got down to 21.8 at 3:55 am but has warmed to a blistering 26.6 at 8:00 am..
Wind has picked up this morning to 6-10 mph from the east under cloudy skies..
Now on to the possible winter weather in the near future..
Wind has picked up this morning to 6-10 mph from the east under cloudy skies..
Now on to the possible winter weather in the near future..
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Ed Mahmoud
Re: TX winter weather thread: Hard freeze threat this week?
9 hours below freezing at the Big Airport.
Oddly enough, no frost to scrape off the windshield. I guess my car never black body radiated itself down to 19ºF.
Oddly enough, no frost to scrape off the windshield. I guess my car never black body radiated itself down to 19ºF.
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cctxhurricanewatcher
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Re: TX winter weather thread: Hard freeze threat this week?
Portastorm wrote:OK, I'm going to switch subjects momentarily from the Great Thermometer Watch of Southeast Texas to the Great GFS Watch for Upcoming Wintry Weather.
Both the 0z and 6z GFS show not one but several possible wintry weather events for Texas in the next 15 days!! And as EWG has pointed out, this is not the first series of runs that shows this scenario. For several days now, the GFS has suggested a major pattern change by mid month.
Enjoy
The 0z run at 228 hrs:
The 0z run at 240 hrs:
The 6z at 228 hrs:
The 6z at 240 hrs:
The 6z at 372 hrs:
Portastorm,
The GFS record on cold weather is about as good as OU's recent bowl record.
Lot of hype, and then a big letdown.I had to say that this morning.
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Ed Mahmoud
Re: TX winter weather thread: Hard freeze threat this week?
GFS beyond 180 is not good for anything but general trends.
BTW, if it was up to me, if computation time/power is an issue, shorten GFS runs to 240 hours, but don't drop the resolution to T180 at 180 hours.
That said, the 240 hour ECMWF does show a pattern that would tend to direct cold air towards Texas, and maybe, just maybe, throw some Pacific air over top of it.
BTW, if it was up to me, if computation time/power is an issue, shorten GFS runs to 240 hours, but don't drop the resolution to T180 at 180 hours.
That said, the 240 hour ECMWF does show a pattern that would tend to direct cold air towards Texas, and maybe, just maybe, throw some Pacific air over top of it.
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Ed Mahmoud
Re:
JenBayles wrote:OK, the holidays are over so this cold air can just go back up to Canada. I HATE cold weather!
Unless we have enough snow or freezing rain to cancel kid's school and my work.
Can you imagine the carnage of anyone silly enough to drive on the sky-high on/off ramps for Beltway 8 where it crosses major highways?
Hoooo-doggie!
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