Where will Arthur form?

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 3:32 pm

In the NW Caribbean.

#2 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 3:34 pm

Im gonna say NW Caribbean or GOM.

Squarethecircle · #3 Postby **Squarethecircle** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 3:38 pm

Going with the Central Caribbean, although it will have tracked through somewhere else earlier.

Cyclenall · #4 Postby **Cyclenall** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 3:58 pm

I went with eastern Gulf of Mexico. Has the first tropical cyclone of the season ever formed in the eastern Atlantic in recorded history EARLY in the season? Of course there have been some before that were late into the season (Alberto in 2000).

KWT · #5 Postby **KWT** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 4:00 pm

BOC from a strong tropical wave that could well have been upgraded in the Sw Caribbean....hows that for detail!

Cyclone1 · #6 Postby **Cyclone1** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 4:18 pm

I'm thinking just northeast of the Bahamas, so I chose W atl

It will be tagged as 92L, the third INVEST of the year, and will be approx 120mi in diameter with winds reaching 65mph. It will brush the carolinas, but it will be swept out to sea.

I win, KWT. :wink:

Nah, just kidding, none of that 2nd paragraph was serious.

HurricaneBill · #7 Postby **HurricaneBill** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 4:46 pm

Between the moon and New York City.

#8 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 5:22 pm

95 WC
96 WA
97 WA
98 EA
99 WA
00 EA
01 WG
02 WA
03 CA
04 WC
05 WC
06 NWC
07 WA

WA 5
WC 2
NWC 1
CA 2
WG 1
EA 2

Based on the average over the last 13 years, I vote for the Western Atlantic.

Hurricaneman · #9 Postby **Hurricaneman** » Thu Mar 06, 2008 11:22 pm

central atlantic, im using 1999 as my analog, in which the first tropical or subtropical storm formed there

Crostorm · #10 Postby **Crostorm** » Fri Mar 07, 2008 4:22 am

Western Atlantic

Pedro Fernández · #11 Postby **Pedro Fernández** » Fri Mar 07, 2008 4:39 am

Hurricaneman wrote:central atlantic, im using 1999 as my analog, in which the first tropical or subtropical storm formed there

My vote goes there as well.

Cryomaniac · #12 Postby **Cryomaniac** » Fri Mar 07, 2008 5:44 am

Central Atlantic, for no other reason than I couldn't justify voting for the Eastern Atl

Opal storm · #13 Postby **Opal storm** » Sat Mar 08, 2008 11:35 am

NW Carib just off the coast of the Yucatan.

#14 Postby **MGC** » Sat Mar 08, 2008 5:24 pm

Off the coast of NC in July.....MGC

hurricanedude · #15 Postby **hurricanedude** » Tue Mar 11, 2008 4:47 pm

Off the US Mid-Atlantic States

#16 Postby **CrazyC83** » Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:16 pm

How are the breakpoints defined?

IMO, they are as follows:

Gulf of Mexico - eastern is east of a line from the western tip of Cuba to Pensacola, central is from that line west to a line from the NW tip of the Yucatan to Morgan City, western is west of that line except for the Bay of Campeche.

Atlantic - eastern is east of 45°W, central is west of 45°W and east of a curved line from the Leeward Islands to Bermuda and across to Cape Breton Island, and western is west of that curve.

Caribbean - eastern is east of a line from Bonaire to SW Puerto Rico, central is west of that line to a line from Cartagena to Guantanamo, southwestern is west of that line and south of 15°N, northwestern is north of a line from Chetumal to SW Jamaica, and western is between those areas.

SunnyThoughts · #17 Postby **SunnyThoughts** » Sat Mar 15, 2008 12:58 am

Eastern GOM. (big bend area) on May 25

#18 Postby **RL3AO** » Sat Mar 15, 2008 11:46 am

West Atlantic.

Tampa_God · #19 Postby **Tampa_God** » Mon Mar 17, 2008 4:12 pm

Eastern GOM on June 14th making a landfall in Citrus County.

#20 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue Mar 18, 2008 10:57 am

SW Caribbean