ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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Jevo
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Re: Re:

#9281 Postby Jevo » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:37 pm

.
They would certainly help with an EF1 tornado. Wind and rain still heavy at my house and judging by the radar it is going to be a long night. I'm in it for the long haul. If I loose power I will have no way to hear my infant child (monitor wont work) and the wife is already sound asleep.


easy fix... bring the baby in your room.... cmonn man its not rocket science
Last edited by Jevo on Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#9282 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:38 pm

I think Fay is running out of time to strengthen much more, if she makes it to 75mph I'll be somewhat surprised.
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9283 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:39 pm

I'd think for a near miss, or maybe an F-0 or F-1 tornado, the shutters might just be the difference between shattered windows and interior damage, and not.

Of course, shutters won't help with a direct hit from a stronger tornado.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9284 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:41 pm

winds steadily picking up here in Boca Raton with constant gusts now
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Re: Re:

#9285 Postby SWFLA_CANE » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:41 pm

Jevo wrote:.
They would certainly help with an EF1 tornado. Wind and rain still heavy at my house and judging by the radar it is going to be a long night. I'm in it for the long haul. If I loose power I will have no way to hear my infant child (monitor wont work) and the wife is already sound asleep.


easy fix... bring the baby in your room.... cmonn man its not rocket science

You know the old saying...Never wake a sleeping baby...If I loose power I'll be laying on the floor in her room.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9286 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:41 pm

Naples Observations, Key West radar.

Image

Image

Image
Last edited by tolakram on Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Re:

#9287 Postby skufful » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:42 pm

SWFLA_CANE wrote:
Jevo wrote:.
They would certainly help with an EF1 tornado. Wind and rain still heavy at my house and judging by the radar it is going to be a long night. I'm in it for the long haul. If I loose power I will have no way to hear my infant child (monitor wont work) and the wife is already sound asleep.


easy fix... bring the baby in your room.... cmonn man its not rocket science

You know the old saying...Never wake a sleeping baby...If I loose power I'll be laying on the floor in her room.



Problem Solved!
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9288 Postby paintplaye » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:42 pm

tolakram wrote:Naples Observations, Key West radar.

Image

Image



I think it is stalled again :roll:
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#9289 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:43 pm

Not impressed with this storm at all....I guess this is why I haven't really joined in on any of the conversation. System doesn't seem worthy of much analyzation. Give me my Summertime Thunderstorm and I'm more excited and impressed than this tiny tropical storm.
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Re: Re:

#9290 Postby Sihara » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:43 pm

fact789 wrote:
SouthFLTropics wrote:
SWFLA_CANE wrote:I'm second guessing my decision not to put up my shutters. Not because of the T.S. winds but because of the tornados. The last warning was about 30 miles from my house.


It was a tough decision for me over here on the Treasure Coast but in the end I'm glad I did it. I can rest easier tonight and not worry about getting woken up in the middle of the night with a rude suprise...

SFT


Those shutters arent gonna keep out tornadoes.


Yeah they wouldn't keep a strong tornado out -but they sure can protect your windows from debris tossed by a smaller tornado. We were in a situation like that back in the 80's, had metal awnings tied down over the windows. There were trees n' branches down, some hit the awnings. Without them, windows would have broken, rain would have soaked everything inside, maybe worse.

My motivation for getting the accordion shutters was that they can be shut quickly in the event a severe storm approaches, not just the named kind.
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#9291 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:44 pm

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 840
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1040 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 1040 PM
UNTIL 800 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 60 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
MELBOURNE FLORIDA TO 70 MILES SOUTH OF MIAMI FLORIDA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 837. WATCH NUMBER 837 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
1040 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 839...

DISCUSSION...T.S. FAY WILL TRACK NWD AND INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL FL
OVERNIGHT. CONVECTIVE BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE NWWD ACROSS THE
WATCH AREA THRU THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT. SHEAR IS SUFFICIENT FOR
ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT CONTINUING PRIMARILY WITH EMBEDDED SMALL
SUPERCELLS IN THE BANDS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH EXTREME
TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI
WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 13035.


...HALES
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Re:

#9292 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:45 pm

Sean in New Orleans wrote:Not impressed with this storm at all....I guess this is why I haven't really joined in on any of the conversation. System doesn't seem worthy of much analyzation. Give me my Summertime Thunderstorm and I'm more excited and impressed than this tiny tropical storm.


Yea, it's not headed your way so why get excited. :roll:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9293 Postby BigA » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:45 pm

Technically, it is still getting stronger. Recon found an extrap pressure of 995.1 at 25.23 81.77
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Ed Mahmoud

Re: Re:

#9294 Postby Ed Mahmoud » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:46 pm

tolakram wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:Not impressed with this storm at all....I guess this is why I haven't really joined in on any of the conversation. System doesn't seem worthy of much analyzation. Give me my Summertime Thunderstorm and I'm more excited and impressed than this tiny tropical storm.


Yea, it's not headed your way so why get excited. :roll:



18Z GFS says it is headed his way, in a roundabout manner...
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Re: Re:

#9295 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:47 pm

tolakram wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:Not impressed with this storm at all....I guess this is why I haven't really joined in on any of the conversation. System doesn't seem worthy of much analyzation. Give me my Summertime Thunderstorm and I'm more excited and impressed than this tiny tropical storm.


Yea, it's not headed your way so why get excited. :roll:

I got my fill with Katrina. No need to worry. I know about the big ones. Either way, I'm not impressed--I have a right to state my opinion on this forum.
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Re: Re:

#9296 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:47 pm

Ed Mahmoud wrote:
tolakram wrote:
Sean in New Orleans wrote:Not impressed with this storm at all....I guess this is why I haven't really joined in on any of the conversation. System doesn't seem worthy of much analyzation. Give me my Summertime Thunderstorm and I'm more excited and impressed than this tiny tropical storm.


Yea, it's not headed your way so why get excited. :roll:



18Z GFS says it is headed his way, in a roundabout manner...


No way, it's coming to Cincinnati ... I can feel it. The models will come around .... :D That's the only reason I'm interested in this storm.
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#9297 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:48 pm

New advisory seems to be delayed..... again.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9298 Postby Jevo » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:48 pm

NCWeatherChic wrote:
Just to bring a little clarity.

Unless you ARE on the inside of the EOC...FEMA world...and listen to the conference calls...and KNOW the politics that go into these forecasts (and the FACT that it isn't some forecaster choosing their best idea anymore...but by and large sticking to the consensus track)...you cannot understand the frustration. So...its not a matter of trolling...I don't think. I really don't think most of you understand what the real deal is.

I know many of us would love to invite you into our world for just ONE of these events. You would walk away with a whole new perspective.



:D Thank you!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Angela[/quote]

yeah well id love to invite you on one of my missions where i discover 10 billion dollars in gold.. but i wont because i cant.... wanna trade?????

bottom line is we have plenty of mets both in ipr365 and personal contacts the are privy to the EoC conference calls and we hear all of them... the past of least regret is in every politicians best intrest but that is why we never post the path of least regret
Last edited by Jevo on Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:

#9299 Postby lebron23 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:49 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:New advisory seems to be delayed..... again.

They still have 11 mins.
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Re:

#9300 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 18, 2008 9:49 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:New advisory seems to be delayed..... again.


It's 10:49, advisory comes out at 11.
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