June 4-7: Severe wx (Omaha tornado update)

[CrazyC83]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
143 PM MDT THU JUN 5 2008

KSC063-109-193-052030-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0066.000000T0000Z-080605T2030Z/
THOMAS KS-LOGAN KS-GOVE KS-
243 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM CDT FOR WEST
CENTRAL GOVE...LOGAN AND SOUTH CENTRAL THOMAS COUNTIES...

AT 238 PM CDT...A TORNADO IS OCCURRING. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 6
MILES SOUTHWEST OF RUSSELL SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
WINONA AROUND 250 PM CDT...
MONUMENT AROUND 310 PM CDT...
OAKLEY AROUND 320 PM CDT...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3928 10100 3896 10071 3870 10127 3895 10145
TIME...MOT...LOC 1943Z 233DEG 35KT 3889 10121

$$

LOCKHART

[CrazyC83]

Our NWS is going to be holding a conference call with Emergency Management officials and will be broadcasting it on our wx radio @ 3.

What office is that?

[wx247]

Our NWS is going to be holding a conference call with Emergency Management officials and will be broadcasting it on our wx radio @ 3.

What office is that?

Springfield, MO

[btangy]

18Z OAX and DDC soundings are still somewhat capped between 850mb and 700mb. Might be good news if this cap can hold to prevent discrete supercells from forming ahead of the main squall line (esp. the farther S you go), but the OAX sounding is barely holding on to the stable layer (only 20-90 CINH), so that will probably go within the next hour or two unless the cirrus overcast from the KS storms is thick enough to stop the surface destabilization.

[CrazyC83]

First 2 - of likely many - tornadoes:

1930 14 SW RUSSELL SPRINGS LOGAN KS 3877 10136 BRIEF TORNADO (GLD)
1941 3 SW RUSSELL SPRINGS LOGAN KS 3888 10121 (GLD)

[KWT]

Yep, I'm guessing that might have been the same tornado though its hard to tell of course!

Still your right many more to come yet!

TORNADO WARNING
KSC053-159-052030-
/O.NEW.KICT.TO.W.0041.080605T1954Z-080605T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
254 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN RICE COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS.
ELLSWORTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL KANSAS.

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT.

* AT 251 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
TRACKING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS
DANGEROUS STORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BUSHTON...OR 21
MILES SOUTH OF ELLSWORTH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 51 MPH.

* LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
BUSHTON...ELLSWORTH...FREDERICK...GENESEO...KANOPOLIS...LORRAINE...
KANOPOLIS STATE PARK.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. MOVE INTO YOUR TORNADO SHELTER NOW! IF NO
UNDERGROUND SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...MOVE INTO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE
LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY STRUCTURE.

LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3879 9822 3865 9794 3838 9827 3848 9846
TIME...MOT...LOC 1954Z 215DEG 44KT 3847 9831

$$

KRC

[KWT]

Yet another one:

TORNADO WARNING
KSC039-137-153-NEC145-052045-
/O.NEW.KGLD.TO.W.0067.080605T2001Z-080605T2045Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
301 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
DECATUR COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...
NORTHWESTERN NORTON COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN RAWLINS COUNTY IN NORTHWEST KANSAS...
SOUTHEASTERN RED WILLOW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 345 PM CDT

* AT 257 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 17 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF OBERLIN...OR 14 MILES NORTH OF REXFORD...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
OBERLIN AROUND 320 PM CDT...
KANONA AROUND 325 PM CDT...
6 MILES NORTHWEST OF NORCATUR AROUND 340 PM CDT...
9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LEBANON AROUND 345 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 36 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 60 AND 100.

IF YOU ARE AT HOME...SEEK SHELTER IN A BASEMENT IF POSSIBLE.
OTHERWISE...GO TO A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR. AVOID
WINDOWS AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4006 10017 4001 10016 4001 10006 3989 9997
3957 10079 3979 10098 4012 10027
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 240DEG 39KT 3970 10074

$$

BURTIS

[denise9855]

Anxiously waiting for SPC update...bit late again...

[CrazyC83]

The Severe Thunderstorm Watch to the west looks like it should have been a Tornado Watch - they might want to expand the moderate risk southwest...

[KWT]

Yes I agree Crazy, will probably slightly adjust it west/SW a touch though probably not by much to be fair.

TORNADO WARNING
NEC111-052030-
/O.NEW.KLBF.TO.W.0047.080605T2003Z-080605T2030Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
303 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTH PLATTE HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EAST CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...

