ATL: Tropical Depression Dolly

[paintplaye]

114630 2549N 09637W 6969 02855 9661 +147 +090 172010 012 000 005 03

extra: 966 mb

Dolly is certainly strengthening rather rapidly mow. IMO, NHC needs to upgrade at the next advisory.

COMON NWC UPDATE!!! We are even having pro mets say this. haha

[HurricaneHunter914]

Looks like her eye is going to pass Brownsville at this rate. I hope she doesn't skirt the coast though. I think if she continues strengthening like this, she'll be a cat-2 of 95-100 mph by 10am.

[lrak]

Since this thing has passed Brownsville, where to next? I've got tape LOL on my monitor, not the most scientific way to show movement, but each piece of tape shows no westward movement, and the NHC graphic still shows it heading right for Brownville. Should Corpus really get ready now??

[paintplaye]

Since this thing has passed Brownsville, where to next? I've got tape LOL on my monitor, not the most scientific way to show movement, but each piece of tape shows no westward movement, and the NHC graphic still shows it heading right for Brownville. Should Corpus really get ready now??

Dude i love the way you track storms.

[KWT]

Wow extrap pressure of 966mbs, thats relaly low and it just proves that Dolly is for now undergoing RI, winds should catch up with the system asit makes landfall and that will probably the mean the highest winds founds by recon will be carried into land.

[hurricanefloyd5]

Looks like her eye is going to pass Brownsville at this rate. I hope she doesn't skirt the coast though. I think if she continues strengthening like this, she'll be a cat-2 of 95-100 mph by 10am.

If the winds start measering up with the mb Pressure then it shoul;d already be a Cat.2 maybe weak3!!!!!!!!!!But that is not happening!!!!!!!!!!!

[lrak]

Since this thing has passed Brownsville, where to next? I've got tape LOL on my monitor, not the most scientific way to show movement, but each piece of tape shows no westward movement, and the NHC graphic still shows it heading right for Brownville. Should Corpus really get ready now??

Dude i love the way you track storms.

LMAO, I'm an accountant/broker...and I have you guys and gals to fill me in. I did get A's in science and math.

[HarlequinBoy]

Since this thing has passed Brownsville, where to next? I've got tape LOL on my monitor, not the most scientific way to show movement, but each piece of tape shows no westward movement, and the NHC graphic still shows it heading right for Brownville. Should Corpus really get ready now??

Well I don't think it will make it that far up the coast, but hopefully CC residents have prepared a bit. There is a hurricane warning after all.

[HURAKAN]

[Air Force Met]

114630 2549N 09637W 6969 02855 9661 +147 +090 172010 012 000 005 03

extra: 966 mb

Dolly is certainly strengthening rather rapidly mow. IMO, NHC needs to upgrade at the next advisory.

That's an understatement.

But Avila has the seat..."No Data" Avila...

Sorry guys...getting very hard to hide my frustration...especially since I've been in on all the State and Fema calls that took this as no big deal because the NHC was only forecasting a 1.

[KWT]

I think the NHC will probably be force dto upgrade it to category-2 een though winds probably only support a 80kts cat-1, still the pressure drop is just too large to ignore now I think.

Just hints that the western eyewall is opening up as it comes close to land now, Browns. is going to statrt really feeling high winds now...I'm guessing there must have been the odd hurricane force gust by now?

[HurricaneHunter914]

Looks like her eye is going to pass Brownsville at this rate. I hope she doesn't skirt the coast though. I think if she continues strengthening like this, she'll be a cat-2 of 95-100 mph by 10am.

If the winds start measering up with the mb Pressure then it shoul;d already be a Cat.2 maybe weak3!!!!!!!!!!But that is not happening!!!!!!!!!!!

In an hour or so, the winds should catch up imo. She still has about 1-3 hrs over water.

[Innotech]

Shes really bombing right now. This storm has defied all kinds of odds and my gut feeling has pretty much played out. All of you in the path, PLEASE HEED ALL PRECAUTIONS . Stay safe over there and live to track another day.

[lrak]

Since this thing has passed Brownsville, where to next? I've got tape LOL on my monitor, not the most scientific way to show movement, but each piece of tape shows no westward movement, and the NHC graphic still shows it heading right for Brownville. Should Corpus really get ready now??

Well I don't think it will make it that far up the coast, but hopefully CC residents have prepared a bit. There is a hurricane warning after all.

No one has boarded up, just picked up basic supplies so far.

[HURAKAN]

URNT12 KNHC 231159
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042008
A. 23/11:46:50Z
B. 25 deg 49 min N
096 deg 38 min W
C. 700 mb 2818 m
D. 59 kt
E. 132 deg 14 nm
F. 227 deg 074 kt
G. 131 deg 011 nm
H. 967 mb
I. 10 C/ 3045 m
J. 15 C/ 3041 m
K. 9 C/ NA
L. C20
M. CLOSED
N. 12345/7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF302 1904A DOLLY OB 11
MAX FL WIND 86 KT NE QUAD 10:31:20 Z
MAX FL WIND OUTBOUND 78 KT NW QUAD 11:52:40 Z

[lrak]

It should of been 97W by now, WTH? Whats holding it out over the water?

[paintplaye]

Since this thing has passed Brownsville, where to next? I've got tape LOL on my monitor, not the most scientific way to show movement, but each piece of tape shows no westward movement, and the NHC graphic still shows it heading right for Brownville. Should Corpus really get ready now??

Dude i love the way you track storms.

LMAO, I'm an accountant/broker...and I have you guys and gals to fill me in. I did get A's in science and math.

Haha i wish i could do that in math. Just duc-tape my desk. Measure shapes and figures that way. That would be so cool. Yea but i don't expect much more north than Brownsville.

[HURAKAN]

HURRICANE DOLLY TROPICAL CYCLONE POSITION ESTIMATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
700 AM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

AT 7 AM CDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS ESTIMATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES...70
KM...EAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

[KWT]

967 from vortex, I think the NHC are going to have to up the winds now, een if its only to 80kts. By the way really impressive video just on fox news just now on SP island.

Still at the moment this is a powerful cat-1, everyone stay safe, the eyewall is going to be coming ashore in just a few hours, this hurricane will strengthen probably right upto landfall!

[tracyswfla]

Stay safe everyone!!