Florida Weather

[JonathanBelles]

Moderate rain right now.

SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
751 PM EST THU MAR 6 2008

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-GMZ830-850-853-870-873-
070215-
CHARLOTTE-CITRUS-DESOTO-ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS 20 TO 60 NM-
ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS OUT TO 20 NM-HARDEE-HERNANDO-HIGHLANDS-
HILLSBOROUGH-LEE-LEVY-MANATEE-PASCO-PINELLAS-POLK-SARASOTA-SUMTER-
TAMPA BAY WATERS-TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER 20 TO 60 NM-
TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER OUT TO 20 NM-
751 PM EST THU MAR 6 2008

.NOW...
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ALONG WITH AREAS OF RAIN
CONTINUED OVER THE REGION. MOST OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE FROM
AROUND THE TAMPA BAY AREA THROUGH POLK COUNTY...AND SOUTH THROUGH
HIGHLANDS COUNTY...ARCADIA...AND NORTH PORT. AREAS OF MODERATE
RAIN WERE FAR OFFSHORE AND EXTENDED THROUGH THE NATURE COAST FROM
CENTRAL PASCO COUNTY UP TO ALL OF LEVY COUNTY. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST
AT 25 MPH. EXPECT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT ANY TIME TONIGHT...
SOME WITH HEAVY RAIN.

$$

[JonathanBelles]

Transformer just went rumble rumble and then the power went out for 5 seconds, came back on and went right back out for another 3 seconds.

[feederband]

Last hour been getting some nice rains...

[JonathanBelles]

2055 97 STUART MARTIN FL 2719 8024 AIR TRAFFIC CONTROL TOWER REPORTED WIND GUST TO 97 MPH AT WITHAM FIELD AIRPORT. (MLB)

Holy cow!!

[JonathanBelles]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0366
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0513 AM CST FRI MAR 07 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN GA/N FL AND THE ERN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 071113Z - 071315Z

WELL-ORGANIZED CONVECTION -- BOTH LINEAR AND CELLULAR -- CONTINUES
TO AFFECT THE FL PANHANDLE AND INTO SRN GA/N FL. THOUGH ONSHORE
CONVECTION REMAINS ELEVATED ABOVE A SLIGHTLY-STABLE BOUNDARY
LAYER...THREAT MAY BECOME SUFFICIENT TO REQUIRE WW ISSUANCE.

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO INDICATE THAT THE SURFACE WARM
FRONT REMAINS FROM THE ERN GULF ESEWD ACROSS CENTRAL FL...WITH A
WEAKLY-STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER PERSISTING ACROSS N FL/S GA BENEATH
WEAKLY-UNSTABLE MID LEVELS. MESOLOW IS APPARENT WITHIN AREA OF
WELL-ORGANIZED CONVECTION ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PANHANDLE PER LATEST
REFLECTIVITY LOOP...AS STORMS MOVE THROUGH THE AXIS OF GREATEST
INSTABILITY.

DESPITE THERMODYNAMIC NEGATIVES...DEEP-LAYER WIND FIELD REMAINS
QUITE STRONG...AND GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF A WELL-DEFINED VORT MAX PER
WV IMAGERY...EXPECT STORMS TO REMAIN ORGANIZED AS THEY CROSS THE N
FL/SRN GA REGION. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR ANY
WARMING/MOISTENING OF THE BOUNDARY LAYER ACROSS THIS REGION WHICH
WOULD THEN LIKELY NECESSITATE WW ISSUANCE.

..GOSS.. 03/07/2008


ATTN...WFO...CHS...MLB...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...MOB...

30828652 31718609 32038492 31568090 30688117 29108031
28608044 28288266 28638441 28868557

[JonathanBelles]

[HURAKAN]

[JonathanBelles]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 104
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN FLORIDA
SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY MORNING FROM 645 AM UNTIL NOON EST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES WEST OF CROSS CITY
FLORIDA TO 10 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF ST AUGUSTINE FLORIDA. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...INTENSE LINEAR MCS WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS NRN FL/SERN
GA THIS MORNING WITH BOTH BOWING SEGMENTS AND SUPERCELLS. ISOLATED
SUPERCELLS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE LINE AND ALONG TRAILING
OUTFLOW. LOW LEVEL SHEAR REMAINS EXTREME UNDER 70+ KT SWLY
LLJ...AND INSTABILITY WILL LIKELY BECOME INCREASINGLY SURFACE-BASED
WITH MODEST HEATING THIS MORNING. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT...THOUGH TORNADO THREAT MAY BECOME MORE PRONOUNCED
LATER THIS MORNING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.


...EVANS

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 104
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

TORNADO WATCH 104 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 PM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

FLC001-003-007-017-019-023-029-031-035-041-047-065-067-069-073-
075-079-083-089-107-109-119-121-123-125-127-129-071700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0104.080307T1145Z-080307T1700Z/

FL
. FLORIDA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ALACHUA BAKER BRADFORD
CITRUS CLAY COLUMBIA
DIXIE DUVAL FLAGLER
GILCHRIST HAMILTON JEFFERSON
LAFAYETTE LAKE LEON
LEVY MADISON MARION
NASSAU PUTNAM ST. JOHNS
SUMTER SUWANNEE TAYLOR
UNION VOLUSIA WAKULLA
$$

TORNADO WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE FOR WT 104
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
645 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

TORNADO WATCH 104 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1200 PM EST FOR THE
FOLLOWING LOCATIONS

GAC025-039-049-065-101-127-299-071700-
/O.NEW.KWNS.TO.A.0104.080307T1145Z-080307T1700Z/

GA
. GEORGIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BRANTLEY CAMDEN CHARLTON
CLINCH ECHOLS GLYNN
WARE
$$

[HURAKAN]

[JonathanBelles]

Taylor, Lafayette, Dixie, Gilcrest, and Levy Florida counties need to be preparing for the squall line in the next hour. I am expecting hail and isolated tornadoes. According to wunderground radar a vortex signature is expected to move into Taylor County in the next 40 mins.