* UNTIL 330 PM CDT

* AT 300 PM CDT...TRAINED WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD
NEAR COTTONWOOD CANYON STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...OR 19 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF NORTH PLATTE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 32 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
JEFFREY CANYON STATE WILDLIFE MANAGEMENT AREA...MAXWELL AND BRADY

IN ADDITION TO THE TORNADO...THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND DESTRUCTIVE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT THURSDAY EVENING
FOR WESTERN NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 4097 10063 4128 10046 4107 10023 4105 10023
4104 10021 4089 10021 4085 10042
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 227DEG 27KT 4096 10047

$$

GARNER

[CrazyC83]

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1232
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0309 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN NEB

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 461...

VALID 052009Z - 052215Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 461 CONTINUES.

IT APPEARS THAT THE 80-90 KT SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB JET CORE HAS
EMERGED FROM THE SOUTHERN ROCKIES. AND...THIS FEATURE WILL CONTINUE
TO NOSE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON. FORCING/DESTABILIZATION IN ITS EXIT REGION HAS
CONTRIBUTED TO INCREASING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG INITIAL COOL
SURGE INTO CENTRAL NEBRASKA/KANSAS...WITH MORE SCATTERED CELLS
FARTHER WEST...AHEAD OF THE NEXT DEEPER COLD SURGE.

TORNADIC POTENTIAL WITH DISCRETE CELL SOUTH/EAST OF NORTH PLATTE
COULD INCREASE AS IT ENCOUNTERS MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT IN THE
WARM SECTOR OF THE DEEP SURFACE CYCLONE NORTHEAST OF NORTH PLATTE
...THROUGH THE BROKEN BOW AREA...BETWEEN NOW AND 21-22Z.
OTHERWISE...TORNADO POTENTIAL SHOULD INCREASE IN THE PEAK AFTERNOON
HEATING...WITHIN PRE-FRONTAL STORMS IN ARCING BAND ON LEADING EDGE
OF STRONGER MID-LEVEL COOLING...NEAR GRAND ISLAND NORTHWARD THROUGH
AREAS NEAR/WEST OF O'NEILL. WITH SURFACE WINDS MAINTAINING A
SOUTHEASTERLY COMPONENT...LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS ARE MAXIMIZED ACROSS
THIS REGION. AND...ISOLATED STRONG TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

SUBSTANTIAL CAP MAY CONTINUE TO SUPPRESS DEVELOPMENT FARTHER
EAST...UNTIL STRONGER MID-LEVEL COOLING APPROACHES THE MISSOURI
RIVER LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.

..KERR.. 06/05/2008


ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

40129881 40679897 41039932 40919985 40810020 40960043
41650053 42070038 42689988 42859903 42429767 41119743
39959809

[denise9855]

Still nothing new from SPC yet...

[TexasSam]

Live storm coverage:

http://www.kwch.com/

[Mightybri]

They are closing the largest university in Wichita (Wichita State University) at 5pm due to the weather threat.

[CrazyC83]

2000Z: Virtually unchanged

[wx247]

They are closing the largest university in Wichita (Wichita State University) at 5pm due to the weather threat.

Wow... that is crazy.

[CrazyC83]

SPC AC 052017

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0317 PM CDT THU JUN 05 2008

VALID 052000Z - 061200Z

...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS EASTERN KS/EASTERN
NEB/SOUTHEAST SD/WESTERN IA/NORTHWEST MO...

...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM NORTHWEST OK INTO SOUTHERN
MN/FAR WESTERN WI/MUCH OF IA...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO
THE UPPER MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST...

...PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND MIDDLE/UPPER MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY...
A SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK CONTINUES TO QUICKLY EVOLVE ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS AFTERNOON. GIVEN
UNSEASONABLY STRONG KINEMATICS/VERTICAL SHEAR ATOP A VERY
MOIST/UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR...CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGH IN WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADOES /AS WELL AS
LARGE HAIL/ THROUGH TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGH/MODERATE
RISK AREAS OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MIDWEST.

AT MID AFTERNOON...A 989 MB SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NEB/NORTHWEST KS...WITH A COLD FRONT AND DRYLINE EXTENDING
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD FROM THE SURFACE LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN HIGH
PLAINS. EAST FROM THE SURFACE LOW...A ROUGHLY WEST-EAST ORIENTED
WARM FRONT CONTINUES TO SLOWLY RETREAT NORTHWARD FROM NEB/NORTHERN
IA TO ALONG THE IL/WI BORDER. AS A POTENT MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH/JET STREAK CONTINUES TO SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL/SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH THIS EVENING...A BROAD WARM
SECTOR REMAINS CHARACTERIZED BY UPPER 60S/LOWER 70S F DEWPOINTS
ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST.

