KWT wrote:Looks like the 1st tornado warning then Bunkertor...
No, it´s the second one. The first one was issued 20 minutes ago for parts of the turkish national squad. Will be allowed to expire in 40 minutes
June 10-15th severe weather thread
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 10-15th severe weather thread
SPC AC 152000
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
VALID 152000Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL
IL AND IN...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SERN KS...SWRN
MO...NWRN AR AND NERN OK...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS
NEWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...
...MID MS AND CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS...
MCS WAS LOCATED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN MO/NERN KS AT MID AFTERNOON.
THIS MCS IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A SWD FORWARD PROPAGATING BOW
ECHO AS SYSTEM INGESTS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS...MLCAPES NEAR
4000 J/KG...AND STRONGER COLD POOL DEVELOPS. INSTABILITY AXIS
EXTENDING SWD FROM THE COMPLEX AND 20-25 KT SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET
SUGGESTS THE BOW ECHO WILL MOVE INTO ERN OK AND EXTREME WRN AR
TONIGHT. UNTIL SYSTEM BECOMES MORE ORGANIZED... HAIL SHOULD BE THE
MAIN THREAT...BUT ONCE STRONG COLD POOL DEVELOPS...WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
ACROSS SWRN KS AND INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES...INTERSECTION OF
TROUGH/DRY LINE WITH OUTFLOWS FROM MORNING CONVECTION...COMBINED
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S...SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. SELY WINDS VEERING TO NWLY IN THE MID
LAYERS AND WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY...WHERE MID 50 DEWPOINTS ARE
MAINTAINED...WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS. VERY STEEP AND
DEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES INDICATE SEVERE WINDS SHOULD BE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. HOWEVER...LATER TONIGHT... ELEVATED STORMS
MAY REDEVELOP AS LOW LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION INCREASES WITH A
THREAT FOR HAIL AT THAT TIME.
..MID MS VLY INTO OH VLY/LWR GRT LKS...
LINE OF STORMS WAS LOCATED IN WRN IL AND IS TO EXPECTED TRACK EWD AT
40-45KT...GIVEN 50-60 KT MID LEVEL WINDS. AIR MASS WAS STRONGLY
UNSTABLE...MLCAPES APPROACHING 2500 J/KG...DUE TO LAPSE RATES NEAR
7.5C/KM...PER DVN 18Z SOUNDING...AND MID 60 DEWPOINTS. THE DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY AND DEEP UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE THROUGH IL AND INTO NRN/CENTRAL IN THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE EWD INTO OH
TONIGHT...BUT THE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS INTENSE
WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING.
...UPR GRT LKS...
DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...WITH A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION EVIDENT IN
VSBY IMAGERY OVER ERN LAKE SUPERIOR...WAS AIDING IN NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...OVER PORTIONS OF NRN MI. MLCAPES
AROUND 1000 J/KG AND 40-50 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR INDICATES
HAIL AND SOME WIND DAMAGE IS LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS.
..NRN ROCKIES...
WITH ADDITIONAL HEATING...LOW LEVEL ASCENT SHOULD DEVELOP BY LATE
AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN CO NWD INTO CNTRL MT. GIVEN
40-50 KT WLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND VERY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER...HIGH BASED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.
..IMY.. 06/15/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 2008Z (4:08PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
VALID 152000Z - 161200Z
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN/CENTRAL
IL AND IN...
...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER PARTS OF SERN KS...SWRN
MO...NWRN AR AND NERN OK...
...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS
NEWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION...
...MID MS AND CENTRAL/SRN PLAINS...
MCS WAS LOCATED ACROSS PORTIONS OF NRN MO/NERN KS AT MID AFTERNOON.
THIS MCS IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY INTO A SWD FORWARD PROPAGATING BOW
ECHO AS SYSTEM INGESTS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS...MLCAPES NEAR
4000 J/KG...AND STRONGER COLD POOL DEVELOPS. INSTABILITY AXIS
EXTENDING SWD FROM THE COMPLEX AND 20-25 KT SSWLY LOW LEVEL JET
SUGGESTS THE BOW ECHO WILL MOVE INTO ERN OK AND EXTREME WRN AR
TONIGHT. UNTIL SYSTEM BECOMES MORE ORGANIZED... HAIL SHOULD BE THE
MAIN THREAT...BUT ONCE STRONG COLD POOL DEVELOPS...WIDESPREAD
DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED.
