Got to give them credit

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chadtm80

Got to give them credit

#1 Postby chadtm80 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:34 am

Got to give the NHC credit on this one.. claudette did all kinds of wiered things but they stayed confident the whole time... and they only ended up being off what?? 150 miles in 5 days... Great Job!!
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:44 am

Agree they did a great job considering the history of this system from the start and the track from them was on the mark although a little more north of what they haved projected but in general they nailed it.The intensity forecast was the most difficult part to forecast due to the ups and downs twists and turns that Claudette did from the start but they at the end nailed it too.
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#3 Postby GulfBreezer » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:51 am

I have to agree Chad!! GOOD JOB NHC!!
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#4 Postby bfez1 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 8:54 am

Agree, they usually do exactly what the NHC forecasts for them to do give or take a few miles one way or the other. Great job, NHC....
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JetMaxx

#5 Postby JetMaxx » Tue Jul 15, 2003 10:00 am

Excellent job as usual. Look at the Hurricane warning area....from Baffin Bay to High Island -- and the hurricane is crossing the coast over Matagorda Bay...between Port O'Conner and Bay City...Claudette is "splitting the uprights"...right down the middle.

The problem is some folks (esp. at another "unnamed" storm forum) expect too much -- if the hurricane is forecast three days ahead of cross the coast at 27.5N ...they consider it a miss if it crosses the coast at 27.0N....or 28.0N.

Of course, these complainers and whiners that are bashing the NHC forecasters always seem to be folks NOT in the hurricane's path. If you live this morning in Bay City or Palacios, Texas....you are likely thanking God the National Hurricane Center is as accurate as they are.....and that you had advance warning to prepare; and in some cases....time to evacuate.

Just my .02 cents worth...
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Tue Jul 15, 2003 11:56 am

Yes indeed, The Natinal Hurricane Center did do a great job on the forecast track of Claudette.

It was true that, late yesterday afternoon the speed was under the average speed of 8 miles per hour, which would not of made landfall at 11:00 AM CT/Noon ET.

My calculations (as well as David/vbhoutex) really were true, I was honestly giving specifics on the current speed of the storm as of about eighteen hours ago. I hope everyone understands that.
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Rainband

#7 Postby Rainband » Tue Jul 15, 2003 3:26 pm

In a science that is far from exact..I agree..my hats off to the NHC!!!! :wink:
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#8 Postby Colin » Tue Jul 15, 2003 4:13 pm

Yes, the NHC did a great job on this IMO...hats off to them. ;)
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