ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[Sanibel]

The eye is nice and round at low level but dirty higher up. Could be shear on it. Could be intensifiying - I'm not sure.

[artist]

the flooding is my fear and concern as well. Has anyone found a streaming feed yet, either tv or radio? TIA!

[MGC]

Dolly's radar and satellite presentations in the past couple of hours appear to indicate that the intensification trend has leveled off. Dry air appears to have become entrained into the hurricane's circulation from the south. The eyewall on the south and eastern side of the hurricane have appeared to have eroded by dry air from the south due to a ULL low to Dolly's south. The dry air is clearly evident on the WV satellite loop. The ULL to the south is also restricting outflow to the south. So, it looks like Dolly may have reached maxium intensity for now. Of course things can change quickly. Hopefully Dolly does not intensify more tonight. I think she has reached rock bottom.......MGC

[cheezyWXguy]

The eye is nice and round at low level but dirty higher up. Could be shear on it. Could be intensifiying - I'm not sure.

Not shear at all. Its only 80mph...what do you expect? The eye is just starting to clear out now, as a band is moving to the north of it. Organization is improving and it will likely continue to strengthen.

[Aric Dunn]

some interesting things happening.. right now..

[HarlequinBoy]

Does anybody have any info on flash flood guidance down in S TX tonight/tomorrow?

[cheezyWXguy]

Dolly's radar and satellite presentations in the past couple of hours appear to indicate that the intensification trend has leveled off. Dry air appears to have become entrained into the hurricane's circulation from the south. The eyewall on the south and eastern side of the hurricane have appeared to have eroded by dry air from the south due to a ULL low to Dolly's south. The dry air is clearly evident on the WV satellite loop. The ULL to the south is also restricting outflow to the south. So, it looks like Dolly may have reached maxium intensity for now. Of course things can change quickly. Hopefully Dolly does not intensify more tonight. I think she has reached rock bottom.......MGC

Nope I dont agree...what you are seeing is what is seen on every system as it approaches a coastline. The radar cant see through the heavy precipitation on the western side. I highly doubt this has leveled off...eye is just starting to show up on IR.

[A1A]

ULL to her NW is eating at her...see her flatten out on the NW...ULL to the SW restricting as well....trof digging in the plains.....she really is moving slow in the last few frames...

Yeah, I think that ULL is keeping the moisture from getting into central Texas - that would be a plus for us with this storm.

[Sanibel]

Less warm water nearer to coast. Trend would be slow continued intensification.

[fasterdisaster]

Less warm water nearer to coast. Trend would be slow continued intensification.

Usually this only affects northward moving systems though, Dolly is westward so it shouldn't be a problem for her.

[alan1961]

Yeah I'd like to see that as well Boca as I'm in the UK and don't have nearly quite the same TV options as some of you guys in the states have.

hsvwx, yeah its done a pretty decent job thus far, I think the NHC always say prepare for a category above, so in the as eof the offical NHC forecast, prepare for a high end cat-2 I think.

http://www.newslink.org/stattele.html

just 52 states to choose from there KWT

Now I know you Brits know we have 50 states!

ok go on then, i'll drop hawaii and alaska out of the contigous equation

[Sanibel]

This looks like a good one to chase. I hope TWC is there.

[JonathanBelles]

This looks like a good one to chase. I hope TWC is there.

Theyve got two people including Cantore.

[cycloneye]

This looks like a good one to chase. I hope TWC is there.

Cantore is in South Padre island.

[RL3AO]

Heavy rain about to start on shore. Also, the NE quadrant around the center has become better defined on radar.

[HarlequinBoy]

[HURAKAN]

[HarlequinBoy]

It's western eyewall looks pretty intense.

[Sanibel]

That little eye at higher level in the eye is sometimes seen in storms doing intensification jerks. Or it's nothing.

[Weatherfreak14]

Looks like its just drifting west now.