ACROSS SWRN KS AND INTO THE OK/TX PANHANDLES...INTERSECTION OF
TROUGH/DRY LINE WITH OUTFLOWS FROM MORNING CONVECTION...COMBINED
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S...SHOULD BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. SELY WINDS VEERING TO NWLY IN THE MID
LAYERS AND WEAK TO MODERATE INSTABILITY...WHERE MID 50 DEWPOINTS ARE
MAINTAINED...WILL BE SUFFICIENT FOR A FEW SUPERCELLS. VERY STEEP AND
DEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES INDICATE SEVERE WINDS SHOULD BE THE MAIN
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS. HOWEVER...LATER TONIGHT... ELEVATED STORMS
MAY REDEVELOP AS LOW LEVEL JET/WARM ADVECTION INCREASES WITH A
THREAT FOR HAIL AT THAT TIME.
..MID MS VLY INTO OH VLY/LWR GRT LKS...
LINE OF STORMS WAS LOCATED IN WRN IL AND IS TO EXPECTED TRACK EWD AT
40-45KT...GIVEN 50-60 KT MID LEVEL WINDS. AIR MASS WAS STRONGLY
UNSTABLE...MLCAPES APPROACHING 2500 J/KG...DUE TO LAPSE RATES NEAR
7.5C/KM...PER DVN 18Z SOUNDING...AND MID 60 DEWPOINTS. THE DEGREE OF
INSTABILITY AND DEEP UNIDIRECTIONAL WLY WINDS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE THROUGH IL AND INTO NRN/CENTRAL IN THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THESE STORMS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE EWD INTO OH
TONIGHT...BUT THE STORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE QUITE AS INTENSE
WITH THE LOSS OF DIURNAL HEATING.
...UPR GRT LKS...
DEEP CYCLONIC FLOW ALOFT...WITH A MID LEVEL CIRCULATION EVIDENT IN
VSBY IMAGERY OVER ERN LAKE SUPERIOR...WAS AIDING IN NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...OVER PORTIONS OF NRN MI. MLCAPES
AROUND 1000 J/KG AND 40-50 KT DEEP LAYER SHEAR INDICATES
HAIL AND SOME WIND DAMAGE IS LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS.
..NRN ROCKIES...
WITH ADDITIONAL HEATING...LOW LEVEL ASCENT SHOULD DEVELOP BY LATE
AFTERNOON OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF NRN CO NWD INTO CNTRL MT. GIVEN
40-50 KT WLY MID LEVEL FLOW AND VERY DRY BOUNDARY LAYER...HIGH BASED
THUNDERSTORMS WITH A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.
..IMY.. 06/15/2008
CLICK TO GET WUUS01 PTSDY1 PRODUCT
NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 1 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0100Z
CURRENT UTC TIME: 2008Z (4:08PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
0 likes
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
300 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
KSC089-123-141-183-152015-
/O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0075.000000T0000Z-080615T2015Z/
SMITH KS-JEWELL KS-OSBORNE KS-MITCHELL KS-
300 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE...SOUTHWESTERN
JEWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTIES...
AT 258 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTY...OR 24 MILES WEST OF BELOIT...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 27 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL COUNTY AT 310 PM CDT
RURAL SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL COUNTY AT 310 PM CDT
RURAL NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE COUNTY AT 310 PM CDT
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3949 9847 3960 9863 3972 9857 3968 9838
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 298DEG 23KT 3957 9852
$$
BRYANT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
300 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
KSC089-123-141-183-152015-
/O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0075.000000T0000Z-080615T2015Z/
SMITH KS-JEWELL KS-OSBORNE KS-MITCHELL KS-
300 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...EXTREME NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE...SOUTHWESTERN
JEWELL AND SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTIES...
AT 258 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED OVER EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN SMITH COUNTY...OR 24 MILES WEST OF BELOIT...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 27 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL COUNTY AT 310 PM CDT
RURAL SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL COUNTY AT 310 PM CDT
RURAL NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE COUNTY AT 310 PM CDT
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3949 9847 3960 9863 3972 9857 3968 9838
TIME...MOT...LOC 2000Z 298DEG 23KT 3957 9852
$$
BRYANT
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 10-15th severe weather thread
SEL3
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 543
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND PARTS OF OF CENTRAL INDIANA
PARTS OF WESTERN OHIO
LAKE ERIE
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF LAFAYETTE INDIANA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
FINDLAY OHIO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 539...WW 540...WW
541...WW 542...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NRN IL WILL CONTINUE
RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS THE WATCH. WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...MLCAPES AOA
2000 J/KG AND 40-50KT OF SHEAR...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE GREATEST
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVE EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27040.
