ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[gatorcane]

Ok I do not understand how the nws is forcasting winds sustained at 34mph gusting to 50 for Boca when there is not even a breeze here... when is this wind going to start?

I think its coming. Remember when tropical systems interact with land their windfields tend to drop some in the atmosphere and expand out so I think those gusts forecasted by the NWS are in line as bands spiral in.

[Bgator]

The wind def. did pick up here in Miami.

[CronkPSU]

I guess I am one of those yahoos. Not saying NHC did bad but Hurricane forecasting has a looooooong way to go when it comes to the west coast of Florida. It's a shame the entire west coast has schools closed tomorrow and people spending money they dont have. Just my humble opinion. Not dissing NHC just the nature of the beast.

why is it unreasonable to have schools closed even if it hits in naples? you want your kid waiting at the bus stop with 45 mph winds and tree branches falling down all around them?

as for the money, I am sure the people will end up drinking the water and eating the food they bought

[tgenius]

People need to quit complaining about the lack of wind. Wait until it makes landfall.

Even with landfall I doubt Miami will get much wind...

Pickup isn't much it's in the mid teens to high teens at the moment...

[tolakram]

Let's start looking at Naples.

[Stephanie]

I guess I am one of those yahoos. Not saying NHC did bad but Hurricane forecasting has a looooooong way to go when it comes to the west coast of Florida. It's a shame the entire west coast has schools closed tomorrow and people spending money they dont have. Just my humble opinion. Not dissing NHC just the nature of the beast.

Well, all of your 6 posts except for one was a diss on NHC. The nature of the beast is just that and when technology develops something new and improved in order to forecast a hurricane better, I'm sure that they will use it. Forecasting weather in general is not an exact science. Also, I'm glad that the schools are closed tomorrow. Many parents would probably keep them home anyway. The torrential rains will be bad enough.

[AL Chili Pepper]

Extratropical1, you are looking at the half-empty part of the glass. You should be happy that because of shear, dry air, and land interaction Fay wasn't able to become a major hurricane. It's the best thing it could have happened to Florida.

Shear, dry air, and land interaction means college football on the tube next weekend.

[Bgator]

According to FPL website, as of 8PM there were 7000 customers without power in Miami Dade.
Stinks...

[Extremeweatherguy]

New VDM = 997mb pressure.

[tgenius]

Ok I do not understand how the nws is forcasting winds sustained at 34mph gusting to 50 for Boca when there is not even a breeze here... when is this wind going to start?

I think its coming. Remember when tropical systems interact with land their windfields tend to drop some in the atmosphere and expand out so I think those gusts forecasted by the NWS are in line as bands spiral in.

Problem I see is even on long range radar I don't see much in terms of bands heading towards Miami...

[Extratropical1]

So why cant the NHC in all the conference calls tell local officials to stay open dont evacuate and keep schools open if they are so accurate??? The local EOC;s take there word as God and I am on the inside so I know what i am talkin about

[Scorpion]

Ok I do not understand how the nws is forcasting winds sustained at 34mph gusting to 50 for Boca when there is not even a breeze here... when is this wind going to start?

I think its coming. Remember when tropical systems interact with land their windfields tend to drop some in the atmosphere and expand out so I think those gusts forecasted by the NWS are in line as bands spiral in.

Problem I see is even on long range radar I don't see much in terms of bands heading towards Miami...

The wind will come, without a doubt.

[Stormavoider]

<<I guess I am one of those yahoos. Not saying NHC did bad but Hurricane forecasting has a looooooong way to go when it comes to the west coast of Florida. It's a shame the entire west coast has schools closed tomorrow and people spending money they dont have. Just my humble opinion. Not dissing NHC just the nature of the beast.>>

Where is Steve?

[tolakram]

Partial repost because I was a victim of a new page

Naples

[Toadstool]

I guess I am one of those yahoos. Not saying NHC did bad but Hurricane forecasting has a looooooong way to go when it comes to the west coast of Florida. It's a shame the entire west coast has schools closed tomorrow and people spending money they dont have. Just my humble opinion. Not dissing NHC just the nature of the beast.

Well, all of your 6 posts except for one was a diss on NHC. The nature of the beast is just that and when technology develops something new and improved in order to forecast a hurricane better, I'm sure that they will use it. Forecasting weather in general is not an exact science. Also, I'm glad that the schools are closed tomorrow. Many parents would probably keep them home anyway. The torrential rains will be bad enough.

Why would your parents keep you home due to Fay when you're in New Jersey?? They are being a little over-protective if you ask me.

[SWFLA_CANE]

So why cant the NHC in all the conference calls tell local officials to stay open dont evacuate and keep schools open if they are so accurate??? The local EOC;s take there word as God and I am on the inside so I know what i am talkin about

On the inside, as what?

[tgenius]

I think its coming. Remember when tropical systems interact with land their windfields tend to drop some in the atmosphere and expand out so I think those gusts forecasted by the NWS are in line as bands spiral in.[/quote]

Problem I see is even on long range radar I don't see much in terms of bands heading towards Miami...[/quote]

The wind will come, without a doubt.[/quote]

So can we call it a gentlemen's bet if not? I'm just waiting to see if the wind gets enoguh to push our floating rafts out of the pool.. the inner tube did come out around 7.

[Bgator]

As per radar there are some new thunderstorms popping up coming into Miami Dade County.

[HURAKAN]

[gatorcane]

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Unofficially I call landfall in the Everglades near or just SE of Everglades City...that's about 60 miles ESE of Naples