[JonathanBelles]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC065-079-123-071300-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0064.080307T1216Z-080307T1300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
716 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN JEFFERSON COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
SOUTHWESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
NORTHERN TAYLOR COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF PERRY...

* UNTIL 800 AM EST/700 AM CST/

* AT 714 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 32
MILES WEST OF PERRY...OR 6 MILES EAST OF SAINT MARKS...AND MOVING
EAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
NUTALL RISE AND SCANLON BY 725 AM EST...
CABBAGE GROVE AND ECONFINA BY 730 AM EST...
IDDO AND ERIDU BY 740 AM EST...
SHADY GROVE AND LAKE BIRD BY 745 AM EST...
MOSELEY HALL BY 750 AM EST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS...AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY
INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR NORTH
FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3002 8390 3002 8393 3006 8396 3006 8399
3008 8400 3009 8406 3021 8408 3038 8356
3003 8343 2998 8385
TIME...MOT...LOC 1216Z 249DEG 51KT 3015 8408

$$

38-GODSEY

[JonathanBelles]

This is as stern as TBW has been so far about strong storms, and for the first time on a graphicast mentions a severe possibility.

[HURAKAN]

[JonathanBelles]

LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL HAS
ISSUED A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY AHEAD OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE
CENTER...CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST. EXPECT
SUSTAINED WINDS TO 20 MPH WITH FREQUENT HIGHER GUSTS FOR MOST OF
THE DAY TODAY.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS ARE FORECAST
TO BE 20 TO 29 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS TO NEAR OR ABOVE GALE
FORCE FOR AT LEAST 3 HOURS. WINDS OF THESE MAGNITUDES WILL
CREATE ROUGH CONDITIONS ON LARGER AREA LAKES WHICH COULD PRODUCE
DAMAGE TO...OR FLIP...SMALL PLEASURE CRAFT.

OUTDOOR ENTHUSIASTS MAY WISH TO POSTPONE LAKE RELATED ACTIVITIES
UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.

[JonathanBelles]

Pretty much everything expanded:

[Evil Jeremy]

Is it me, or does that look like a weakening Tropical Storm? It looks like there is one big band rotating around a center!.

[HURAKAN]

I had the same impression!

[JonathanBelles]

EVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC029-067-123-071400-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0066.080307T1304Z-080307T1400Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
804 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN DIXIE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF CROSS CITY...
LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MAYO...
TAYLOR COUNTY IN FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...STEINHATCHEE...PERRY...

* UNTIL 900 AM EST/800 AM CST/

* AT 700 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 23 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PERRY TO
22 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STEINHATCHEE...AND MOVING EAST AT 65 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
STEINHATCHEE BY 815 AM EST...
CROSS CITY BY 830 AM EST...
MAYO BY 835 AM EST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...PREPARE
IMMEDIATELY FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG
BUILDING BUT AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FRIDAY
MORNING FOR NORTH FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 2954 8342 2964 8342 2976 8360 2987 8365
2999 8386 3005 8388 3021 8363 3026 8327
3022 8322 3014 8322 3012 8312 2986 8286
2980 8292 2968 8294 2948 8337
TIME...MOT...LOC 1304Z 248DEG 60KT 2985 8372 2948 8359

$$

38-GODSEY

[JonathanBelles]

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC047-121-071400-
/O.NEW.KJAX.SV.W.0044.080307T1314Z-080307T1400Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
814 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN SUWANNEE COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA
WESTERN HAMILTON COUNTY IN NORTHERN FLORIDA

* UNTIL 900 AM EST

* AT 812 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED 14
MILES WEST OF SUWANNEE RIVER STATE PARK...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF
MADISON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SUWANNEE RIVER STATE PARK...LIVE OAK...JENNINGS...SUWANNEE SPRINGS
AND JASPER.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR
NORTHEASTERN FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

LAT...LON 3029 8282 3022 8322 3031 8324 3040 8320
3042 8323 3046 8323 3048 8326 3058 8327
3061 8300 3060 8288
TIME...MOT...LOC 1314Z 247DEG 34KT 3034 8337

$$

ENYEDI



SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC079-071330-
/O.NEW.KTAE.SV.W.0068.080307T1310Z-080307T1330Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
810 AM EST FRI MAR 7 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MADISON COUNTY IN FLORIDA...

* UNTIL 830 AM EST

* AT 806 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HOPEWELL...OR 9 MILES SOUTH
OF MADISON...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
LEE AND MADISON COUNTY AIRPORT BY 820 AM EST...

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. IF A TORNADO
IS SPOTTED... ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING IS
ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

RELAY REPORTS OF SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TALLAHASSEE AT (8 5 0) 9 4 2 8 8 3 3. OR...YOU MAY CONTACT THE
NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST FRIDAY FOR NORTH
FLORIDA.

LAT...LON 3031 8348 3031 8349 3040 8352 3047 8321
3035 8318 3026 8323 3026 8347
TIME...MOT...LOC 1310Z 251DEG 38KT 3035 8338

$$

38-GODSEY

[HURAKAN]