...HALES
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 543
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
320 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
MUCH OF NORTHERN AND PARTS OF OF CENTRAL INDIANA
PARTS OF WESTERN OHIO
LAKE ERIE
LAKE MICHIGAN
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST
NORTHWEST OF LAFAYETTE INDIANA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF
FINDLAY OHIO. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 539...WW 540...WW
541...WW 542...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS NRN IL WILL CONTINUE
RAPIDLY EWD ACROSS THE WATCH. WITH STEEP LAPSE RATES...MLCAPES AOA
2000 J/KG AND 40-50KT OF SHEAR...DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE GREATEST
THREAT WITH THESE STORMS AS THEY MOVE EWD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27040.
...HALES
0 likes
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
321 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
KSC089-123-141-152045-
/O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0076.000000T0000Z-080615T2045Z/
JEWELL KS-OSBORNE KS-MITCHELL KS-
321 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE AND SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL
COUNTIES...
AT 318 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CAWKER CITY...OR
18 MILES WEST OF BELOIT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 23 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GLEN ELDER BY 335 PM CDT
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3951 9855 3965 9842 3962 9833 3961 9832
3957 9819 3956 9815 3932 9830
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 304DEG 20KT 3951 9841
$$
BRYANT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
321 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
KSC089-123-141-152045-
/O.CON.KGID.TO.W.0076.000000T0000Z-080615T2045Z/
JEWELL KS-OSBORNE KS-MITCHELL KS-
321 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT FOR
NORTHWESTERN MITCHELL...NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE AND SOUTHWESTERN JEWELL
COUNTIES...
AT 318 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR CAWKER CITY...OR
18 MILES WEST OF BELOIT...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 23 MPH.
THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GLEN ELDER BY 335 PM CDT
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 3951 9855 3965 9842 3962 9833 3961 9832
3957 9819 3956 9815 3932 9830
TIME...MOT...LOC 2021Z 304DEG 20KT 3951 9841
$$
BRYANT
0 likes
191
WFUS53 KSGF 152012
TORSGF
MOC029-141-152100-
/O.NEW.KSGF.TO.W.0157.080615T2012Z-080615T2100Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
312 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 400 PM CDT.
* AT 308 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO 12 MILES WEST OF LAURIE...OR 19 MILES EAST OF WARSAW...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAURIE BY 335 PM CDT.
VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS BY 350 PM CDT.
THE TOWNS OF BARNUMTON...PURVIS...SUNRISE BEACH...HURRICANE DECK...
GREEN BAY TERRACE AND OLD LINN CREEK ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS
TORNADIC STORM.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3832 9272 3804 9265 3808 9306 3828 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 279DEG 22KT 3817 9302
WFUS53 KSGF 152012
TORSGF
MOC029-141-152100-
/O.NEW.KSGF.TO.W.0157.080615T2012Z-080615T2100Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
312 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHWESTERN CAMDEN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
SOUTHERN MORGAN COUNTY IN CENTRAL MISSOURI...
* UNTIL 400 PM CDT.
* AT 308 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO 12 MILES WEST OF LAURIE...OR 19 MILES EAST OF WARSAW...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.
* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
LAURIE BY 335 PM CDT.
VILLAGE OF FOUR SEASONS BY 350 PM CDT.
THE TOWNS OF BARNUMTON...PURVIS...SUNRISE BEACH...HURRICANE DECK...
GREEN BAY TERRACE AND OLD LINN CREEK ARE ALSO IN THE PATH OF THIS
TORNADIC STORM.
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.
LAT...LON 3832 9272 3804 9265 3808 9306 3828 9306
TIME...MOT...LOC 2012Z 279DEG 22KT 3817 9302
0 likes
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 10-15th severe weather thread
Initiation of MCS #3?