A BROKEN BAND OF SUPERCELLS CONTINUE TO QUICKLY DEVELOP AT MID
AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CENTRAL PORTIONS OF NEB/KS INTO NORTHWEST OK.
INTENSITY OF THE DEEP LAYER WIND FIELD /45-80 KT 0-6 KM/ THROUGHOUT
THE PLAINS ENSURES THAT ANY SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS WILL EASILY ROTATE.
THESE BROKEN SUPERCELLS WILL BE CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL/TORNADOES
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE RISK OF DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY
INCREASING THIS EVENING/TONIGHT OWING TO INCREASINGLY STRONG LINEAR
FORCING AND THE LIKELY DEVELOPMENT OF BOWING SEGMENTS...INCLUDING
THE POSSIBILITY OF AN EVENTUAL DERECHO WITH WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE HIGH RISK/ADJACENT MODERATE RISK AREAS OF
KS/NEB INTO IA/NORTHWEST MO/SOUTHERN MN. WHILE TORNADOES WILL BE
POSSIBLE ACROSS A LARGE PART OF THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
MIDWEST...THE RELATIVELY GREATEST RISK FOR STRONG/POTENTIALLY LONG
TRACK TORNADOES WOULD INITIALLY APPEAR TO BE ACROSS CENTRAL/EASTERN
NEB AND CENTRAL/EASTERN KS INTO WESTERN IA...IN VICINITY OF BACKED
LOW LEVEL FLOW/STRONG LOW LEVEL HODOGRAPHS EAST OF THE SURFACE LOW
IN AN OTHERWISE VERY MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS.

FARTHER SOUTH...GIVEN WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT/GLANCING LARGE SCALE
FORCING FOR ASCENT...THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS
NUMEROUS IN NATURE ALONG THE DRYLINE FROM SOUTHWEST OK INTO
NORTHWEST/WEST CENTRAL TX. OTHER SEVERE STORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO
EARLY EVENING WITHIN A POST-DRYLINE/HIGHLY SHEARED REGIME ACROSS THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS INCLUDING WESTERN KS/WESTERN NEB.

REFERENCE LATEST SPC WATCHES/MESOSCALE DISCUSSIONS FOR LATEST
MESOSCALE DETAILS REGARDING THE EVOLVING SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK.

..GUYER.. 06/05/2008

CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 2024Z (4:24PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME

[Weatherfreak14]

Here is an overview of the supercells in KS.

[Mightybri]

Tornado videos

http://www.tornadovideos.net

is streaming live from Reno county (Hutchinson area) Kansas.

[CrazyC83]

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
219 PM MDT THU JUN 5 2008

KSC063-065-179-052115-
/O.CON.KGLD.TO.W.0068.000000T0000Z-080605T2115Z/
SHERIDAN KS-GRAHAM KS-GOVE KS-
319 PM CDT THU JUN 5 2008

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT FOR GOVE...
SOUTHWESTERN GRAHAM AND SOUTHEASTERN SHERIDAN COUNTIES...

AT 315 PM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A TORNADO. THIS
TORNADO WAS LOCATED 10 MILES SOUTH OF GOVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 56
MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GRAINFIELD AROUND 330 PM CDT...
QUINTER AND PARK AROUND 335 PM CDT...
SAINT PETER AND TASCO AROUND 350 PM CDT...
STUDLEY AROUND 355 PM CDT...

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 70 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 91 AND 111.

DO NOT USE YOUR CAR TO TRY TO OUTRUN A TORNADO. CARS ARE EASILY
TOSSED AROUND BY TORNADO WINDS. IF YOU ARE CAUGHT IN THE PATH OF A
TORNADO...LEAVE THE CAR AND GO TO A STRONG BUILDING. IF NO SAFE
STRUCTURE IS NEARBY...SEEK SHELTER IN A DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER
YOUR HEAD.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 700 PM CDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.

LAT...LON 3914 9975 3912 9976 3912 9979 3911 9981
3911 10012 3885 10013 3870 10035 3870 10077
3943 10031
TIME...MOT...LOC 2019Z 218DEG 49KT 3889 10041

$$

LOCKHART