ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[cycloneye]

Latest pic at 9:15 PM:

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Santa Domingo is reporting very high winds right now! The following link features a live wind report that is updated every few seconds from the city..

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/78486.html

So far, I have seen the sustained speeds reach as high as 47mph!

also the pressure there is 1000mb the 8pm intermediate had the pressure at 1008mb so thats a 8mb drop

[Ivanhater]

That little dent in the convection off the south coast is interesting...

[Brent]

Santa Domingo is reporting very high winds right now! The following link features a live wind report that is updated every few seconds from the city..

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/78486.html

So far, I have seen the sustained speeds reach as high as 47mph!

Max Wind Speed 143 mph / 230 km/h

Looks like something's wrong with the sensor?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Its been overland for about 6-7 hours, I expect it will be moving back over water within the next 6-7 hours. Also the way the southern convection appears makes me believe that the system will likely keep moving westward. So between Jamaica and Cuba is looking slightly more likely, Dennis 2005 track.

That last part was just a guest on what could happen.

[RL3AO]

Another station in Santo Domingo was pressures near 1007mb. So don't buy that 1000mb reading.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=IDISTRIT9

[artist]

if Santo Domingo is getting ssw then the center has to be north of there, correct?

[Extremeweatherguy]

Santa Domingo is reporting very high winds right now! The following link features a live wind report that is updated every few seconds from the city..

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/78486.html

So far, I have seen the sustained speeds reach as high as 47mph!

Max Wind Speed 143 mph / 230 km/h

Looks like something's wrong with the sensor? Also says the pressure is 1001 mb which is significantly lower than the NHC's official 1008 mb estimate.

LOL. Yeah, either that or they have been hit head on by a tornado.

[JonathanBelles]

I dont use Wunderground obs at all.

[SouthFLTropics]

Santa Domingo is reporting very high winds right now! The following link features a live wind report that is updated every few seconds from the city..

http://www.wunderground.com/global/stations/78486.html

So far, I have seen the sustained speeds reach as high as 47mph!

Max Wind Speed 143 mph / 230 km/h

Looks like something's wrong with the sensor? Also says the pressure is 1001 mb which is significantly lower than the NHC's official 1008 mb estimate.

LOL. Yeah, either that or they have been hit head on by a tornado.

Not likely but I guess that is always a possibility...

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Another station in Santo Domingo was pressures near 1007mb. So don't buy that 1000mb reading.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=IDISTRIT9

the other place looks to be further away from the center since winds there are only 7mph while winds at the first location where they are reporting the 1000mb pressure are in the 30 to 40mph range

[deltadog03]

I am wondering if that blob that is about to come off the coast could potentially take over as the new center??

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

If this keeps going westward and gets to track south of Cuba. If it can keeps its upper Anticyclone...I expect the fan to not only move but to move at 500,000,000 rpm's. Now it is possible but that is just what track it takes.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I am wondering if that blob that is about to come off the coast could potentially take over as the new center??

I think that will help keep it on a westward track.

[AtlanticWind]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

If this keeps going westward and gets to track south of Cuba. If it can keeps its upper Anticyclone...I expect the fan to not only move but to move at 500,000,000 rpm's. Now it is possible but that is just what track it takes.

What??????

[SWFLA_CANE]

I am wondering if that blob that is about to come off the coast could potentially take over as the new center??

I think that will help keep it on a westward track.

Why?

[RL3AO]

Another station in Santo Domingo was pressures near 1007mb. So don't buy that 1000mb reading.

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=IDISTRIT9

the other place looks to be further away from the center since winds there are only 7mph while winds at the first location where they are reporting the 1000mb pressure are in the 30 to 40mph range

Its the same city.

[hurricanej]

Its been overland for about 6-7 hours, I expect it will be moving back over water within the next 6-7 hours. Also the way the southern convection appears makes me believe that the system will likely keep moving westward. So between Jamaica and Cuba is looking slightly more likely, Dennis 2005 track.

That last part was just a guest on what could happen.

on the Dennis 05 track, do you think it could possibly make landfall in the same area, or are you just talking about in the Cuba/Jamaica area?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

I am wondering if that blob that is about to come off the coast could potentially take over as the new center??

I think that will help keep it on a westward track.

Why?

It will force the LLC to the south. As the inflow is going to the south. Also the mountains could also help it to stay south to.

[wxman57]

I think the NHC will nudge the track a little west on the next advisory, probably just grazing the western peninsula near Sarasota and Clearwater then inland into the far eastern panhandle. That should allow it to become a hurricane with a path that rakes the entire western peninsula. Of course, as we saw with Charley, only a tiny course change would make a tremendous difference in the prime impact area.