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...E TX AND OK PANHANDLES THROUGH NW OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 152026Z - 152230Z
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO DEVELOP FROM NW TX INTO THE
ERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES AND NW OK. COVERAGE COULD BE LIMITED...BUT
IF STORMS DEVELOP ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE
LIKELY. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
THIS AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STRETCHES FROM S CNTRL OK
NWWD THROUGH WRN AND NW OK INTO EXTREME SW KS. DRYLINE EXTENDS
ACROSS THE ERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES. ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME VERY
UNSTABLE ACROSS W CNTRL-NW OK WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 60S
TO AROUND 70. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG DIABATIC
HEATING OF THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER HAVE RESULTED IN MLCAPE FROM
2500 TO 3000 J/KG. FARTHER WEST ACROSS THE OK AND TX
PANHANDLES...MOISTURE IS MORE LIMITED WITH MLCAPE FROM 1500-2000
J/KG. RECENT VISIBLE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN CUMULUS
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE DRYLINE AS WELL AS ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
IN W CNTRL OK. LARGE SCALE FORCING IS MODEST...BUT LATEST RUC
ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ESEWD OVER TOP OF
UPPER RIDGE INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. AS THE CAP CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN...ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE AS WELL AS
FARTHER EAST ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
INITIATION MAY BE IN THE MORE DEEPLY MIXED AIR ALONG DRYLINE. SELY
WINDS VEERING TO WNWLY 30 KT AT 500 MB IS RESULTING IN 40-50 KT BULK
SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS IF STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP.
..DIAL.. 06/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...
37190002 36739912 35899858 35069883 33530110 33490199
34640130 35790089 36730066
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1399
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0326 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...NW TX...E TX AND OK PANHANDLES THROUGH NW OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE
VALID 152026Z - 152230Z
POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR ISOLATED STORMS TO DEVELOP FROM NW TX INTO THE
ERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES AND NW OK. COVERAGE COULD BE LIMITED...BUT
IF STORMS DEVELOP ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND WILL BE
LIKELY. AREA WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.
THIS AFTERNOON CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY STRETCHES FROM S CNTRL OK
NWWD THROUGH WRN AND NW OK INTO EXTREME SW KS. DRYLINE EXTENDS
ACROSS THE ERN TX AND OK PANHANDLES. ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME VERY
UNSTABLE ACROSS W CNTRL-NW OK WHERE DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 60S
TO AROUND 70. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND STRONG DIABATIC
HEATING OF THE MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER HAVE RESULTED IN MLCAPE FROM
2500 TO 3000 J/KG. FARTHER WEST ACROSS THE OK AND TX
PANHANDLES...MOISTURE IS MORE LIMITED WITH MLCAPE FROM 1500-2000
J/KG. RECENT VISIBLE IMAGERY HAS SHOWN AN INCREASE IN CUMULUS
DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE DRYLINE AS WELL AS ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
IN W CNTRL OK. LARGE SCALE FORCING IS MODEST...BUT LATEST RUC
ANALYSIS INDICATES A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ESEWD OVER TOP OF
UPPER RIDGE INTO THE SRN HIGH PLAINS. AS THE CAP CONTINUES TO
WEAKEN...ISOLATED STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG THE DRYLINE AS WELL AS
FARTHER EAST ALONG THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY. MOST LIKELY AREA FOR
INITIATION MAY BE IN THE MORE DEEPLY MIXED AIR ALONG DRYLINE. SELY
WINDS VEERING TO WNWLY 30 KT AT 500 MB IS RESULTING IN 40-50 KT BULK
SHEAR SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS IF STORMS MANAGE TO DEVELOP.
..DIAL.. 06/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...OUN...DDC...LUB...AMA...
37190002 36739912 35899858 35069883 33530110 33490199
34640130 35790089 36730066
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-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 10-15th severe weather thread
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1400
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0357 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL THROUGH SE KS AND NERN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539...
VALID 152057Z - 152230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539
CONTINUES.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539 WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE REPLACED BY
ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH BEFORE ITS EXPIRATION TIME OF 22Z
THAT WOULD PROBABLY INCLUDE PARTS OF N CNTRL-SERN KS AND NE OK. ONCE
STORMS REDEVELOP...DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY.
A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM S CNTRL MO NWWD THROUGH
ERN AND N CNTRL KS. THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SWD. SOUTH OF
THIS FEATURE...MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY PERSISTS IN WARM
SECTOR FROM E-CNTRL THROUGH SERN KS AND ERN OK. FORCING ALONG THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG AND LATEST OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS SOME CAP STILL REMAINING ACROSS KS. HOWEVER...SOME
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS TO REDEVELOP AND SPREAD
SWD...ESPECIALLY AS THE SWLY LOW LEVEL JET BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN THIS
EVENING...ENHANCING LIFT NE OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS OK.
..DIAL.. 06/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...
39559823 38399586 37609495 36039473 35399541 35859668
37609726 39099918
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0357 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL THROUGH SE KS AND NERN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539...
VALID 152057Z - 152230Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539
CONTINUES.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 539 WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE REPLACED BY
ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH BEFORE ITS EXPIRATION TIME OF 22Z
THAT WOULD PROBABLY INCLUDE PARTS OF N CNTRL-SERN KS AND NE OK. ONCE
STORMS REDEVELOP...DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY.
A CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDS FROM S CNTRL MO NWWD THROUGH
ERN AND N CNTRL KS. THIS BOUNDARY CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SWD. SOUTH OF
THIS FEATURE...MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY PERSISTS IN WARM
SECTOR FROM E-CNTRL THROUGH SERN KS AND ERN OK. FORCING ALONG THE
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG AND LATEST OBJECTIVE
ANALYSIS SHOWS SOME CAP STILL REMAINING ACROSS KS. HOWEVER...SOME
POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR ADDITIONAL STORMS TO REDEVELOP AND SPREAD
SWD...ESPECIALLY AS THE SWLY LOW LEVEL JET BEGINS TO STRENGTHEN THIS
EVENING...ENHANCING LIFT NE OF OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS OK.
..DIAL.. 06/15/2008
ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...GID...DDC...
39559823 38399586 37609495 36039473 35399541 35859668
37609726 39099918
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SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
402 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
MOC131-152130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0368.000000T0000Z-080615T2130Z/
MILLER MO-
402 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR MILLER COUNTY...
AT 357 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR KAISER...OR NEAR OSAGE BEACH...MOVING EAST
AT 39 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
IBERIA BY 420 PM CDT.
THE TOWN OF ULMAN IS IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3807 9218 3802 9219 3803 9252 3804 9254
3806 9258 3809 9258 3814 9261 3817 9261
3817 9263 3821 9264 3833 9227
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 265DEG 34KT 3808 9251
$$
WISE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
402 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
MOC131-152130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0368.000000T0000Z-080615T2130Z/
MILLER MO-
402 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR MILLER COUNTY...
AT 357 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR KAISER...OR NEAR OSAGE BEACH...MOVING EAST
AT 39 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
IBERIA BY 420 PM CDT.
THE TOWN OF ULMAN IS IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.
LAT...LON 3807 9218 3802 9219 3803 9252 3804 9254
3806 9258 3809 9258 3814 9261 3817 9261
3817 9263 3821 9264 3833 9227
TIME...MOT...LOC 2102Z 265DEG 34KT 3808 9251
$$
WISE
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TORNADO WARNING
MIC007-152230-
/O.NEW.KAPX.TO.W.0016.080615T2207Z-080615T2230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
607 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ALPENA COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 630 PM EDT
* AT 602 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR LAKEWOOD...OR 4 MILES NORTH OF ALPENA...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CATHRO...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 4511 8351 4521 8352 4521 8338 4519 8337
4520 8333 4520 8332 4518 8333 4519 8337
4518 8337 4515 8331 4511 8330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 269DEG 32KT 4513 8338
$$
MIC007-152230-
/O.NEW.KAPX.TO.W.0016.080615T2207Z-080615T2230Z/
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
607 PM EDT SUN JUN 15 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GAYLORD HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
ALPENA COUNTY IN NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN...
* UNTIL 630 PM EDT
* AT 602 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS STORM WAS
LOCATED NEAR LAKEWOOD...OR 4 MILES NORTH OF ALPENA...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.
* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CATHRO...
THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.
LAT...LON 4511 8351 4521 8352 4521 8338 4519 8337
4520 8333 4520 8332 4518 8333 4519 8337
4518 8337 4515 8331 4511 8330
TIME...MOT...LOC 2207Z 269DEG 32KT 4513 8338
$$
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HarlequinBoy
- Category 5
- Posts: 1400
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
- Location: Memphis
-
Stephanie
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 23843
- Age: 63
- Joined: Thu Feb 06, 2003 9:53 am
- Location: Glassboro, NJ
Re:
HarlequinBoy wrote:My brother is at Boy Scout Camp is northern Arkansas. I'm not worried about anything like Iowa but he's 11 and doesn't like storms, lol.
That tornado that hit the Boy Scout Camp in Iowa was freakish. Unfortunately, everyone in the Midwest and "Tornado Alley" needs to be on their guard. Towns and cities that have never had a tornado visit are suddenly hit and perhaps wiped out. There's no rhyme or reason to why they develop in certain areas other than the atmosphere is ripe.
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6SpeedTA95
- Category 5
- Posts: 1206
- Joined: Wed Oct 19, 2005 3:25 pm
- Location: Oklahoma
- Contact:
-
CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 10-15th severe weather thread
SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
953 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
KSC077-160330-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0317.000000T0000Z-080616T0330Z/
HARPER KS-
953 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARPER COUNTY
UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...
AT 948 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING HAIL UP TO
GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 80 TO 90 MPH. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF ANTHONY...MOVING SOUTH AT 22 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF HARPER COUNTY...
INCLUDING WALDRON AND BLUFF CITY.
THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO 80 MPH AND
LARGE HAIL.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
MONDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
LAT...LON 3700 9835 3727 9835 3727 9780 3699 9780
3700 9834
TIME...MOT...LOC 0253Z 339DEG 19KT 3704 9803
$$
DARMO
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
953 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
KSC077-160330-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0317.000000T0000Z-080616T0330Z/
HARPER KS-
953 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR HARPER COUNTY
UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...
AT 948 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
TRACK A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING HAIL UP TO
GOLF BALL SIZE...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS OF 80 TO 90 MPH. THIS STORM
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTH OF ANTHONY...MOVING SOUTH AT 22 MPH.
THIS STORM WAS WILL AFFECT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF HARPER COUNTY...
INCLUDING WALDRON AND BLUFF CITY.
THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF DESTRUCTIVE WINDS TO 80 MPH AND
LARGE HAIL.
THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR
ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT
MONDAY MORNING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS.
LAT...LON 3700 9835 3727 9835 3727 9780 3699 9780
3700 9834
TIME...MOT...LOC 0253Z 339DEG 19KT 3704 9803
$$
DARMO
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
Re: June 10-15th severe weather thread
Perhaps they will cancel the watches early and go PDS?
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1408
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0955 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 544...545...546...
VALID 160255Z - 160430Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
544...545...546...CONTINUES.
A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
OKLAHOMA BY THE TIME CURRENT WATCHES EXPIRE AT 05Z.
APPARENT WEAKENING MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND
INHIBITION ON THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
ARE LINGERING CONCERNS. BUT...WITH THE ONSET OF SURFACE
COOLING...NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF A SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS
UNDERWAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THE NOSE OF THIS
JET...WHICH MAY APPROACH 40-45 KTS...APPEARS TO BE COMING FOCUSED
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN/NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...WHERE INSTABILITY
REMAINS STRONG...AND CONVERGENCE/WARM ADVECTION WILL BE SUPPORTIVE
OF CONSOLIDATING STORMS BETWEEN NOW AND 04-06Z. IF/AS THIS
OCCURS...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL FAVOR SUBSTANTIAL EVAPORATIVE
COOLING NEAR A GROWING PRECIPITATION CORE. AND...IN THE PRESENCE OF
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL
FLOW...SYSTEM RELATIVE WIND PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE RAPID
SOUTHWARD ACCELERATION OF ANY MERGING/EXPANDING AND STRENGTHENING
COLD POOLS THROUGH CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
..KERR.. 06/16/2008
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...
35389854 35669864 36429832 37069731 36689651 36069588
35719523 35159473 34239459 33809610 33919720
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1408
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0955 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
AREAS AFFECTED...MUCH OF OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 544...545...546...
VALID 160255Z - 160430Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
544...545...546...CONTINUES.
A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SOUTHERN AND EASTERN
OKLAHOMA BY THE TIME CURRENT WATCHES EXPIRE AT 05Z.
APPARENT WEAKENING MID/UPPER FORCING FOR UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION AND
INHIBITION ON THE NORTHEASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
ARE LINGERING CONCERNS. BUT...WITH THE ONSET OF SURFACE
COOLING...NOCTURNAL STRENGTHENING OF A SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET IS
UNDERWAY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS. THE NOSE OF THIS
JET...WHICH MAY APPROACH 40-45 KTS...APPEARS TO BE COMING FOCUSED
ACROSS NORTHWESTERN/NORTH CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...WHERE INSTABILITY
REMAINS STRONG...AND CONVERGENCE/WARM ADVECTION WILL BE SUPPORTIVE
OF CONSOLIDATING STORMS BETWEEN NOW AND 04-06Z. IF/AS THIS
OCCURS...THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL FAVOR SUBSTANTIAL EVAPORATIVE
COOLING NEAR A GROWING PRECIPITATION CORE. AND...IN THE PRESENCE OF
STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR BENEATH NORTHWESTERLY MID-LEVEL
FLOW...SYSTEM RELATIVE WIND PROFILES WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE RAPID
SOUTHWARD ACCELERATION OF ANY MERGING/EXPANDING AND STRENGTHENING
COLD POOLS THROUGH CENTRAL/SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA.
..KERR.. 06/16/2008
ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...ICT...FWD...OUN...
35389854 35669864 36429832 37069731 36689651 36069588
35719523 35159473 34239459 33809610 33919720
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HarlequinBoy
- Category 5
- Posts: 1400
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
- Location: Memphis
Re: Re:
Stephanie wrote:HarlequinBoy wrote:My brother is at Boy Scout Camp is northern Arkansas. I'm not worried about anything like Iowa but he's 11 and doesn't like storms, lol.
That tornado that hit the Boy Scout Camp in Iowa was freakish. Unfortunately, everyone in the Midwest and "Tornado Alley" needs to be on their guard. Towns and cities that have never had a tornado visit are suddenly hit and perhaps wiped out. There's no rhyme or reason to why they develop in certain areas other than the atmosphere is ripe.
Yeah. It's happened many times around here.
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HarlequinBoy
- Category 5
- Posts: 1400
- Age: 34
- Joined: Wed Nov 29, 2006 1:57 am
- Location: Memphis
Re:
6SpeedTA95 wrote:45% hatched area for winds...this coudl be a fairly substantial derecho tonight from I35 east in kansas/NE oklahoma.
NW Arkansas is in there too, including Fayetteville and Fort Smith and Bentonville.
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CrazyC83
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 34002
- Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
- Location: Deep South, for the first time!
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 547
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1145 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH OF
PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PARIS TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 544...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 545...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 546. WATCH NUMBER
544 545 546 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1145 PM CDT.
DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF SEVERE STORMS OVER WRN OK...SRN
KS/NRN OK...AND WEST CENTRAL AR ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD SWD AND SEWD
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITHIN ZONE OF NWLY FLOW ALOFT.
ENVIRONMENT FROM NORTH CENTRAL/NERN OK SWD INTO SERN OK/SWRN AR
REMAINS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 70S-LOWER 80S AND DEW POINTS IN THE 70-75F
RANGE...CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE TO 3000 J/KG. CONTINUED
CONSOLIDATION OF CONVECTIVE COLD POOLS WILL ALLOW STORMS TO
ACCELERATE SEWD DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH CONTINUED THREAT
FOR VERY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.
...WEISS
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 547
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1145 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WESTERN AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS
CENTRAL AND EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 1145 PM UNTIL
500 AM CDT.
HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 105
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH OF
PONCA CITY OKLAHOMA TO 30 MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF PARIS TEXAS.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REPLACES
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 544...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
NUMBER 545...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 546. WATCH NUMBER
544 545 546 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 1145 PM CDT.
DISCUSSION...MULTIPLE CLUSTERS OF SEVERE STORMS OVER WRN OK...SRN
KS/NRN OK...AND WEST CENTRAL AR ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD SWD AND SEWD
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITHIN ZONE OF NWLY FLOW ALOFT.
ENVIRONMENT FROM NORTH CENTRAL/NERN OK SWD INTO SERN OK/SWRN AR
REMAINS VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES IN THE
UPPER 70S-LOWER 80S AND DEW POINTS IN THE 70-75F
RANGE...CONTRIBUTING TO MLCAPE TO 3000 J/KG. CONTINUED
CONSOLIDATION OF CONVECTIVE COLD POOLS WILL ALLOW STORMS TO
ACCELERATE SEWD DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WITH CONTINUED THREAT
FOR VERY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 31025.
...WEISS
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